Posted on 04/06/2016 11:16:58 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
A Monmouth University survey released Wednesday shows Trump taking 52 percent support, followed by Kasich at 25 percent. Ted Cruz has 17 percent.
The April 19 primary in New York will go a long way toward determining whether Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the GOP nomination outright and avoid a contested convention.
At Trump’s current level of support, he’s on pace to take a strong majority of the state’s 95 delegates, and it appears that he may run the board.
“If this result holds in every single congressional district, Trump will walk away with nearly all of New York State’s delegates,” said Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray.
A majority of New York Republicans — 57 percent — said Trump’s myriad controversial remarks, from musing about punishing women who get abortions should they be made illegal to encouraging a nuclear arms race in Asia, will have no impact on how they vote in the primary.
Twenty-nine percent said Trump’s controversial remarks make them less likely to support him, while 7 percent said they’re more likely to support Trump because of his comments.
Seventy-two percent of Republicans in New York say that sharing their home state with Trump will have no bearing on whether they support him or not. Fourteen percent said they’re proud to hail from the same state as Trump, while 13 percent said they’re embarrassed.
Kasich is the Republican candidate who does best in a head-to-head match-up against Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton, according to pollsters.
If the Ohio governor were the GOP nominee, 80 percent of Republican primary voters said they’d cast a ballot for him over Clinton. Only 70 percent said the same of Trump, and 66 percent of Cruz.
“It is interesting that Kasich would be a stronger nominee in Trump’s home state, but it is purely academic,” said Murray. “There is almost no probability that any Republican would be able to win New York’s electoral votes.”
Kasich has no chance to win the nomination outright, but is staying in the race in hopes of an open convention. He’s argued that he’ll run stronger than Cruz as the anti-Trump alternative in upcoming contests in the northeast.
There is still an opening, however, for Kasich and Cruz to make gains on Trump, the poll found.
Forty percent of New York Republicans said they are unlikely to change their minds from the candidate they currently support, but 34 percent said they’re willing to consider a different candidate. Twelve percent said they’re hardly committed to their candidate at all, and 14 percent are undecided.
The Monmouth survey of 302 likely New York GOP primary voters was conducted between April 3 and April 5 and has 5.6-percentage-point margin of error.
Trump needs to really hit Kasich hard, get his number over 60 percent to be safe. A vote for Kasich is wasted, he can’t get there. This needs to be understood. He’s like a lapper in a car race who tries to push the leader off the track.
Well don’t feel bad practically had to go to war with the Houston Lesbian Mayor over the issue, she is finally on her way out.
He’ll break 50% without a doubt.
Trump doesn’t drink.
Be happy it’s only 302 voters. If it was 600 Trump would be in the 60’s. He does better in large samples.
Trust me. Cruz is absolutely despised in NJ. People here are not falling for the phony preacher routine. The only people here who support him are the Lonegan kooks. His biggest supporter outside of Lonegan in the state is Rich Pezzullo. He has all of about 10 followers on FB.
This Guy can't win anything that most candidates would win at least half of those States and the best he comes in is third and under 20% of the Vote
How does Cruz beat anyone?
What a hoot! You're on a roll today. Here are Donnie's typical "conservative" comments on the economy:
"In many cases, I probably identify more as Democrat," Trump told CNN's Wolf Blitzer in a 2004 interview. "It just seems that the economy does better under the Democrats than the Republicans. Now, it shouldn't be that way. But if you go back, I mean it just seems that the economy does better under the Democrats. ...But certainly we had some very good economies under Democrats, as well as Republicans. But we've had some pretty bad disaster under the Republicans."
http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/21/politics/donald-trump-election-democrat/
Find me a similar quote from Cruz praising the Democrats and I'll consider switching to your guy.
That is were the fag parties Cruz pranced to were held. New York is very fag supporting which Cruz loves the money he makes there doing God knows what.
Well I’d take the democratic trump over the fraud Cruz conservative.
New York is very fag supporting...
Oh, are you talking about New York Values?
It's winner take all by congressional district for 81 of the 95 delegates. 11 are proportional on the overall vote. So which districts are Cruz or Kasich going to win?
New York is very fag supporting…
Hey, napscoordinator, diss New York and you diss the land of winners
Cruz dissed New York. Go take it up with him.
You: New York is very fag supporting…
Hypocrite.
It’s not my word. That’s a quote from a Trump supporter.
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