Posted on 09/28/2014 3:44:25 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
On the polling front this weekend, Republicans have a few reasons to celebrate. Last week, the building blocks of the narrowest Republican Senate majority were clearly coming together. This week, polls indicate that Republicans have a number of avenues to pursue in their quest to win back the majority.
In Louisiana, Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) has significantly narrowed the gap with Mary Landrieu (D-LA), but that race looks set to head to a runoff. A CNN/ORC survey released on Sunday shows Cassidy and Landrieu statistically tied with 40 to 43 percent support respectively.
That poll also revealed that retired Air Force Col. Rob Maness maintains support of the state’s most conservative voters. The independent candidate draws the support of 9 percent of likely voters in that survey. With former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin scheduled to parachute in to back him, Maness’s support is only likely to grow.
In November, it is unlikely that any candidate will net a majority of the vote, sending that race into a runoff in December. But Cassidy leads Landrieu in a two-way runoff in the latest CNN/ORC survey with 50 to 47 percent. This is the second poll to show Cassidy with the backing of a majority of Louisiana’s voters in a hypothetical runoff election. Given the fact that he two-term Sen. Landrieu is a thoroughly known quantity and is still trailing her challenger, it seems Louisiana voters are disinclined to give Landrieu a third term in the upper chamber.
If Republicans unseat Democratic incumbents in Louisiana, Arkansas, Alaska, and Montana, and win the races for open seats in South Dakota and West Virginia – all of which not only seems possible but a likely outcome given the polling – the GOP will win a narrow Senate majority.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
NO thanks to ROVE and his efforts !!
And I think folks are lying like crazy for these polls.
I’ll believe it, when I see it.
will a December runoff result in LA depend on how the rest of the Senate end up? Not a guarantee GOP pick up. And any chance no one gets 50% in Georgia and there is a runoff in January after Senate returns to session?
Enough to overcome the Dem. fraud machine?
Agreed, and if they pull it off, it’s by default. They haven’t stood there ground on much (for fear of being labeled racists) and have to shut out and ignore the traditional conservative base. I suppose it would slow the train going over the cliff of socialism but I’m in a wait and see position at this point. Never let the Republicans tell you that they were not adept at taking defeat from the jaws of victory, they seem to do it regularly.
FYI, Here’s the latest RCP No Tossups Polling: (R) +7
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html
Hell, or ANY of them for that matter. It's as if they aren't TRYING to win. They're playing 'prevent defense' in the House. I'm in VA, and aside from ONE dammed sign I've seen, I wouldn't even know there was a republican running against Warner. Not sure that race was winnable anyway, but you CERTAINLY CAN'T win if you don't try. To add insult to injury, the lone Gillespie sign that I did see was ugly as hell. I about wonder whether they are TRYING to lose that one. Tillis in NC is at least running a campaign, but regarding conservatism, he's horribly uninspiring. He's probably the only person on Earth that CAN'T beat that Hagan bitch, and dammed if they didn't nominate him... LOL
I agree. Don’t trust the poles. It serves two purposes. We get lazy and they get motivated. Generally speaking they don’t even worry about their reputation until right before the election.
The republicans had North Carolina locked up too so I won’t be getting overly excited just yet.
“Watch out for the polls”
I am more concerned about the rotten GOP message which turns off conservative in droves. The “Vote for us, the soft-socialist RINOs or else the hard-socialist dems will get elected” is so 2012.
“If Republicans unseat Democratic incumbents in Louisiana, Arkansas, Alaska, and Montana, and win the races for open seats in South Dakota and West Virginia “
What I find bewildering is that any of these culturally bright red states should even be close
“What I find bewildering is that any of these culturally bright red states should even be close”
Excellent point.
I don’t see winning states like NC and LA as much of a coup. They should be blowouts.
But with establishment Republicans waging war on their own base and having no campaign message that appeals to voters, I guess they feel pretty lucky to pick off anything these days.
The GOP does not want a sweeping victory.
They want a measured victory, just enough to give them power to
enrich their crony capitalist friends, but not enough to push through
conservative issues.
I’ll believe it, when all the hanging chads are in.
They want a measured victory, just enough to give them power to enrich their crony capitalist friends, but not enough to push through conservative issues.
Pretty much the best analysis yet.
Two years too late. We got four more disastrous years of O’Crackwagon and I can still envision the GOP blowing any lead as long as RINOs roam the earth.
Shhh, you can’t insult Rove. His trolls bite
Here’s what I don’t get ... with the map so heavily favoring the GOP the fact that there is ANY question that they will do well or even take the Senate is an absolute and utter disaster. This shouldn’t even be a question. However, this is what the GOPe have given us.
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