Posted on 01/08/2016 5:00:25 PM PST by springwater13
Seems to me Trump is in an ideal spot as far as the expectations game is concerned. He has a major organization with Chuck Laudner running his Iowa team. The establishment/media expect Cruz to win Iowa because of evangelicals and Trump supporters being lazy and not wanting to leave their lazy-boys to watch TV on a cold Monday night.
Right now Trump winning Iowa would be the major "surprise" media narrative and everyone would go crazy. Trump gets to have a triumphant speech proving everyone wrong setting up maximum momentum into NH where he is already leading big.
Not winning Iowa would be a major blow to Cruz. If he can't win heavily evangelical Iowa to Trump who many doubt has strong religious convictions, where can he win?
Yeah but if Trump wins Iowa, his poll numbers will tank! < /GOPe >
Yeah but if Trump wins Iowa, his poll numbers will tank! < /GOPe >
Sounds good, but I think it’s still too early to tell who will win at the end.
If Trump wins in Iowa, could that turn off the Christian vote? We need to be careful these voters stay energized.
Yep, just like Huckleberry and Santorum did. Not
Trump will run the table with or without Iowa.
If Trump wins that means a lot of the Christian vote went for him.
To ‘run the table’, don’t you have to win everything?
Pic I had to bet right now I would bet Cruz wins Iowa. But I would turn right around and bet Trump wins NH, SC and FL.
Huck and Santorum didn’t have double digit leads in all the other states.
Exactly what I was going to say. He is running the table, controlling and owning the narrative. Rendering a sitting president practically irrelevant. I love it.
He is leading in NH, SC, FL, NV, TX. The avalanche has started, it’s too late for the pebbles to vote.
Yes. If Trump wins Iowa, which I think he will, it is over.
Cruz looks strong in Iowa. It will come down to S.Carolina.
He is also leading in AL +19
And the fact that those guys won Iowa and then fizzled tells us all we need to know about how important the Iowa Caucus really is.
In theory, yes.
But he still has to live long enough to collect...
Thanks for the answer. Iowa (February 1) is pivotal because it will influence New Hampshire (February 9th).
I would agree with that assessment - unless he were to lose New Hampshire, which would be most unlikely if he won Iowa. If he loses both of them, who knows what would end up happening.
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