Polling avalanche: GOP leads in eight races for Democrat-held Senate seats

Hot Air ^ | 8 Sep 2014 | Guy Benson

[mandaladon]

Jim Geragthy, acclaimed author and National Review’s chief campaign analyst, has been grousing about the lack of quality polling in key Senate races this year. His frustration is well-founded. So yesterday must have felt like Christmas in September for Jim and political junkies everywhere, as two pollsters released a deluge of surveys covering the most contested races in the country. In light of the results, I’d expect that national Republicans are kicking off the week with an extra spring in their step, as well. We were leaked an advance copy of last week’s much-anticipated Politico/GWU Battleground poll, which was packed with more than a few hopeful morsels for conservatives. This weekend’s polling volley applies those national trends to roughly a dozen contests across the 2014 Senate landscape — the contours of which I outlined here. An overview of the fresh data:

Alaska: Accurately polling this state is infamously difficult, but the new New York Times/CBS News/YouGov poll shows a stark reversal in the race, with Republican Dan Sullivan now leading incumbent Sen. Mark Begich by six points — 45 to 39, including leaners. The Begich campaign is still reeling from a furious backlash over their desperate TV ad that falsely tied Sullivan to a terrible case involving child rape and a double murder. The family of the victims demanded that Begich pull the ad, with Sullivan slamming the spot for being factually inaccurate. Begich has voted with President Obama 97 percent of the time, according to a Congressional Quarterly analysis.

Arkansas: Three new polls out of this race, one of which Jazz covered yesterday. NBC/Marist finds Republican challenger Tom Cotton leading Sen. Mark Pryor by five points, 45-40, among likely voters. NYT/CBS/YouGov shows Cotton up four (with leaners), 43-39.

[GATOR NAVY]

Begich is pulling this “Real Alaskan” crap. He’s desperate, and he should be. Man, I hope Alaskans pull their heads out of their 3rd point of contact and vote that SOB out!

I feel it is my duty to help Mark Begich come back to his real home. After all, a "Real Alaskan" must be unhappy as hell in DC. It's for his own good.

[SunkenCiv]

Zero, Lurch, Plugs, and even one-woman NGO Hitlery are serving up the 2014 election on a silver platter. There will be some dips between November 2014 and 2016 (and what are those dips’ FR nicks?), but even the media shills haven’t been able to shill effectively on behalf of ISIS (which is obviously an Islamic jihadist group), Iran (which is run by an Islamic jihadist regime), Hamas (another ally of Iran), and the Morsi dictatorship overthrown by the Egyptians themselves.

The shills have been effective regarding our border with Mexico, and the US serviceman grabbed by the otherwise bone-idle bums who work the Mexican side of the border. That will change.

The crimes of the Obama regime need to be kept in the public eye, but only in the peripheral vision.

Birth certifi-gate? Not every battle is a decisive victory or defeat, sometimes the point is, let it rage on.

Sonderkommando Soros is old — he will drop dead soon.

Same goes for the libtard Warren Buffet.

The same goes for the IRS scandal — no one likes the IRS (not even liberal taxpayers, including the Hollyweirdos) and the last thing we need is another definitive PR loss when some Obama-controlled commission delivers the report absolving Lois Lerner, Eric Holder, and Zero himself. Wait until we have the votes.