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Fallout: Donald Trump Will Fall 50-100 Delegates Short of 1,237 Needed to Clinch Nomination
Breitbart.com ^ | 6 Apr 2016 | Mike Flynn & Michael Patrick Leahy

Posted on 04/07/2016 6:10:31 AM PDT by Rockitz

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’s overwhelming victory in Wisconsin on Tuesday makes it all but impossible for GOP frontrunner Donald Trump to win the 1,237 delegates he needs to secure the nomination ahead of the RNC convention in Cleveland.

Trump currently leads the GOP field with 743 delegates. He would need to win 58.9 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to obtain the simple majority necessary.

A number of the states remaining award delegates proportionally. The bulk of delegates in one critical upcoming state, Pennsylvania, aren’t officially bound to any candidate. The fight for California’s massive 172 delegates will be fought largely in each of the state’s 54 Congressional Districts.

As a result, Breitbart News estimates that Donald Trump will end the primary portion of the nomination fight with 1164 delegates, 74 short of the 1,237 delegates necessary to win the nomination on the first ballot. This estimate assumes Trump’s performance in upcoming contests is consistent with the results prior to Wisconsin.

In other words, it is a static estimate, assuming no great change in the trajectory, tone, or focus of the campaigns. It isn’t based on any future missteps, like those experienced by the Trump campaign ahead of the Wisconsin primary. Our assumption is, in many respects, the most optimistic for the Trump campaign. Because of this, it underscores the steep challenge Donald Trump faces heading into the 4th Quarter of the primary season.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bs; cruz2016; dontcountonit; michaelpatrickleahy; mikeflynn; ntsa; trump; trump2016
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To: Aria

Let’s see... hmmm... Which of our Presidents built a skyscraper?

Or, we could have a reality TV show where two men organize and prosecute another Presidential candidate for espionage and treason.

Oh Yeah! That’s not “REAL” to the pop-culture, reality TV crowd. It’ll never work. They want “glitz and pizzazz!”

Believe me.


61 posted on 04/07/2016 6:46:29 AM PDT by kinsman redeemer (The real enemy seeks to devour what is good.)
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To: stratboy

Trump is going to DC to meet with Paul Ryan today - guess he is selling out to the GOPe.


62 posted on 04/07/2016 6:46:55 AM PDT by austingirl (Cruz 2016)
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To: kinsman redeemer
You said, "That's why a real debate is the last thing Cruz wants." This demonstrates how ill-informed you are.

What it really demonstrates is that you have a tin ear for irony.

63 posted on 04/07/2016 6:47:50 AM PDT by Agnes Heep (Trump 2016: Statism that WORKS for US!!!)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

It MIGHT go the other way. I don’t know.


64 posted on 04/07/2016 6:47:50 AM PDT by kinsman redeemer (The real enemy seeks to devour what is good.)
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To: Rockitz

So Trump only needs 74 of the 300 something uncommitted delegates to put him over the top. I think he can afford that.


65 posted on 04/07/2016 6:48:42 AM PDT by ez ("Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is..." - Milton)
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To: jjotto

I am sure the egoist never considered how his arrogance affects people.


66 posted on 04/07/2016 6:48:46 AM PDT by austingirl (Cruz 2016)
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To: Democrats hate too much

Parrot.


67 posted on 04/07/2016 6:48:49 AM PDT by kinsman redeemer (The real enemy seeks to devour what is good.)
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To: Wright Wing
Trump could make alliances but why should he?

Because he wants/wanted to win the nomination. The rules specified that he needed a majority of the delegates to win, not just a plurality, and it should have been clear to him months ago that wasn't a sure thing.

So, if he really wanted to win the nomination and be something more than just a gadfly, then he have should cared about building the alliances that might be necessary to ensure that he is the nominee. If he chose not to do that, that's on him.

If he wasn't willing to build alliances or work with the party rather than attacking it, then he should have run as an independent. If he made a mistake in choosing not to do that, that's on him as well.

