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Good news for GOP Senate hopes in new round of polling
American Thinker ^ | 09/08/2014 | Richard Baehr

Posted on 09/08/2014 8:12:08 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

A large collection of new Senate polls from the New York Times/CBS and NBC/Marist are very good news for the GOP effort to retake the Senate.

In the two most vulnerable seats held by Republicans -- Kentucky and Georgia -- the latest polls show Mitch McConnell and David Perdue expanding their leads. Some Democrats had hoped to add Kansas to the target list, but it looks like the scheme to get the less popular Democratic nominee to give up his effort in hopes an independent could defeat Pat Roberts in a one-on-one race, may be stymied with the Secretary of State ruling the Democrat's name will remain on the ballot.

In the pickup department, virtually everyone has conceded that Republicans will win 3 seats in South Dakota (Rounds), West Virginia (Capito), and Montana (Daines). In two other close races, Republicans seem to have pulled ahead by 4-5 point margins -- Alaska (Dan Sullivan) and Arkansas (Tom Cotton). Alaska has seen a sharp recent move after Democrat Mike Begich blew his incumbency advantage by trying to blame his Republican opponent for release of a criminal in a new ad. When the victim's family complained and asked for the ad to be removed, the damage was done. Begich had campaigned on two themes -- I have been in Alaska longer than my opponent (he is "from away" as they would say in Maine), and "tell me again who Barack Obama is?”). Now he is on defense.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014; elections; gop; midterms
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1 posted on 09/08/2014 8:12:08 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Also see here:

http://hotair.com/archives/2014/09/08/polling-avalanche-gop-leads-in-eight-races-for-democrat-held-senate-seats/

TITLE:

Polling avalanche: GOP leads in eight races for Democrat-held Senate seats


2 posted on 09/08/2014 8:15:25 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: SeekAndFind
I wonder what would happen if control of the Senate depends upon a runoff in Louisiana?
3 posted on 09/08/2014 8:17:11 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob (They are called "Liberals" because the word "parasite" was already taken.)
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To: Cowboy Bob

Don’t worry. We are down here preparing to throw Ms.Piggy out on her rump.


4 posted on 09/08/2014 8:18:21 AM PDT by mothball
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To: SeekAndFind

On what grounds did the secretary of state determine to leave him on the ballot?


5 posted on 09/08/2014 8:22:30 AM PDT by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: SeekAndFind
with the Secretary of State ruling the Democrat's name will remain on the ballot

Damned Republicans, following the law! How long before this is termed 'voter suppression'?

6 posted on 09/08/2014 8:23:05 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (It takes a gun to feed a villageh)
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To: SeekAndFind
We have entered the time-frame for the 2014 election where we should be seeing that GOP wave growing. In 2010 is was quite clear that, as the weeks went by, the polls became more and more favorable. I recall that early on we were looking at a pickup in the House of 30+. That eventually grew to 60+ over the last weeks of the election cycle.

This time it is the Senate that we are after. Fingers crossed. Watch the honest polls.

In 2010 ElectionProjection.com was the best predictor of the outcome in the House of Representatives. I will be watching their Senate Predictions this time. The current EP prediction: A GOP pickup of 6. That's enough to get rid of Harry Reid as Majority Leader.

7 posted on 09/08/2014 8:25:29 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Remember Mississippi)
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To: SeekAndFind





8 posted on 09/08/2014 8:31:33 AM PDT by MeshugeMikey (Please RESIGN Mr. President Its the RIGHT thing to do)
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To: SeekAndFind

hopefully it will be a veto proof Senate to stop, or at least slow down this slide into socialism/communism.


9 posted on 09/08/2014 8:32:23 AM PDT by elpadre (AfganistaMr Obama said the goal was to "disrupt, dismantle and defeat al-hereQaeda" and its allies.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Most polling organizations switch from Registered Voters to Likely Voters after Labor Day. This is the first round of results that reflect that switch. As expected, the (R)’s generally get a bump of several points. Good news, but it would have been a surprise had that not occurred.

The polls themselves are somewhat suspect. More and more people don’t have landlines or screen their calls. Traditional polling methods are less effective and the workarounds are unproven. None of these polling results reflect midterm turnout, even with the likely voter screen. Right now, people in the (R) camp are much more likely than the (D) camp to show up in November and I doubt that this shows in the polls at the moment.

