Posted on 03/08/2016 5:24:01 AM PST by tatown
Hawaii · 19 delegates Last poll closes at 11:00 PM CT
Idaho · 32 delegates Last poll closes at 10:00 PM CT
Michigan · 59 delegates Last poll closes at 8:00 PM CT
Mississippi · 40 delegates Last poll closes at 7:00 PM CT
That all right, there will be good nights. Most people are smart enough to let the other side have their day when they lose. Some are just masochistic and have to crash the party.
Gubernatorial endorsements haven’t worked out too well this season. ME, SC, MS governors all chose a candidate that didn’t fare that well in their state.
The panel throwing some cold water on the GOPe movement. Good point though, only some GOPe care, and Indys can vote soon. Cruz will struggle in those states. Where are Rubio and Kasich supposed to get money for this dopey plot?
A few more wins sure would be nice, I would rather be in Trump’s shoes than Cruz’s for sure. But look at the polls and then the results in Michigan and Mississippi for Trump and Cruz:
Michigan
Trump -
RCP poll: 37.3
Results: 36.6
Difference: -.7
Cruz -
RCP poll: 19.8
Results: 24.8
Difference +6.0
Mississippi
Trump -
RCP poll: 41
Results: 47.4
Difference: +6.4
Cruz -
RCP poll: 17
Results: 36.3
Difference: +19.3
I think Cruz will be encouraged as he keeps over-performing in the polls. Does the math say he can win? No, the odds are incredibly low. But he is still performing very well.
I seriously think he and Trump are both laughing at the GOP establishment’s panic.
On April 19th, New York votes and Trump will win the vast majority of those 95 delegates. That is also the day I predict that the combined delegate count of Trump and Cruz will cross the 1,237 line.
That would be the perfect day for them to meet at Trump’s victory party and announce that Trump has chosen his running mate and Cruz will release his delegates at the convention so they can vote for Trump.
I would pay money to see the faces of the establishment at that moment.
Cruz is doing okay in California right now.
She’s a lumberjack and she’s OK
She sleeps all night, she works all day.
She works in the forest and she cuts down trees,
She loves to pick wild flowers...
Yes.
So will they or not drop out is the question of the hour, Kasich won't because he's been bleating all along he's going to be running against Trump and he's banking on Ohio. Rubio is between a rock and hard place even before Florida.
Personally I can't stand Kasich’s consistent whining from the get go. Just don't like the man.
Dana had a doubly bad night, Trump won and Hillary lost.
What your thoughts after tonight.
Crus people seem to think he can take CA
Poor Kaysick. He was so close to getting 2nd in Michigan.
Great Night for Trump!
For Idaho, you’re looking at roughly somewhere between 18 and 20 for Cruz and 12 and 14 for Trump, assuming that Rubio doesn’t creep over 20%.
Right now, it’s 19-13 Cruz (and very close to 20-12 with rounding) with Rubio shut out.
But do your family & friends know that? If so, have they ostracized you yet? Hope not.
Good.on you both, FRiend.
“Last time I checked, Bush was a REPUBLICAN.”
Which means exactly what, anymore?
He’ll, even the ‘conservative’ label has been co-opted and bastardized by the DC Uniparty establishment elites.
Forget labels, and watch what politicians DO, not what they SAY.
I figure the GOPe would be betting on Kasich to take PA, and I have no idea who they think would take CA, if not Trump. Sounds like a plan of "wing it" and "hope." Pretty much how they govern too.
I haven't "done the math," so don't have a handle on any "must have" states for Trump, and any "must have" states for blocking Trump.
CA is winner take all by congressional district, with 10 statewide.
So there will likely be a delegate split.
PA is far from winner take all. They have a ‘loophole’ delegate election by congressional district. By rule their delegates are uncommitted at the convention. Old school leverage politics. Their 17 statewide delegates are bound to the state winner on the first ballot.
Teddy Roosevelt as an Assistant Secretary of the Navy, Governor of NY and and VP really does not qualify as an “outsider”.
“What your thoughts after tonight.
Crus people seem to think he can take CA”
My question to you: How well liked is Bush in CA? After tonight, I think that will play a part in how he does.
Actually, if things stay the way they are right now, it should be 32-0 for Cruz:
"If one candidate wins more than 50% of the National Convention Delegates, that candidate receives all the National Convention Delegates. [Idaho Republican Party State Rules. Idaho Rules for Selection of Delegates to the National Convention and State Convention. Article VI. Section 3.(a)]"
Unless Rubio breaks 20%, looks like Trump will be shut out in Idaho...
A buddy at work said that the best way to distinguish them now is to say "Statist vs. Non-Statist". I agreed.
19-13 at this time.
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