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Fallout: Donald Trump Will Fall 50-100 Delegates Short of 1,237 Needed to Clinch Nomination
Breitbart.com ^ | 6 Apr 2016 | Mike Flynn & Michael Patrick Leahy

Posted on 04/07/2016 6:10:31 AM PDT by Rockitz

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’s overwhelming victory in Wisconsin on Tuesday makes it all but impossible for GOP frontrunner Donald Trump to win the 1,237 delegates he needs to secure the nomination ahead of the RNC convention in Cleveland.

Trump currently leads the GOP field with 743 delegates. He would need to win 58.9 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to obtain the simple majority necessary.

A number of the states remaining award delegates proportionally. The bulk of delegates in one critical upcoming state, Pennsylvania, aren’t officially bound to any candidate. The fight for California’s massive 172 delegates will be fought largely in each of the state’s 54 Congressional Districts.

As a result, Breitbart News estimates that Donald Trump will end the primary portion of the nomination fight with 1164 delegates, 74 short of the 1,237 delegates necessary to win the nomination on the first ballot. This estimate assumes Trump’s performance in upcoming contests is consistent with the results prior to Wisconsin.

In other words, it is a static estimate, assuming no great change in the trajectory, tone, or focus of the campaigns. It isn’t based on any future missteps, like those experienced by the Trump campaign ahead of the Wisconsin primary. Our assumption is, in many respects, the most optimistic for the Trump campaign. Because of this, it underscores the steep challenge Donald Trump faces heading into the 4th Quarter of the primary season.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bs; cruz2016; dontcountonit; michaelpatrickleahy; mikeflynn; ntsa; trump; trump2016
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To: austingirl

Trump vs. Hillary tends to poll Hillary according to voters presented with a tabula rasa.

However, this won’t be the case by Election Day. The Alpha Dog Donald will have tangled with the Cat Hillary, and just about any sane person expects that most of the fur that will fly, won’t be the Dog’s. Trump doesn’t have any Benghazis or Emailgates.


121 posted on 04/07/2016 7:14:10 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: Reeses

Rules are rules, fair or corrupt. I dont think so!


122 posted on 04/07/2016 7:14:59 AM PDT by orinoco (Orinoco)
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To: Rockitz

I said it before and I will say it again. I was an original Cruz or lose guy but Ted’s less than ethical tactics told me he is in it for himself and not for the country. If he were the patriot he claims to be he would have already left the race and pledged his delegates to Trump.


123 posted on 04/07/2016 7:15:03 AM PDT by TonyM
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To: Jay Thomas

I was there. I personally know the people involved and the timeline. I’ll dig up the story later.


124 posted on 04/07/2016 7:15:19 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: orinoco

No Trunp will not get “the majority.” Probably the largest plurality.

And it is not “corruption” for the actual majority of reps to reject Trump. That’s called a “republic.” And the USA is a republic.

This is the normal way the process works.

Trunp is not a conservative and so does not have grass roots support beyond his fringe. Of course they will reject him.


125 posted on 04/07/2016 7:15:40 AM PDT by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem)
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To: Bruce Campbells Chin

If Democrats hadn’t dragged their feet on racial reconciliation and hadn’t dug up old hatchets in the guise of “healing” a problem, we’d have far more cordial race relations today. 40 acres and a mule matters a lot less to this picture than acres of Democrat bigots that are dead set on being mules.


126 posted on 04/07/2016 7:16:19 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: Jewbacca

A “fringe” which reaches well outside the party.


127 posted on 04/07/2016 7:16:59 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: austingirl

IF..........DT > TC
AND.....HC > DT
THEN...HC > TC


128 posted on 04/07/2016 7:17:10 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th (I was conceived in liberty, how about you?)
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To: Ted Grant
I’ll probably switch my GOP registration to Independent and find a hobby: following politics will be too depressing for the next half century.

I've all but checked out already. When this election cycle began I was saying, "Wow, the party has such an embarrassment of riches." Now I say, "Wow, the party is such an embarrassment."