Despite the doom and gloomers, this is going to be a good election cycle for conservatives. More conservatives will be elected at every level and they will exert their influence on the old bulls. The next Congress will behave very differently than did this one, especially if Harry Reid is not Majority Leader.


10 posted on 09/08/2014 8:38:26 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: for-q-clinton
On what grounds did the secretary of state determine to leave him on the ballot?

The law requires a very good reason for dropping out. Health or something serious. Just deciding to drop out for political reasons will not cut it. In addition, I'm not sure if the Dem even gave a reason for dropping out.

And, IIRC, the ballots went to the printer last Friday.

One last note about Pat Roberts. Yes he is old. But his Heritage Rating is 93% conservative. The same as Ted Cruz.

11 posted on 09/08/2014 8:39:31 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Remember Mississippi)
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To: SeekAndFind
Pryor runs an ad with Daddy who had a long history in Arkansas politics.

Cotton counters by running an ad with his mother.

==

Pryor's/Dems’ ads against Cotton are filled with half-truths and innuendos.

Both sides have run ads accusing the other of wanting to increase the SS/Medicare age.

==

Depending on the poll, the race is tight. One week Pryor seems to be a few points ahead. Next week, Cotton seems to have gained a few points and is ahead.

12 posted on 09/08/2014 8:41:26 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: for-q-clinton

“On what grounds did the secretary of state determine to leave him on the ballot?”

The clear language of the law on the books? That would be my guess.

You can’t drop out after the primary unless there is a good reason why you couldn’t take office.

If he was to have such an issue, the RATS would have to replace him on the ballot with another RAT candidate.

Under every case, a Demonrat is going to be on that ballot.


13 posted on 09/08/2014 8:41:53 AM PDT by Beagle8U (If illegal aliens are undocumented immigrants, then shoplifters are undocumented customers.)
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To: Cowboy Bob

I’m not worried about the runoffs as much as the recounts. It seems the dims can lose by 5% and still win on a recount.


14 posted on 09/08/2014 8:43:09 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: centurion316
Despite the doom and gloomers, this is going to be a good election cycle for conservatives. More conservatives will be elected at every level and they will exert their influence on the old bulls. The next Congress will behave very differently than did this one, especially if Harry Reid is not Majority Leader.

I hope the Freepers read this and believe it. I do. I don't buy the argument that the GOPe is just another branch of the Dem Party for a minute. Ted Cruz is very unlikely to lead the next Senate but at least Harry Reid won't ether.

15 posted on 09/08/2014 8:45:28 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Remember Mississippi)
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To: for-q-clinton

Kansas Law, Chad Taylor, District Attorney of Shawnee County (Topeka) failed to comply with the requirements.

http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/election/article1504835.html


16 posted on 09/08/2014 8:55:58 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: InterceptPoint

Cool thanks. I just saw where he dropped out and this is the first I heard that he wasn’t allowed. I don’t follow Kansas politics so I wasn’t sure.

Of course the law was ignored when the rats replaced Lautenberg years ago when the “torch” was going to lose because of corruption. They just got a rat judge to say they had to do the swap.

Are the rats going to sue to get him removed from the ballot?


17 posted on 09/08/2014 8:57:50 AM PDT by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: SeekAndFind

Warner (D-VA) has been pounding Gillespie with negative ads in the past few weeks. FINALLY Gillespie is responding with good ads that tie Obama around Warner’s neck but also has a positive message of job growth and lower taxes.

Warner is probably still going to prevail, but it’s good to see Gillespie fighting back.


18 posted on 09/08/2014 9:55:16 AM PDT by randita ("Is a nation without borders a nation?"...Noonan)
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To: for-q-clinton
On what grounds did the secretary of state determine to leave him on the ballot?

On the grounds that democrats cheat at every opportunity.

19 posted on 09/08/2014 9:59:02 AM PDT by itsahoot (Voting for a Progressive RINO is the same as voting for any other Tyrant.)
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To: InterceptPoint
Fingers crossed. Watch the honest polls.

They only exist in a fantasy world. Polls are deigned to make the theft of elections look honest.

20 posted on 09/08/2014 10:00:46 AM PDT by itsahoot (Voting for a Progressive RINO is the same as voting for any other Tyrant.)
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