Posted on 03/16/2016 12:39:04 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
So, 538 + 25 = 563
Don’t be distracted. This is more about the loss of control of the GOP than the loss of the nomination. Trump’s first order of business should be to sack everyone in the RNC.
And Trump also gets Pa. and perhaps Ct.!
“If however, Cruz leagues himself with the establishment, he will not only not gain the presidency but he will lose his reputation.”
And Cruz will show all that he puts his ambition ahead of the good of our Country.
I hope he chooses to be a true patriot.
Trump needs 564 of 1341 remaing delegates.
You do the math. See any way that adds up to what the “60%” author is claiming?
Pretty obvious you not listening to anything being told you here.
too much seeing what they want to see going on around here.
I posted earlier that we should EACH make one phone call a day to a congressman until the end of the primaries telling them they are through if they try a third party or pull any tricks at the convention
Prior performance does not predict future results.
This is global warming math - if it was 48 degrees yesterday and 56 degrees today, then tomorrow it’s got to be 64.
-Or- if the score in the Super Bowl is 21-7 at halftime, then the final will be 42-14.
It’s always an open question about how much of the media’s position is from stupidity and how much from bias. Tough call.
There are early indications that Cruz has peaked and is in decline...albeit he will get a little boost from Rubio supporters...I have a feeling though that his staunchest supporters are in states that have already had their primary/causcus. We will see in next four weeks or so if Cruz is in the decline I am thinking he may be in.
On the other hand, there are indications Trump is surging (again) the Economist poll with him at 53% support shows he once again has broken the glass ceiling pundits have tried to put over him. Most interesting in that poll was the unfavorable...Trump was 33% Unfavorable, quite an improvement...Cruz was 40% Unfavorable, quite an increase.
I do not believe Kasich will go anywhere, he is just a little heavier Jeb and not really someone that will capture the movement that Trump and Cruz have tapped into.
We will see, one thing is for certain...this ain’t no boring election!!!
Yet that exactly what the “Trump is doomed” crowd is arguing. That Trump will continue to perform as currently performing and Kaisch will OVER perform his current perforamnce
If Mitt Romney continued to win delegates at the same rate after March 15 that he won before March 15, then he would have been about 450 delegates short.
And if my uncle had been plumbed a little bit differently, then he might have been my auntie.
Snail mail works better, believe it or not, but it doesn’t hurt also sending email and phoning as well.
In the Senate? lol ... you're dreaming ... he would not get 1 single Democrat vote for confirmation ...
How is Cruz going to do in NY/NJ I wonder?
And KaSICKO has a LOT of disgusting skeletons in his closet AND he is PRO-AMNESTY, PRO-TPP, AND PRO-OBAMACARE. He's alo a big GOPEer!
Trump has 673 delegates right now
Not 538
You’re correct, but in this case, it’s 100% of both stupidity and bias.
Also, California has three delegates per Congressional district, so is not a true winner take all state.
All Trump has to do is win his share of Congressional districts.
The likelihood of Trump losing most California delegates is very low.
Trump has 673 delegates at this time. There are 1,061 delegates left on the table.
Trump must get 1,237 delegates to win the nomination.
The math:
1,237 - 673 = 564 (delegates needed to win the nomination)
564/1,061 = percentage of delegates Trump needs to win to get the nomination = 53%
Cruz has 411 delegates at this time. There are 1,061 delegates left on the table. Cruz must get 1,237 delegates to win the nomination (I repeat this because this is black and white).
The math: 1,237 - 411 = 826 (delegates needed to win the nomination) 564/1,061 = percentage of delegates Cruz needs to win to get the nomination = 78%
#########
After the math, how will Cruz get 78% of the remaining delegates? Are people living brain dead in the Fantasy World of the Unicorn Farm
The conclusion:
Trump risks falling short of delegate count for nomination
*************
Yep that was a risk that all the wannabees chose when they put their name in the hat.
They may all have fallen short or one may just make it. We’ll see how the process evolves.
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