His campaign is where it is because of decisions and choices he made. If it is enough to win him the nomination and election, then all the critics will have been wrong. But if he doesn't succeed, that blame lies squarely on him.

Personally responsibility and all that.

68 posted on 04/07/2016 6:49:29 AM PDT by Bruce Campbells Chin
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To: HombreSecreto

At this point in time, I’m not going to worry about the convention. All I can do is to vote in my state’s primary on April 26 and speak positively of the candidate I support and trust that Mr. Trump will continue to develop his team of advisors who will help him frame his plans to govern.


69 posted on 04/07/2016 6:49:39 AM PDT by Ciexyz ("You know who gets hurt? The people who worked hard, lived frugally, and saved their money."- Trump)
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"Cruz wins 100% of the vote in the remaining primaries and he still falls short." -- How the Rest of the Delegate Race Could Unfold, 8 posted on 04/06/2016 5:18:17 AM PDT by King of Florida
How the Rest of the Delegate Race Could Unfold


70 posted on 04/07/2016 6:50:05 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: Proudcongal

YOU cannot vote for the office of the president.
ONLY the electoral college gets a vote in it.
That’s why a big deal is being made about the delegates in the electoral college!


71 posted on 04/07/2016 6:50:07 AM PDT by HWGruene (REMEMBER THE ALAMO! Really, no kidding.)
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To: Reeses
172 is an outsized number relative to the number of Republicans left in California.

Every state gets at least 3 delegates per CD plus 3 RNC delegates, plus additional delegates for other factors. California doesn't get any "bonus" delegates, but because we have so many congressional districts, we have the most delegates.

72 posted on 04/07/2016 6:50:18 AM PDT by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: peyton randolph

Not sure 600,000 dead Americans was a positive outcome from the 1860 election.


73 posted on 04/07/2016 6:50:47 AM PDT by baltimorepoet
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To: peyton randolph

Tell millions of Trump supporters they’re being illogical. And with Trump running third party, Cruz would take a deal with the establishment even if it means certain defeat in the general?


74 posted on 04/07/2016 6:51:34 AM PDT by Proudcongal (I'm supporting the American, Donald J. Trump, the people's president)
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To: kinsman redeemer

how many times do you have to keep saying this.
We have had debates, get over it.


75 posted on 04/07/2016 6:51:51 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: kinsman redeemer

You are right on one hand. There are core differences that each candidate has yet to clearly display.

On the other hand the idea of a clear defining debate assumes a debate setting that allows those important distinctions to be drawn out. There is no media that can run it that way. They are all clowns.


76 posted on 04/07/2016 6:51:55 AM PDT by KC Burke (Consider all of my posts as first drafts. (Apologies to L. Niven))
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To: jjotto

Your post No. 60 should be pinned somewhere for people who don’t understand this stuff. It is all about the speeches/demonstrations by supporters of other candidates.


77 posted on 04/07/2016 6:52:23 AM PDT by Bruce Campbells Chin
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To: Bruce Campbells Chin

And no one else has acquired the most votes during the primaries as he has. Cruz is equally responsible for this mess for stringing it along once he becomes mathematically unable to win the nomination.

The party can be about backroom bargaining or follow the voice of the voters.


78 posted on 04/07/2016 6:52:40 AM PDT by Wright Wing
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To: The Toll

The rules for the convention were set last fall. 1237 is the number- if Trump does not reach it, he does not win the nomination and there will be an open convention. Trump cannot claim victory unless he wins. He was way behind the curve on his ground game and delegate management. He finally hired an establishment operative to help. Facts.


79 posted on 04/07/2016 6:53:04 AM PDT by austingirl (Cruz 2016)
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To: Proudcongal
Then we beat Hillary soundly.

The GOPe wants Hillary to win because they would then keep their power and importance. They don't care about anything else, not Republican voters, not America. There is one and only one reason the GOPe controls the legislative branch right now: a big libtard in the Whitehouse.

80 posted on 04/07/2016 6:53:44 AM PDT by Reeses (A journey of a thousand miles begins with a government pat down.)
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