BROWN, CUOMO RACE TO RAISE MINIMUM WAGE -- KASICH TOPS BAY AREA IN NEW POLL

Politico ^ | 4/5/2016 | Staff

[GilGil]

REGIONAL BREAKDOWNS: SoCal is head over heels for Trump (Trump 49 percent; Cruz 34, Kasich 13) , Central Valley leans Trump (Trump 39, Cruz 26, Kasich 18), and Inland Empire for Cruz (Cruz, 43, Trump 30, Kasich, 9). Silicon Valley and the Bay Area? Kasich trounces Trump 43-36, with Cruz at 14.

[Red Steel]

If you listen to the GOPe, the lame media, and Trump’s opposition it’s ‘No’ to your question. However, if you honestly run the numbers state-by-state and understand the rules the answer is a categorical ‘Yes’ that Trump can easily clear 1,237.

[Mastador1]

SoCal is head over heels for Trump

I don't know that I would necessarily look at that as a positive, after all we went for Arnold too!

[DoughtyOne]

Please remove me from your ping list.

Thank you.

[GilGil]

Let me be sure I understand the terminology here:

“head over heels” = 15 points ahead (Trump)

“leans” = 13 points ahead (Trump)

“for” = 13 points ahead (Cruz)

“trounces” = 7 points ahead (Kasich)

Do I have that right?
_______________________________

It’s called “fair and balanced” a la Crazy Megyn!

[InterceptPoint]

I doubt Cruz would still be standing if the opposition had sent $500 million against him in advertising and had the entire media and establishment against him.

Would Trump be where he is without the perhaps $Billion in free TV face time that he has had over the last 9 months? I don't think so. That knife cuts both ways and Trump has drawn some of the blood.

[napscoordinator]

Yes but it will be tight. If trump does get 150 which most predictions show him getting 75 to be conservative then he’d get 1279. Another 75 and he wins the nomination with about 90 over minimum. Indiana is not in the projections so if he gets any delegates that’s just more gravy. The mountain states only have trump getting 30 delegates total so again if he gets more that’s just more good news.

[dp0622]

Seems like every other state has a different set up.

I don’t like the way primaries are conducted. This is my first following one.

Why not popular vote or electoral college based on popular vote?

[Vic S]

I live in Ca and most of the people I’ve talked to are for Trump.

No, I don’t have any illegal friends or acquatences

[GilGil]

I doubt Cruz would still be standing if the opposition had sent $500 million against him in advertising and had the entire media and establishment against him.
Would Trump be where he is without the perhaps $Billion in free TV face time that he has had over the last 9 months? I don’t think so. That knife cuts both ways and Trump has drawn some of the blood.
______________________________

Every candidate had the same opportunity to play the media and get free advertising the way Trump has. The fact is they did not have the brains or the courage to do it.

It is their fault not Trump’s. To claim Trump had an unfair advantage is ridiculous. The other candidates are all donor puppets including Cruz and doing what they are told. They do not have the brains or courage to do what Trump has.

[EveningStar]

Done. Have a good day. :)

[dp0622]

doesn’t sound tight the way you describe it :)

who cares if its 1237 or 1238? as long as he gets there!

[napscoordinator]

Who freaking cares. I want trump to get the nomination and specifically by the voters. I’d rather the voters decide this primary then Cruz running around getting establishment politicians like he is. The voters give a resounding NO to Cruz. The establishment politicians give a resounding NO to trump. I like our chances.

[DoughtyOne]

Thank you.

You too...

[Red Steel]

It’s just the way it is.

[BagCamAddict]

And, and, and.... This sentence:

Trump at this hour continues to lead Ted Cruz, though narrowly, among likely Republican primary voters. Today, it’s Trump 40%, Cruz 32%, John Kasich 17%.

So Trump leads narrowly by 8 points, but Kasich trounces by 7 points.

Makes perfect media sense.

[GilGil]

Paul Manafort: Trump wins the nomination by June and Cruz is going into a rough patch.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IivP2Q12nnQ

Relax and enjoy the victories.

[Dr. Sivana]

I doubt Cruz would still be standing if the opposition had sent $500 million against him in advertising and had the entire media and establishment against him.

Trump also had about $2 billion of largely positive "free" media exposure. I don't begrudge him that. "Free" media in his case is truly earned media, and it is a strength of his that he can manipulate the media (great to be on the right side of THAT equation). But those opponents who don't have a 30 year established, well-defined identity have to do it on their own with advertising, social media and old school campaigning. If you think the $500 million is unfair, you really won't like what Hillary Clinton and company will be cooking up.

Trump is crushing it and will win the nomination by June. Hell! Hillary with just one candidate can’t get 50%.

Point well taken. I have said all along that ANY candidate whose last name is not Bush can win the general if he is willing to take it to her. Cruz and Trump certainly would, I'm not sure about Kasich, who is highly unlikely to be a player.

[napscoordinator]

I agree!

[Red Steel]

Ping. Your prediction is good for the West coast.

[GilGil]

And, and, and.... This sentence:
Trump at this hour continues to lead Ted Cruz, though narrowly, among likely Republican primary voters. Today, it’s Trump 40%, Cruz 32%, John Kasich 17%.

So Trump leads narrowly by 8 points, but Kasich trounces by 7 points.

Makes perfect media sense.
___________________________________

Now you are seeing what I see. I thought I was the only one.