Posted on 10/24/2014 8:02:12 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
It is not a mirage. In the Deep South, Democratic Senate candidate Michelle Nunn is surging.
Of all the polls in the field in October in the Peach State, Nunn has tied or enjoyed a slight lead over Republican nominee David Perdu. On Friday morning, a CNN/ORC survey showed Nunn with her widest lead yet – 47 to 44 percent – over her Republican challenger. A third party candidate is drawing another 5 percent of the vote while 4 percent remain undecided. That poll also found incumbent Gov. Nathan Deal trailing his opponent, Democrat and former President Jimmy Carter’s grandson, Jason Carter.
Republicans remain justifiably skeptical that Nunn, despite being a strong recruit for Democrats, can pull off a victory in Georgia. While she is capable enough, and the state could shift in her direction to give her a plurality of the vote on Election Day, that race would head to a runoff in January. While CNN/ORC estimates that Nunn would receive a majority of the vote in January, CNN concedes that polling cannot model a hypothetical runoff electorate months after the midterms.
In order for Nunn to win in November (or January, for that matter), she will need to syphon off just enough of the state’s more enthusiastic Republican voters to make up for what pollsters estimate are 2010 levels of excitement among pro-GOP partisans. A recent Insider Advantage poll suggests that is possible – that poll found Nunn securing the support of just under 10 percent of Georgia’s GOP vote while Perdue netted less than 8 percent of Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
RCP only shows a .5% lead. How about we all stop trying to call the election early and wait until the results come in?
Curious as to what has taken place since the May 2014 Primary that would point to a surge for Nunn?
Republican turnout was nearly double democrat turnout.
So the only thing I can think of that they’re counting on is that maybe Perdue won’t get any more votes than he got in the primary — 185466; and that Nunn won’t get any less than she got — 246369.
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/51345/132192/en/summary.html
early voting has started.
Remember how John Kerry had a 5% lead over Bush in a FOX NEWS poll?
All public polls are now push polls.
The country has really slipped over the precipice. We now have the 2nd, if not the 3rd generation of The Ruling Class in our own country. Just like old Rome.
My Georgia conservative friends tell me they are worried she could win. Unbelievabe for Georgia but it has to be her name.
In 2006, the fascist Demon Rats got control.....and they ran on nothing.
So you actually think that Harry Reid will continue as Majority Leader in 2015. Interesting. I think you are wrong, but Dimocrat view points can be interesting.
Hmmmm, plz see my reply to post #2. The same applies.
Gee, there are lots of Dimocrat viewpoints on this thread....
I expect you will be disappointed in your expectations.
Ah, finally a sensible comment. I think that the demo shift is enough to begin turning red Georgia purple. I don’t think it’s enough to provide Dim wins in this off-year....but I may be surprised - and wrong.
I think Nunn’s only shot here is to win this in November. If it goes to a runoff, it will be even harder to get the low information crowd back to the polls.
The GOP will win the Senate. Mark my words.
I think that groups of people who want something really, really badly, can engage in collective bias and impose dozens of different types of delusions upon themselves.
It is no secret that some polls are favoring the GOP and guess what, the Dems know this too. Do you think they are just sitting still and passively accepting what some think is inevitable?
On the eve of 0bama’s first win, when McCain returned from wherever he was to vote against the first TARP, my belief at the time (and as far as that belief was concerned, was right by a factor of over 150:1 measured by telephone calls against the first bailout) I thought very confidently that McCain sealed the deal with that move. Instead, he voted FOR the bailout and cut his own feet out from under himself. Was that the telling factor? I don’t know. I *do* know that predictions made from a mere 2 weeks out can be wildly wrong as suspense builds.
It is true that anyone with functioning neurons considers the state of this country as sitting at the bottom of a cesspool of abysmal failures and/or blithering incompetencies, not to mention possibly deliberate acts of national vandalism by this admin.
That has nothing to do with the button that that those WITHOUT functioning neurons press on E-day. Vast numbers of people vote their pocketbook, and vast numbers of people, rich and poor alike, consider the government the ultimate teat to suck on. They do not give freedom or the equitry of a law-based system a second’s thought. They would NEVER vote otherwise. Their button-push works just as well as yours or mine does.
Things do not move in straight lines. The Dems are not going to sit still for a prospective drubbing.
http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/10/24/exclusive-ajc-poll-nathan-deal-opens-small-lead-senate-race-in-virtual-tie/
What on earth is your purpose here is you're celebrating Democrats remaining in charge of the Senate?
Purists have tried being "principled" and allowing Democrats to win elections and now we have Obamacare, a President that is incapable or unwilling to protect citizens from terrorists and deadly viruses, courts being packed with far-left wing justices that are overturning much of the legislation conservatives are passing at the state level and an influx of illegal immigrants that are spreading disease.
You're assuring that not even another Ronald Reagan could turn things because Democrats will remain in control of the Senate.
Yeah him and ScottinVA seem to be cheering in concert. I’ve noticed this same pattern over the past couple of election cycles.
There will be severe conservatives elected to the Senate that will join Ted Cruz and Mike Lee in promoting and advancing conservative ideas.
Stop being a pessimistic loser. That mentality is as harmful as the Republican establishment undermining conservatives.
This was my fear when Perdue defeated Kingston. That and the bogus "War on women!" I'm hoping it will not ne enough to defeat Perdue.
Dems surging in Red States means voter fraud. This is how they do it!
Geez....unmarried women + the right to vote = Constitutional America loses.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.