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How did Iowa caucus polls get GOP vote so wrong?
New York Daily News ^ | February 2, 2016 | Dan Good, Adam Edelman

Posted on 02/02/2016 10:23:32 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

Iowa pollsters' losses were Ted Cruz's gain Monday night, as even the most storied surveys of the Hawkeye State's electorate missed the Texas senator's surging momentum.

Cruz cruised to victory in the early-voting state's caucuses, easily beating bombastic billionaire Donald Trump 27.6% to 24.3%, with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio finishing a close third, with 23.1%.

But polls, even ones released just hours before voters headed to caucus-locations, showed Trump in the solid lead: A Quinnipiac University poll out Monday afternoon had Trump beating Cruz 31% to 24%, while a Des Moines Register / Bloomberg Politics survey out the day before had the outspoken mogul up 28% to 23%.

How did they get it so wrong?

(Excerpt) Read more at nydailynews.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: caucus; cruz; gopprimary; iowa
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To: hsmomx3

Yeah I’m glad I don’t live there.

That’s probably why gets it wrong so often. A win in Iowa for a nonencumbent is the kiss of death.


101 posted on 02/02/2016 3:04:33 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: Solson

And Nevada.


102 posted on 02/02/2016 3:05:04 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: Amendment10

“So is Iowa politics actually driven by the bully pulpit?”

Exactly. And with the intimidating mailers and speakers at each caucus lying about Trump and Carson, Cruz was the bully. So much for running a clean and upright campaign.


103 posted on 02/02/2016 3:07:28 PM PST by CottonBall
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To: sickoflibs

“That is because too many of those dumb hay-seeds in Iowa don’t understand Trump.”

That is sure a good reason sickoflibs! They’re just dumb hayseeds! It was just on Monday (when everyone was predicting a big Trump win) that Iowa people were just wonderful. You have as much class as your guy Trump!


104 posted on 02/03/2016 8:50:56 AM PST by gbscott1954 (Why not a real Conservative?)
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To: Impy; BillyBoy; Reagan Disciple; EQAndyBuzz; Berlin_Freeper
RE: That is because too many of those dumb hay-seeds in Iowa don't understand Trump.
......
That is sure a good reason sickoflibs! They're just dumb hayseeds! It was just on Monday (when everyone was predicting a big Trump win) that Iowa people were just wonderful. You have as much class as your guy Trump!” at #104

Check this out. My guy Trump LOLO

Trumpettes are so easy to mimic.

105 posted on 02/03/2016 11:33:07 AM PST by sickoflibs (Donald Trump : 'It will be wonderful. It will be glorious., You will be amazed, Just wait')
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To: sickoflibs; Impy; Reagan Disciple; EQAndyBuzz; Berlin_Freeper

I know the feeling. I used to do such a good impersonation of Ahnuld Schwarzenegger supporters in CA that my sarcasm was mistaken for actual Schwarzenegger cheerleading.


106 posted on 02/03/2016 4:01:22 PM PST by BillyBoy (Impeach Obama? Yes We Can!)
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