I've gone back to building hotrods (before they're outlawed), playing music (before it is banned), and chasing girls (before I'm too old).

129 posted on 04/07/2016 7:17:32 AM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

I still hope Hillary is jailed and not the nominee. I remember how Hillary made Rick Lazio look like a bully in their NY Senate debate when he dared to approach her podium. Hillary has the media in her pocket and will use this to her advantage. She’ll play the woman/victim card.


130 posted on 04/07/2016 7:17:35 AM PDT by austingirl (Cruz 2016)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

Polls for a Trump v Hillary at this point is silly. Trump has had to spend his efforts fighting off the GOPe and has not had a chance to take aim at Hillary yet. I am suspicious of any poll at this time.


131 posted on 04/07/2016 7:17:40 AM PDT by TonyM
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To: jjotto

OK, thanks.


132 posted on 04/07/2016 7:17:50 AM PDT by Jay Thomas (If not for my faith in Christ, I would despair.)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

I agree with all that. But Democrat actions after the war don’t impact the moral imperative of eliminating slavery.


133 posted on 04/07/2016 7:18:00 AM PDT by Bruce Campbells Chin
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To: Jay Thomas

http://www.kcci.com/news/report-trump-want-to-offer-kids-helicopter-rides-at-iowa-state-fair/34446940

...Trump told the British newspaper on Wednesday that “he’s asked the Iowa State Fair for permission to set up the thrill ride at his own risk and expense.”

The riders would board his $7 million, 12-seat Sikorsky S-76 helicopter that is the one in the opening credits of “Celebrity Apprentice.”

Trump told the newspaper he plans to fly the helicopter out to Iowa.

An Iowa State Fair spokeswoman told the Des Moines Register that Trump has not asked the fair for permission to offer the rides and he would not be granted permission to do so on the fairgrounds...


134 posted on 04/07/2016 7:18:28 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: austingirl

Reagan was polling behind Carter in 198- and won the nomination and the Presidency. Waaay too early to rely on these head to head polls!


135 posted on 04/07/2016 7:18:53 AM PDT by orinoco (Orinoco)
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To: TonyM

It is looking like a Dominionist theology issue. This is what has apparently managed to transcend ideas about who Christ (or for that matter the devil) is, to get Cruz hand in hand with the devoutly Mormon Glen Beck.

My reaction: Ted please don’t do this to Christianity. I’d rather a secularist in all but name, than this.


136 posted on 04/07/2016 7:19:18 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: crusher

I see the job as problem solving with complext variances.

Some of the solutions are fairly simple i.e build the wall.

Perhaps the most complex part of the job would be dealing with Congress and I believe this is why Trump said he’d choose a VP with deep experience (Jeff Sessions?).

Providing for the common defense is something I believe Trump would be excellent at - as well as protecting our rights.

Being POTUS is not something he’s wanted to do since grade school but he sees big problems that need to be fixed or our children’s and grandchildren’s lives won’t be anywhere close to as good as ours were.


137 posted on 04/07/2016 7:19:47 AM PDT by Aria (2016: The gravy train v Donald Trump)
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To: Jewbacca

Depends on what the definition of conservative is!!


138 posted on 04/07/2016 7:20:07 AM PDT by orinoco (Orinoco)
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To: Bruce Campbells Chin

What I’m trying to get at is that Democrats did their darndest to impose a soft slavery after the hard slavery was over. And if we had to pay for the hard slavery, we probably will pay for the soft slavery too.


139 posted on 04/07/2016 7:20:26 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: rockrr

Yes, I believe once Trump is out of the picture (later this year, in four years or in eight years), there’s no reason to pretend anymore.

I need to find my own private Idaho, collect watches, quietly run my business, and otherwise check out of this political hobby. Really, it’s never been more clear that it’s a complete waste of time.


140 posted on 04/07/2016 7:20:35 AM PDT by Ted Grant
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