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Why GOP won: Shifting white votes hurt Democrats
AP ^ | November 6, 2014 | By JENNIFER AGIESTA and JESSE J. HOLLAND

Posted on 11/06/2014 9:24:11 PM PST by ConservativeStatement

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To: ConservativeStatement

One BIG PROBLEM for Democrats, as they just learned in Texas, along with other states: THERE ARE A LOT OF WHITE VOTERS. As long as the Dems were a viable alternative, that didn’t matter much, as most white votes canceled each other out.

Those days are OVER. Here in Texas, whites are now a BLOCK VOTE and they ain’t blocking for no Democrats. Instead, at least here in Texas, and maybe more states than the Dems wish, the HISPANICS vote is now the vote that nearly splits down the middle, with Hispanics going about 44% Republican in Texas and New Mexico. Whites are solid Republican, almost in as high of numbers are blacks keep voting Democrat. Even Jews are slowly creeping to the right.

Whites are now (finally) a lost cause for Democrats - I just wish it didn’t have to take them (i.e., us, in most cases) several decades to figure out just how bad the Dems are.

Note also that the article doesn’t bother telling people EXACTLY WHY whites are now voting as they are. All we hear about is the extremism of the Tea Party. But how about Gay Marriage, Gun Control, abuse of the legislative process, corruption by judges? At some point the media might get around to those factors...but I don’t really care if they do or don’t, all that matters is that the Dems, with Obama LEADING THE WAY, have created the largest voting block this country has ever seen, and it is on OUR SIDE!!


41 posted on 11/06/2014 10:31:30 PM PST by BobL (Don't forget - Today's Russians learn math WITHOUT calculators.)
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To: goldstategop
Marital status plays a role in how females vote.

They vote Rep, but white married women vote Rep by a much higher margin.

Single women tend to vote Democratic. Married women and women with families tend to vote Republican.

Single minority women vote Dem to a much greater degree than white single women, When you have 73% out of wedlock birth rates for blacks and 53% for Hispanics, you skew the data.

According to the exit polls, whites voted Rep 60% to 38%, blacks 89% to 10% for the Dems, and Hispanics 62% to 36% for Dems.

It is difficult to find how single women voted by race. I believe it is intentional because the pollsters do not want to show that the supposed war on women is really about minority women who vote mainly along racial and ethnic lines than gender.

42 posted on 11/06/2014 10:33:27 PM PST by kabar
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To: ConservativeStatement

The liberals overused the race card and it backfired on them big time. Same goes for the war on women.


43 posted on 11/06/2014 10:35:19 PM PST by 1035rep
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To: ConservativeStatement

By the way, it’s not just white male voters - these BLOCK NUMBERS are white male and white female voters. In fact, white females that are MARRIED are voting the same as white males. The only white groups left are white single females, gays (not many of them), FDR Dems (quickly dying out), and union types (not many of them in the South). The above sub-groups of whites total around the 25% that the Dems are getting, the other 75% are now voting Republican.

The Dems are FINALLY getting called on what they’ve done and how far they’ve moved left.


44 posted on 11/06/2014 10:36:34 PM PST by BobL (Don't forget - Today's Russians learn math WITHOUT calculators.)
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To: babygene
That is a “half truth”, in a way.

Those blacks who voted still went %90+ for the dems as far as I can see from exit polls (not particularly useful for predicting the outcome of contests, but quite useful for demographic voting tendencies).

While the number of minorities voting for dems were not as numerous in the midterms as they were in 2012, the percentages of those who DID vote were reliably in the dem column according to the statistics I read Tuesday night. Take Texas for example. I read the exit polls yesterday and Black voters went for Davis %93, and Hispanic voters went for Davis %57. That is a bad trend for the future depending on just how many minority voters actually come out to vote on election day, and historically, Presidential elections draw many, MANY more voters to the polls than midterms, particularly minorities.

45 posted on 11/06/2014 10:37:38 PM PST by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
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To: Pox
The article says otherwise. In the 2014 midterms, whites voted 60% to 38% Rep. You claim that:

White Male Voters “Get it”, by a comfortable margin (53-47 and sometimes higher), for now.

?Most White Female voters opt for marxist ideology (52-48 or even more),

The exit polls say otherwise. Do you have a source for your figures?

46 posted on 11/06/2014 10:37:42 PM PST by kabar
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To: goldstategop

“Blacks and Hispanics are a lock for the Democrats.”

Blacks yes. Hispanics, it depends where. In California and probably the Northeast (i.e., where they are radicalized), yes, in Texas, NO! they are almost splitting down the middle...they are NOT BEHAVING as the Democrats need them to, despite the Republicans running some very hard-core border security types, like Dan Patrick (in Texas), who has used the word “invasion” non-stop. He got at least 40% of the Hispanic vote here.


47 posted on 11/06/2014 10:39:55 PM PST by BobL (Don't forget - Today's Russians learn math WITHOUT calculators.)
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To: kabar

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/TX/governor

Just an example, specifically the by race portion.

Note that the other numbers do not reflect what I saw on other exit polls across the rest of the country, particularly concerning white female voters, but then again, Texas was skewed more towards the right due to those who were running (Davis was despicable overall).

Do not get too enamored with the wave on Tuesday. Keep your eye on trends across the nation as a whole while taking exit polls with a grain of salt and you cannot help but see the trends that I have noted above.

