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Scott Walker, in Dead Heat, Faces Third Election in Four Years
Pajamas Media ^ | 10/28/2014 | Avner Zarmi

Posted on 10/28/2014 9:07:48 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Scott Walker is facing re-election for the third time in four years.

Let that fact sink in, and you will begin to understand many things about this pivotal race. Wisconsin is not merely a swing state, it is an odd, unique one. The Republican Party was founded there, yet the last time the state chose a Republican presidential candidate was in 1988. Its largest city, Milwaukee, last had a Republican mayor in 1908. It had a socialist mayor (not left-wing Democrat, but outright socialist) in 1960.

Nonetheless, the relatively conservative Republican Governor Tommy Thompson, who pioneered welfare reform in the 1990s, was elected to four terms. When Thompson became George W. Bush’s Health and Human Services secretary, he was succeeded by Lieutenant Governor Scott McCallum, who lost his re-election bid to the Democratic Attorney General Jim Doyle.

In Doyle’s second-term election in 2006, the Democrats took the state by storm. They held majorities in both houses of the state legislature, held every statewide office save (perhaps ironically) the attorney general, and had five of the state’s eight members of the House of Representatives.

But Doyle’s second term was a disaster. Due to both the economic crash and his policies (including a law requiring companies headquartered in Wisconsin with operations in other states to pay taxes in Wisconsin on the out-of-state operations), the state lost 130,000 jobs and faced an unconstitutional $3.6B budget deficit (Wisconsin’s constitution requires a balanced budget).

In 2010, the tide surged right. Republicans took control of both houses of the state legislature, took every statewide office save three (one senator, the secretary of state, and the director of public instruction), and took five of the eight seats of the House of Representatives delegation.

Ever since, the Democrats have been frothing at the mouth to bring down Scott Walker. His feat of balancing the budget and eliminating the budget deficit through his Act 10 legislation, which greatly limits the collective bargaining rights of the public employee unions, earned him enemies in labor, as well.

The enmity led to the recall election, held in 2012. Scott Walker handily won the recall, and despite the loss of a handful of Republican legislators who also came up for recall, the Republicans retained control of both houses of the state legislature.

Walker won the recall by a wider margin than he did the general election, which was a stinging rebuke to the Democrats and the public employee unions.

Two “John Doe” probes were launched by highly partisan District Attorney of Milwaukee County John Chisholm during Walker’s first term, despite absolutely no evidence of any actual wrong-doing by Walker. Few politicians have been as thoroughly vetted by their opposition. The prospect of an honest politician being elected with a thoroughly conservative message in a state as deeply “purple” as Wisconsin is obviously terrifying to the Democrats. They remember just as well as conservatives do that Ronald Reagan won 44 states in defeating Jimmy Carter, and 39 states for his second term against Mondale. Walker has been widely discussed as a possible presidential candidate in 2016.

Hence, this election assumes critical importance, as the unions thirst for revenge and the national Democratic Party considers Walker to be enemy number one. But who could run against him?

Enter Mary Burke, the daughter of a wealthy industrial family (Trek Bicycle) whose only experience in public office was a stint as Doyle’s commerce secretary in 2005-2007. She is currently a member of the school board in Madison, the state capital, a hotbed of left-wing activity. She has been challenged from the Left for refusing to give red meat to the Democratic base about restoring union rights, but she is now receiving vast sums of cash from outside the state (despite her otherwise decrying outside “interference” in Wisconsin politics).

To reassure the left of the Democratic base, Bill Clinton, Michelle Obama (twice), and Barack Obama have appeared in the state campaigning for her. While nearly every other Democratic office seeker is running away from the president and his policies, Mary Burke appears to need his help.

Walker is being outspent. He needs more help from the national party, and has expressed annoyance at what he sees as lackluster support at the national level, particularly by the Republican Governors Association (RGA). In the 2010 election the RGA spent some $5.2M in support of his first campaign, and nearly $9M in support of his recall election. They are expected to spend about $8M in this election.

But Walker would argue that it is not enough. For one thing, the margin of his victory in 2012 is somewhat illusory; from the beginning Walker has contended that many of the additional votes were not necessarily in support of his policies but instead were votes against the expense and annoyance of the recall. The polls have seldom showed either side leading beyond the margin of error, and the most recent edition of the prestigious Marquette University Law School poll shows the race in a dead heat, 47% to 47% among likely voters.

Everything rides on turnout. The volunteers are working their hearts out, but Walker needs help.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2014election; elections; scootwalker; wisconsin
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1 posted on 10/28/2014 9:07:48 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Reagan won 49, not 39 states


2 posted on 10/28/2014 9:11:28 AM PDT by GreaterSwiss
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To: SeekAndFind

That forty seven percent comes up way too often. How many union folks are encompassed in the forty seven percent. How many disabled, how many on the many forms of welfare. How many EBT card holders are part of the forty seven percent. How many veterans find themselves on the wrong side of the forty seven percent. How many on the state payroll are in the group?

