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Trump Wins Every Demographic, Including Beating Cruz by 12% for "very conservative" voters
CNN Exit Polls ^ | 02/09/2016 | CNN

Posted on 02/09/2016 10:01:30 PM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans

See link for breakdown. Trump dominates everything. Men, women, young, old, graduates, non-graduates, moderates, conservatives, very conservatives. There is not a single category he did not dominate. Trump's huge leads among very conservative and conservative are also very interesting:

For just Conservative: Trump 36% vs Cruz 15%. For Somewhat Conservative: Trump 36% vs. Cruz 9% For Very Conservative: Trump 35% to Cruz 23%

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; canadian; cruz; election2016; ineligible; ne2016; newhampshire; newyork; trump
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To: GeronL

I fail to see where a vote from the college elite is worth any more than one from a high school dropout. One person, one vote, ALL Americans.

With a congress full of college educated, mostly lawyers, such status does not bode well on the intelligence scale.

Interviews on college campuses of students who think Judge Judy is on the Supreme Court and Petitions to elect Karl Marx as VP tell most of us what we need to know about the overall “superior” intellect of those in “higher” education.

“Voting” is not for the public to grade some pseudo term paper, it’s about trust, leadership, courage, and relatability. I believe one of the reasons people like Cruz is lagging is that he too technical on issues. People don’t care how to build a watch, they just want to know what time it is. When you buy a watch, you want to know if it is reliable, well made, attractive, and accurate.

There are plenty of forums for the deep, technical aspects of government for those who are so inclined.


141 posted on 02/10/2016 3:31:06 AM PST by FrankR (You're only enslaved to the extent of the charity that you receive!)
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To: StAnDeliver

http://www.wbur.org/2016/02/09/new-hampshire-primary-results

Bernie Sanders 138,716 votes
Donald Trump 92,417 votes
Hillary Clinton 88,827 votes
John Kasich 41,813 votes

I think the delegate breakdown was around this can’t find the data in results now and last I checked, some Republican delegates had not been allocated yet)

Hillary got 13 delegates
Sanders got 12 delegates
Trump got 10 delegates

That said, it takes almost 3 times as many delegates to lock the Democrat nomination as it takes to win the Republican nomination.


142 posted on 02/10/2016 3:31:07 AM PST by a fool in paradise (Obama is more supportive of Iran's right to defend its territorial borders than he is of the USA's.)
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To: nickcarraway

We have to be huumble, since you have the corner on arrogant and asshole.

Now run along, little snowflake, and suck your thumb in your safe space.


143 posted on 02/10/2016 3:34:20 AM PST by Redleg Duke (Remember...after the primaries, we better still be on the same team!)
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To: GeronL

Yet the fact is among “college” Trump won, just as he leads in every state poll I have seen among $45,000 and up ( so far the only proxy we have in all theses polls).

Can’t spin this away. Trump beat Teddie 3:1.


144 posted on 02/10/2016 3:41:29 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: nickcarraway

Funny. I spoke at a convention there not long ago and I’d say I was speaking to a Freeper convention.


145 posted on 02/10/2016 3:43:10 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans
Trump would/will lose in a two man race. In a three man race, he might hold a plurality, but maybe not. His best bet is for the field to remain fractured until he has built a commanding lead and the appearance of a bandwagon. Conversely, the other candidates need for the field to shrink, quickly. The question is, who will be the last man standing as the alternative to Donald. A lot depends on the sequencing of the others' withdrawals.
146 posted on 02/10/2016 4:01:37 AM PST by sphinx
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To: sphinx
Trump would/will lose in a two man race.

Trump's lead in New Hampshire was as much as 2nd and 3rd place combined. Maybe as much as 2nd, 3rd and 4th place combined. Even Carson was gone with only 2 percent, and Saint Rafael still could barely top Bush by more than a few hundred votes.

147 posted on 02/10/2016 4:04:52 AM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

Trump’s lead in New Hampshire was largely from the 45 percent of primary voters who were not Republicans. He continues to pull in LIV and crossover Democrat voters, much more liberal than the Republican base. There are two disparate groups in Trump’s coalition: mad as hell Republicans who are willing to gamble that he is indeed a born-again conservative, and the liberal newcomers who see Trump as a decisive break with the traditional Republican coalition. One of these two groups is in for a nasty surprise.


148 posted on 02/10/2016 4:15:23 AM PST by sphinx
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To: sphinx
Trump’s lead in New Hampshire was largely from the 45 percent of primary voters who were not Republicans. He continues to pull in LIV and crossover Democrat voters

Trump got 35 percent of "independent" voters out of a total of 45 percent independents. There were also only 3 percent Democrats voting in the Republican primary, according to CNN's exit poll. Trump also got a huge majority of Repubican voters, while everyone else got 8, or 3, or 11 percent. Cruz only got 13 percent of those, so if we had barred all the independents from voting, Cruz's numbers would have only improved by 2 points. Kasich would have lost 2 points. And Bush would have lost one point.

So Trump actually does just as well percentage wise with just Republicans even if we throw out all the independents and democrats.

