Polling in the last few days. IA top, NH bottom.
Posted on 01/11/2016 2:47:37 PM PST by VinL
Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.
The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (340 Republicans and 260 undeclared voters (independents)).
Sample Dates: January 7-10, 2016
Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording:
If the 2016 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
Why did you list Cruz fourth, when this poll has Christie above him in New Hampshire, at 10%?
Trump-haters are so desperate they’ve been reduced to being happy about polls showing Trump “only” leading by a slightly less double-digit margin.
lolz.
Why did you list Cruz fourth, when this poll has Christie above him in New Hampshire, at 10%?
*****************
Have a heart, friend.
You’re for Walker, I’m for Cruz.
Would you let Krispie Kreme sit on top of your guy, just for the sake on one measly percent?
I just posted a poll that shows Trump leading— I would have thought that ya’ll be happy. Guess no pleasing some folks.
Not my fault that his lead has fallen to just 6-7 among definite voters-— it’s still a lead— albeit shrinking.
Hmmm. I’m not sure how much trust I put in any poll TBH. I mean to ask X number of people what do you think about this, and then extrapolate that to all others seems kinda iffy to me.
But I really, for the life of me, cannot understand how either Kasich or Rubio would be able to attract 16 and 15 percent support anywhere at anytime.
Both of these guys are just awful.
Maybe I’m wrong, I don’t know, I just have no interest or desire to support or vote for either one of these two shulbs at all.
Huff post pollster is good for looking at statistical distributions of polls. Here you will see that the polls below the trend line are ARG and some GOPe hack polls. ARG is clearly an outlier for Trump at least compared to other polls of NH.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-presidential-republican-primary
Got a lose that “overtime polling” -— until the website at least reveals its credentials.
Nice click bait though.
Wow “Surging Ted” is losing to Ka-sick! I demand a recount!
+/-4 - 95% = LOL
Go Trump!!!
Go Trump!!!
"One of these things / is not like the other"
This is a poll where over one-freaking-third of the small sample did not identify as Republicans; and yet ARG has the audacity to list these same people as "likely Republican primary voters".
For those of you in Rio Linda: ARG is manufacturing a poll promoting - of all people - Kasich, for rather obvious reasons. Enjoy the mendacity, enjoy the mind-rape.
Leni
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.