Prove me wrong. I WANT to be wrong, but I will not take your word for it. I want to be SHOWN solid proof that what I’ve stated is BS. I WANT TO BE WRONG! :)


48 posted on 11/06/2014 10:43:55 PM PST by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
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To: Pox

“...core supporters among blacks and Hispanics..”

It IS Funny that This very same statement CAME from Michelle Obama in her Radio speech Monday, when she said that without the Black and Brown Voters, the Democrats will lose seats..search for the article: “ Mrs. Obama tells Black Voters to Vote Democrat...” D.A. ( I think it was NewsMax)


49 posted on 11/06/2014 10:44:35 PM PST by Darth Airborne
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To: goldstategop

The key to 2016 is probably the upper MidWest and states like Colorado out west. If we accept that most likely the dem nominee isn’t going to get the high rate of minorities like Obama did then the key would be white middle class voters


50 posted on 11/06/2014 10:44:53 PM PST by Bigtigermike
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To: Darth Airborne

It may be funny in a sense, but it is an unfortunate reality.


51 posted on 11/06/2014 10:48:02 PM PST by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
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To: Pox

“While the number of minorities voting for dems were not as numerous in the midterms as they were in 2012,”

If you dig down, not voting is also a vote...


52 posted on 11/06/2014 10:48:51 PM PST by babygene
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To: ConservativeStatement
I've long said that the Republicans should go after the White vote, rather than waste their time on the Black vote.

Why?

Whites make up 75% of the country. blacks only 13%

If we got rid of all the illegals, Whites would be 80-85%.

53 posted on 11/06/2014 10:50:15 PM PST by Cowboy Bob (They are called "Liberals" because the word "parasite" was already taken.)
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To: Pox
Your analysis is wrong for the following reason: it is gender rather than raced based. As Hillary Clinton discovered in 2008 -- to her undoing -- race trumps gender.

The numbers that you cite as gender gap are, in fact, nothing more than a race gap. When you correct for the fact that 12.8% of the female vote is Black, and that this vote goes universally to Democrats -- even more strongly than the Black vote overall -- the so-called "gender gap" disappears. Among married white females, there is virtually no difference between the way women vote and the way their husbands vote.

The so called "gender gap" isn't about gender. It's about dependency, and dependency's single largest identifiable demographic is race. It's about race. And that's why the Democrats "War on Women" theme doesn't work.

54 posted on 11/06/2014 10:53:27 PM PST by FredZarguna (Begich going down...)
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To: kabar

The key numbers are 60/40/10.

If Republicans can get 60% of the white vote, 40% of the Hispanic vote, and 10% of the black vote in the Presidential election, they will win. If they lag behind in any of those areas they will lose.

Even this year, they came close to those numbers nationally, and they routed the Dems in race after race.


55 posted on 11/06/2014 10:54:48 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: babygene
Chop Logic. It is what it is, and it is the primary reason the Republicans won so heavily Tuesday.

That does not mean that this trend will remain valid in 2016. Not by a longshot. The left knows they have to have massive turnout to win nationally, and they will not be sitting on their hands 2 years from now, of that you can be sure.

We have 2 years to sway more voters to reject marxist ideologies, otherwise, we have to contend with voters who want yet MORE handouts and freebies, along with ideological voters who will be swayed by the next “first”, which will likely entail the possible first woman POTUS, and I don't have to expand upon that as it should be obvious at this point.

LIV’s and Parasites are a very ripe group for locking up votes for the left in 2016, and to deny that reality doesn't make sense to me.

56 posted on 11/06/2014 10:55:35 PM PST by Pox (Good Night. I expect more respect tomorrow.)
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To: ConservativeStatement

They just can’t stop it, can they? Everything is about race..


57 posted on 11/06/2014 10:56:38 PM PST by cardinal4 (Certified Islamophobe..)
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To: Pox
Here are the 2014 national exit polls released by the WP and NYT:

WP polls

NYT

You can drill down state by state. Both the WP and NYT agree that whites voted 60% to 38% Rep. In fact the MSM pools their resources and use the same data.

Prove me wrong. I WANT to be wrong, but I will not take your word for it. I want to be SHOWN solid proof that what I’ve stated is BS. I WANT TO BE WRONG! :)

Here are the 2012 exit polls that show Romney winning the white vote 59% to 39% and the white women vote 56% to 42%.

2012 exit polls

Again, race and ethnicity play a much bigger role in how women vote than gender. Single minority women vote overwhelmingly Dem. In 2012 Obama received 96% of the black women vote versus 87% for black men; 76% of the Latino women vote versus 65% for Latino men.

White women voted 56% to 42% Rep compared to white men who voted 62% to 35% for Reps.

58 posted on 11/06/2014 10:58:19 PM PST by kabar
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To: comebacknewt

They don’t need 40% of the Hispanic vote—now. And a lot depends on what state you are in.


59 posted on 11/06/2014 11:01:03 PM PST by kabar
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To: Slyfox

Women between the ages of 18 and 40 think that the democrat party is the party of the young. They think they’ll be young, fresh and hip (sex appeal) if they vote the way celebrities and pop culture heroes do. As well, most white women between 18 and 30 probably vote against the boyfriends (white males) who dumped them.


60 posted on 11/06/2014 11:02:58 PM PST by atc23 (The Confederacy was the single greatest conservative resistance to federal authority ever)
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