149 posted on 02/10/2016 4:22:10 AM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: papertyger

Can’t we all just agree to support Cruz? ;o)


Which leads to another 8 years of Clintons. Poor Cruz, right on policy, odd on personal persona, lawyerly types don’t win elections. He’s done.


150 posted on 02/10/2016 4:23:33 AM PST by QuigleyDU
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To: springwater13

“...Cruz is a fractional hard-right candidate that will do well in caucuses based on his organization but we saw what happens in broad based primaries...”

I’ll grant you that Cruz may yet prove to be *too* conservative for voters who don’t self-identify on the mid to far right, but calling Socialist & RINO infested NH a “broad-band” primary might be a stretch.

A north-east blue/lib state can reasonably be expected to vote for the candidate they see as a kindred soul. How Cruz topped Rubio - in NH of all states - is astonishing! Cruz should have been perhaps a middling 4th or less in NH. This election season is shaping up to be more unusual than first suspected.


151 posted on 02/10/2016 4:26:15 AM PST by jaydee770
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

Fine analysis... indeed- fine analysis you’ve got there GPH’s.


152 posted on 02/10/2016 4:30:19 AM PST by freepersup (Patrolling the waters off Free Republic one dhow at a time.)
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To: tallyhoe

“...Since not a single one of his 99 colleagues, including senator Sessions and Mike Lee, have endorsed him...”

According to the various trumpits on FR (not you, of course):

1. Cruz is either disliked by the GOP-e and his senate colleagues and can’t “get along” (admirable in my book)
—or—
2. Cruz is the “washington insider” who will sell-out the nation to his crony, political pals.

If they would be receptive to some free advice, those trumpits should take a moment to re-read the handouts they were issued from trumps campaign headquarters and get on the same sheet of music. The mixed messages are poor form for a supposed “professional” campaign apparatus.


153 posted on 02/10/2016 4:37:35 AM PST by jaydee770
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To: mbrfl

Too many over thinking and analyzing why voters are attracted to Trump. Is it not simply that he voices a mostly conservative message and does it better than anyone else? This is why Cruz, while voicing the same message, is getting run over. You can change the message, but how do you change a persons persona. The charisma unique to Trump, that is appealing. It’s the message and messenger(personal persona). Trumps got it, the others don’t. He will be the nominee.


154 posted on 02/10/2016 4:39:05 AM PST by QuigleyDU
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans
Ideologies win the Internet. Personalities win elections.

Like it or not, the guy who comes across best on TV will always get more votes in the end. And even with their 10% "free stuff army" and 5% vote fraud advantages, that's pretty bad news for the Democrats...at least until they finish rehabilitating and grooming Gavin Newsom. :)

155 posted on 02/10/2016 4:42:34 AM PST by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: Windflier
"...They're toast, as are all of the scribblers who contributed to the smear Trump campaign over the last few months..."

Well, by feeling confident enough to exclaim "they're toast" after a blue-state primary goes to a blue-state RINO, at least you've finally found something that makes you feel good about yourself. Now be honest - isn't that what is most important to you?

156 posted on 02/10/2016 4:46:44 AM PST by jaydee770
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To: GeronL

yeah because you win General Elections by getting all the Republican votes /s


157 posted on 02/10/2016 5:19:06 AM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans
Trump did not get a majority of the Republican vote. He won a plurality. The Bush-Kasich-Christie-Fiorina voters will coalesce around a moderate, and Rubio hopes they will ultimately fall to him. Most of the Santorum-Huckabee-Carson-Paul voters should find their way to Cruz, who also hopes to win a big chunk of the Rubio voters if Marco collapses. Cruz should also take the conservative wing of Trump's support if Donald flames out. I still think Trump would lose head to head against any of the others. The order in which people drop out could be decisive, and that is a matter on which financial resources can be key.

The most important wildcard is whether the moderate wing of the party would prefer Trump to Cruz if Ted emerges as a finalist. One of the great tensions in the Republican coalition is the distaste of the moderates for the social conservatives, who actually mean what they say about traditional values, abortion and religious liberty. The RINO's want the social conservatives to work their tails off, donate, and vote ... and then go away, to be seen but not heard. Cruz is an unabashed evangelical and is likely to embarrass the country club Republicans by actually nominating judges who will reverse Roe, defending Christian business people who don't want to participate in gay marriages, and supporting school choice. The truth is, a lot of the establishment Republicans have made their peace with the left on sex, gender, and race issues, and they wish the traditional values crowd would just go away. These people, of course, regard Cruz as an extremist.

158 posted on 02/10/2016 5:41:41 AM PST by sphinx
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To: springwater13

Trump is running a common sense conservative leaning campaign aimed at ALL voters including democrats and independents. America.


159 posted on 02/10/2016 5:42:10 AM PST by bigtoona (Lose on amnesty, socialism cemented in place forever Trump is the only hope.)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

Cruz should drop out and allow Trump to put this race away.


160 posted on 02/10/2016 5:43:35 AM PST by MikeL223
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