The cost to retain WI is high. Can money actually overcome stupid?


3 posted on 10/28/2014 9:23:10 AM PDT by wita
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s not as close as the media liberal polls say it is. Walker will win.


4 posted on 10/28/2014 9:23:55 AM PDT by tonyome ("What we need is more Patton, less patent leather" - Michael Savage)
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To: tonyome

RE: Walker will win.

Maybe you can share with us the reason for your confidence...


5 posted on 10/28/2014 9:30:21 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The leftists are throwing everything they can at him.

They have drugged this man through political hell. Prayers for Scott.


6 posted on 10/28/2014 9:32:32 AM PDT by Christie at the beach
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To: GreaterSwiss
Reagan won 49, not 39 states

And came within 3,700 votes of winning the 50th.

7 posted on 10/28/2014 9:35:08 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: tonyome

And then there will be another recall next year! Hopefully he’s so used to it he isn’t personally bothered anymore, poor guy.


8 posted on 10/28/2014 9:37:16 AM PDT by txhurl (2014: Stunned Voters do Stunning Things!)
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To: SeekAndFind

The Walker election is important to the Democrats because he took on the SEIU gravy train and the SEIU is at the heart of the Obama remake of the American workforce. Without the SEIU to use as a club against tax payers, all of Obama’s socialist agenda fails. This is an important fact that too many people have missed.

Is it too late to donate to Walker ?


9 posted on 10/28/2014 9:41:55 AM PDT by Eva
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To: Eva

RE: Is it too late to donate to Walker ?

NO.

You can do it here:

https://donations.scottwalker.com/donation/adwords_xd/?utm_campaign=Fundraising%20Events&utm_medium=AdWords&utm_source=Online%20Marketing&&gclid=CKLboZ3mz8ECFUMV7Aod1jQAwQ


10 posted on 10/28/2014 9:45:39 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Done! Thank you. This is really the most important race in this election, maybe not because of the immediate results, but because of the message that it sends the Progressives.


11 posted on 10/28/2014 10:13:11 AM PDT by Eva
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To: Eva

Well. hope your donation makes a positive difference...


12 posted on 10/28/2014 10:17:34 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: Eva

I made a donation yesterday as well.

Getting Walker across the finish line is a lot more important than winning the Senate. He is our generation’s Reagan.

ALL of the crap coming at Walker is directly from the Clintons, b/c they are terrified of him for 2016.


13 posted on 10/28/2014 10:29:34 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: mwl8787

Not all from the Clinton’s, the Obama administration has been involved from the beginning because the healthcare bill was really an SEIU organizing ploy. Obama’s goal is to unionize the US workforce in a single federalized union that is Democrat controlled.


14 posted on 10/28/2014 10:36:45 AM PDT by Eva
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To: SeekAndFind

“The Wisconsin Deep State has pulled out all the stops to defeat Walker by fair means or foul, and I take Obama’s rare campaign appearance for Burke as evidence that they believe the fix is in.” —Glenn Reynolds


15 posted on 10/28/2014 10:49:56 AM PDT by denydenydeny ("World History is not full of good governments, or of good voters either "--P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: SeekAndFind

Recall election -May 2 2012 - Headline

Walker, Barrett in dead heat in recall showdown, poll says....(according to a poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School.)

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/walker-barrett-in-deadheat-in-recall-showdown-poll-says-8l58n4s-149857945.html

The Nazis and commies at Marquette are infamous for publishing fake polls right before the election.

Scott Walker wins Wisconsin recall election

Walker won 54% to 46%.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/scott-walker-wins-wisconsin-recall-election/

People worry too much about these fake polls from the Goebbel’s media. Just get out and vote.


16 posted on 10/28/2014 11:04:09 AM PDT by sergeantdave
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To: SeekAndFind

Thank you for the link.


17 posted on 10/28/2014 12:22:20 PM PDT by Christie at the beach
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To: SeekAndFind
No one should be too confident about Walker repeating the success from the 2012 recall election. In that round, a lot of the folks who would be anti-Walker either skipped the election or actually voted for him because they were opposed to the recall per se in that there was no malfeasance alleged but that it was no more and less an attempt to overturn a valid election result. Some people still do believe enough in "fair play" to object to that kind of behavior, after all.

But all bets are off this time around. Walker's done great for the state of Wisconsin, but he's fighting a well-established, determined to the point of desperate, Democrat/union machine.

18 posted on 10/28/2014 12:26:29 PM PDT by kevkrom (I'm not an unreasonable man... well, actually, I am. But hear me out anyway.)
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To: SeekAndFind; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; ...

Wisconsin explained...

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


19 posted on 10/29/2014 5:18:50 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: Eva

It is NOT too late to donate to Walker. He han use every dime he can get.

Online donations accepted here.

https://donations.scottwalker.com/donation/14eh063/


20 posted on 10/29/2014 5:21:20 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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