Posted on 09/14/2014 6:47:46 PM PDT by iowamark
Only one percentage points separates Democrat Bruce Braley and Republican Joni Ernst in the race to represent Iowa in the U.S. Senate.
If the election were held today, 49% of likely Iowa voters say they would vote for Braley and 48% say they would support Ernst, according to a new CNN/ORC poll. That means the contentious race is within the survey's overall sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The electorate is far from solidified. Twenty percent of likely voters polled in Iowa said they could change their mind before Election Day in November.
The Braley-Ernst race has been one of the most closely watched of the election year. With longtime Sen. Tom Harkin retiring, Democrats are fighting to keep the seat in blue hands and hope that a win in Iowa will keep the Senate in Democratic control.
Republicans have other ideas, however, and hope that Ernst -- currently a state senator and lieutenant colonel in the Iowa Army National Guard -- will be able to flip the seat.
With a little less than two months until Election Day, the race has already seen millions of dollars spent. According to the Center for Responsive Politics, the two candidates had spent almost $6 million as of July.
That figure doesn't include the millions that outside Republican and Democratic groups have spent on the race, either.
Even with all the money spent, some likely voters are still unaware of each candidate. Six percent of likely Iowa voters are unfamiliar with Ernst, while 9% of voters say they are unfamiliar with Braley.
Partisanship appears to trump identity politics in the race, too.
Most women are supporting Braley, the Democratic man, while most men are supporting Ernst, the Republican woman...
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Full poll results:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/09/12/topia1.pdf
Joni Ernst for Senate website:
Folks, you can save Joni the credit card fees by going through the direct pay feature at the Senate Conservatives Fund site:
http://www.senateconservatives.com/
They endorsed her. The Senate Conservatives Fund pays all credit card fees, and the donation directly comes from you. The limit on giving is the same as if you had/were giving on her website.
Funny how CNN polls always have the Democrat ahead in a virtual tie
Iowa is pretty far into the Democrat Senate territory. If Iowa is this close the Democratic controlled Senate is gone with a couple of extra Republican seats for for good measure.
Iowa seems like it would be a conservative state, yet it seems they CONSTANTLY elect Democrats. I don’t get it.
“Iowa seems like it would be a conservative state, yet it seems they CONSTANTLY elect Democrats. I don’t get it.”
****
Ethanol subsidies (welfare), liberal colleges, and Dem politicians who pretend to be moderates until they get elected.
I really hope she wins, Braley is such a turd.
Never put any hope in IA, and one won’t be disappointed.
thanks iowamark.
Braley Backs Moving Guantanamo Terrorists To The United States
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/gop/3203800/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/joniernst/index
Joni Ernst for US Senate
https://secure.joniforiowa.com/donations/primary-victory/?gclid=CI67sKi74sACFVJo7Aod7B0ALw
Joni will be a great senator.
The key line in this piece is that 20% of the polled voters state that they could change their minds re who they will vote for. History shows that the undecideds almost always break away from the incumbent and vote for the challenger.
Ernst, going away.
Doesn’t IA have a huge population on farm subsidies? That could explain its persistent liberalism; I know the western side is more conservative.
Why doesn’t someone ever take a poll of the dead voters?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.