Nunn Leads Perdue By 3 in New SurveyUSA Poll

Peach Pundit ^ | October 15, 2014 | Jon Richards

[Clintonfatigued]

11 Alive has released the results of a new SurveyUSA poll that for the first time in their series of polls shows Michelle Nunn in the lead for the Georgia Senate race against David Perdue. The poll shows Democrat Michelle Nunn with 48%, Republican David Perdue with 45%, and Libertarian Amanda Swafford with 3%. 4% of voters remain undecided. While the margin of error is 4.2%, meaning that the two could conceivably be tied, that’s likely no consolation.

Looking at the poll’s crosstabs, the electorate is assumed to be 61% white, 27% black, 7% Hispanic and 5% Asian. That potentially underestimates the black vote, which is overwhelmingly in favor of Nunn, by about two percent. And, if the poll is correct in reflecting the ultimate vote, a 50/50 split among undecideds could bring Nunn a win without a runoff.

The pollsters note how Perdue is losing support from groups previously on his side:

Week-on-week, Nunn has gained ground among men, where she now trails by 3. (Five weeks ago, she trailed among men by 19.) Among Independents, Nunn has closed to within 6 of Perdue (she had trailed by 28 points among Independents in August). In greater Atlanta, Nunn had led by as few as 10 points, but today leads by 22.

[wrench]

Ga is red, but Atlanta is deep blue. Atlanta population is growing faster than the non Atlanta population.

Atlanta’s main claim to fame is the home of MLK.

[Georgia Girl 2]

Yes its a problem. Every black that can get on a bus, train or plane tries to move here because of Martin Luther King and half of NY has moved here to Atlanta. Outside of Atlanta its pretty conservative and rural. So far we have a total GOP majority in the state house, Two RINO senators, RINO Gov, GOP LT Gov, SOS and AG.

[ctdonath2]

Atlanta is 70% relocated outsiders bringing their blue with them. Urban areas are almost exclusively blue, and Atlanta is growing - tipping the state overall voting pattern.

[Clintonfatigued]

Georgia isn’t looking good. Perdue turned out to be a poor candidate. He could still win this thing, though.

At the risk of bragging, I supported Karen Handel in the primary and Jack Kingston in the runoff.

[epow]

I have absolutely no like for Perdue, but I will crawl over broken glass to vote for him

Same here, I'm disappointed by his win, but his faults are not as important as is taking control of the Senate out of Harry Reid's despicable hands. The most crucial thing in this election is getting control of the Senate while there may still be enough time to save us from full-blown socialism that Obama and his cohorts are determined to force on us like it or not.

Obama may have only 2 more years left to bring the US down to wreck and ruin as he wants us to be, but if Harry Reid and his gang of America-haters remain in control of the Senate during those 2 years it may be too late for another election cycle to save the US from what I believe is it's rapidly approaching demise as a great and powerful nation. If Obama gets his way in the time he has left the US will soon become just another insignificant, socialistic, used-to-be world power that so many members of today's college age generation seem to want us to be.