Posted on 02/12/2016 6:28:49 AM PST by GodGunsGuts
Among the two candidates whose results look at all like those of an eventual GOP presidential nominee, polling suggests that Ted Cruz would do significantly better than Donald Trump in the general election. According to the Real Clear Politics average of recent polls, Cruz would fare 5 points better versus Hillary Clinton than Trump would.
Polling has consistently shown Cruz to have an advantage over Trump in this regard: Fox News found that Cruz would fare 4 points better than Trump, beating Clinton by 7 points (50 to 43 percent) to Trump's 3 (47 to 44 percent). NBC News and the Wall Street Journal found that Cruz would fare 6 points better than Trump, losing to Clinton by 4 points (49 to 45 percent) to Trump's 10 (51 to 41 percent). And Quinnipiac found that Cruz would fare 5 points better than Trump, tying Clinton (at 45 percent apiece) while Trump would lose by 5 points (46 to 41 percent).
In all, RCP's average finds that Cruz would beat Clinton by 1 point (47 to 46 percent), while Trump would lose by 4 points (47 to 43 percent)...
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
Unlike Trump, Cruz has no crossover appeal. Heck, he barely gets 20% of Republican voters. Someone is past delusional if they think he can come anywhere close to beating Hillary, given that he doesn’t even have a sure path to the nomination.
The media is again trying to steer us toward choosing our most beatable candidate.
Cruz “character”:
1. Phony summonses mailed out, scaring people to vote.
2. Claiming Carson quit, “vote for me”
3. Campaigning in the 800 churches, showing video “vote for me” with his preacher/father stomping for him.
4. “Brilliant” lawyer, did not know he was Canadian citizen and that he is not Natural Born Citizen, not eligible for office of P or VP.
Just enough to beat Trump in IA. Apologize and repeat?
Trumpet has the highest negatives of any presidential candidate in the history of Gallup polling. He is even losing against Bernie Sanders at RCP right now. He simply can’t win a general election. Cruz can.
Bull
Chuckle!
You can’t handle the truth.
At this point (two-week average through Jan. 27), 33% of Americans view Trump favorably and 60% unfavorably. It's that 60% unfavorable figure that I can focus on here.
Hillary Clinton currently has a 52% unfavorable rating among all Americans, while Jeb Bush is at 45%, Chris Christie 38%, Ted Cruz 37%, Marco Rubio 33%, Bernie Sanders 31% and Ben Carson 30%. Trump's 60% is clearly well above all of these. Putting his favorable and unfavorable ratings together yields a net favorable of -27 for Trump, far above the -10 for Clinton and for Bush, the next lowest among the major candidates.
I wanted to see how Trump's unfavorable played out in the context of previous elections, so I went back to look at the unfavorable ratings of the major-party candidates from 1992 through the current election. The bottom line is that Trump now has a higher unfavorable rating than any candidate at any time during all of these previous election cycles, and that conclusion takes into account the fact that unfavorable ratings tend to rise in the heat of a general election campaign as the barbs, negative ads and heightened partisanship are taken to their highest levels. Gallup routinely reports favorable ratings based on national adults, but some of the favorable ratings in the final months of an election year that I discuss below are based on registered voters.
Bill Clinton's highest unfavorable rating in the 1992 election was 49% (in April and July of that year). His opponent, George H.W. Bush, came closest to Trump's current unfavorable rating in October 1992, as Election Day approached and he received a 57% unfavorable rating in Gallup's tracking.
In 1996, Clinton's highest unfavorable was even lower, at 44%, while his opponent, Bob Dole, never rose above a 47% unfavorable.
When’s the national election?
Bogus
Sure, that’s what they want you to believe. Cruz appeals to a far narrower slice of the electorate.
I don’t trust anything coming from Kristol and is Standard Weakling.
Projection
Chortle!
You are going to have to do a lot better than that.
FACT.
A hypothetical fact.
Not according to Gallup. Trump has the highest negatives in history. He simply can't win a general election.
www.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/188936/trump-negative-image.aspx
“Trumpet”
I stopped reading right there.
When the first word out of your mouth is an ad hominem, you’ve already lost the argument.
Reality. If you have the highest negatives of any presidential candidate in history, including Mondale who lost 49 states to Reagan, you simply can’t win a general election.
YES.. I really believe that because I've seen it happen TWICE now.
Once with McCain.. then again with Romney. Cruz is a CLONE of those two candidates in terms of broad-base appeal.
Trump crosses ALL demographic lines and that's WHY the MSM and many a poll pushes the idea the Cruz can beat Hillary and Trump cannot.
That's complete BS!
Ummmm no. You have lost the argument. The facts are clear enough Trumpet. How’s that?
Since Trump still beats Clinton, who cares? And since Canuck Ted can’t get the nomination, meaningless.
Course, I don’t see you citing the raft of polls that came out today -—since, now, all of a sudden you BELIEVE in polls-—where Ted is getting CRUSHED by conservatives and evangelicals in SC.
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