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Prediction Markets Show Cruz Craters After Deal With Kasich; Fiorina, Pence Not Boosting Him
Breitbart ^ | 2 May 16 | Boyle & Badolato

Posted on 05/02/2016 6:26:21 AM PDT by xzins

The data compiled here on Breitbart News comes from PredictIt, a betting market that creates an almost free market interpretation of what might happen in a given political election.

The Texas senator had been above 50 cents— But, after the (Kasich) deal, Cruz has crashed and despite two desperate measures—the announcement of his vice presidential pick Carly Fiorina and the Pence endorsement—has not recovered.

Almost instantly after the Pence deal, Trump took a commanding lead over Cruz. While at one point on April 24 the markets had Trump under 40 cents, by midday April 25, the markets—in response to the Cruz-Kasich deal—had corrected themselves to have Trump at over 60 cents. Since then, the markets have only benefited Trump with just small upticks for Cruz that undo themselves moments later when he announced Fiorina as his running mate and when he received the tepid backing of Pence, Indiana’s governor.

Trump, with new polling showing him well over double digits ahead of Cruz in the Hoosier State, has now skyrocketed way ahead of the Texas senator there—and is widely expected by financial analysts to win the state on Tuesday. Heading into Sunday, Trump was close to 75 cents—and he is now over 90 cents projected to be the winner.

“The markets have really been ahead of the polling and ahead of the pundits,” Rothschild said. But your best bet for accurate and reliable political predictions, it turns out, is actually the marketplace.”

It appears as though Cruz is headed for an epic defeat on Tuesday in Indiana, If Cruz loses in Indiana, it is widely expect that Donald Trump will win the GOP nomination for the presidency outright before the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July—and that neither Cruz nor anyone else including Kasich will be able to stop him.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California; US: Indiana; US: New York; US: Ohio; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; california; carlyfiorina; cruz; election2016; fiorina; indiana; johnkasich; newyork; ohio; pence; tedcruz; texas; trump
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

It’s just gossip and not worth thinking about. Certainly not worth repeating.


61 posted on 05/02/2016 8:36:27 AM PDT by Not gonna take it anymore (If Obama were twice as smart as he is, he would be a wit)
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To: Fantasywriter

There are just as many people who assert that Trump has been just as nasty and malicious.

That goes both ways.

Cruz may apologize but Trump doesn’t have it in him imo.


62 posted on 05/02/2016 8:38:13 AM PDT by Principled (...the Supreme Court of the United States favors some laws over others...)
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To: Principled

Cruz came out of the gate in NH with a lying ad he personally approved. The big lie in the ad wasn’t a partial truth. It wasn’t 99% false and 1% true. It was a total, complete, 100%, vicious, nasty, malicious, premeditated lie, concocted for the purpose of destroying Trump. Christian behavior,indeed.

You show me an ad Trump ran against Cruz based on a lie of this magnitude, and I’ll buy your moral equivalence.

I’ll wait.

Forever.


63 posted on 05/02/2016 8:44:20 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: Fantasywriter

Trump came out of the gate in NH with a lying ad he personally approved. The big lie in the ad wasn’t a partial truth. It wasn’t 99% false and 1% true. It was a total, complete, 100%, vicious, nasty, malicious, premeditated lie, concocted for the purpose of destroying Cruz. Christian behavior,indeed.

easy to do.
Little Marco
Lyin’ Ted
“that face” of Carly


64 posted on 05/02/2016 8:49:00 AM PDT by Principled (...the Supreme Court of the United States favors some laws over others...)
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To: MayflowerMadam

Trump will end up between 1265-1350 and if he really runs the table can end at 1400!


65 posted on 05/02/2016 8:50:09 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: xzins

Cruz is a good guy but his campaign people have run the worst campaign in my history. Worst pick for VP ever. Worst speeches ever. Just needed lots of common sense and it wasn’t there.


66 posted on 05/02/2016 8:50:45 AM PDT by Hattie
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To: Hattie

I read a story about Cruz and he hasn’t changed any of his thinking since he was a boy in college. He is replaying the debates he won at Harvard. He is a snob as well.


67 posted on 05/02/2016 8:59:17 AM PDT by Not gonna take it anymore (If Obama were twice as smart as he is, he would be a wit)
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To: xzins

“..Fiorina is in the driver’s seat...”

Going up against Hillary, it would make sense.


68 posted on 05/02/2016 9:00:00 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: Principled

What you said about Trump was not true. None of his ads have featured outright lies about Cruz. If Trump authorized a campaign ad about Cruz that was a total lie, I’d stop supporting Trump. But he’s never done that, nor would he. That’s part of the reason I support him.


69 posted on 05/02/2016 9:03:02 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: Gaffer

There is nothing...no position he can take that can help Cruz at all now. He will be demolished in California, beaten in Oregon, Washington and New Mexico...and that’s not even counting getting destroyed in New Jersey and West Virginia. He’s in it now for the money and for the hope that Trump loses the general election, so he can have a prediction to hang his hat on.

His problem is that he is a terrible candidate and quite apparently an awful person, narcissistic and very much a sociopath. So the future is not his to grab. He’s going to get cast into the backwaters where he should be.


70 posted on 05/02/2016 9:06:25 AM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: dynoman

I would like to know who is advising Cruz, worse advise ever!


71 posted on 05/02/2016 9:16:31 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Principled
If Cruz were running a good campaign, I would agree with you.

But Cruz's attacks against Trump have been hysterical and his campaign one of desperation.

72 posted on 05/02/2016 9:17:59 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Fantasywriter

True. Rove almost lost that election to Kerry!


73 posted on 05/02/2016 9:21:01 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: xzins

He never did make public is physical records to show the ‘war wounds’ that he suffered.


74 posted on 05/02/2016 9:22:06 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Absolutely true! There was John Kerry, stiff, high brow, awkward and, to be blunt, simply unlikable, and Rove came way, way too close to losing. [Do you remember blue-blooded Kerry trying to do a hick-accent, when he said, “Can I get me a hunting licence here,”? Not even Hillary’s black accent is worse.]

Save for the Swiftboat Veterans, Kerry would have won. Shudder!


75 posted on 05/02/2016 9:31:57 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: xzins

Economy barely treading water, Cruz brags he could recite Constitution, as Calgary school boy. And debate, too.

It informs thoughtful observers and voters, to look for more than mere ability to survive in halls of government, as a paycheck casher.


76 posted on 05/02/2016 9:36:45 AM PDT by truth_seeker (I think in some shopping centers etc.)
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To: xzins
[Fiorina Not Boosting Him]

Well, how could she? She fall down. Go boom.


77 posted on 05/02/2016 9:46:52 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: Principled

I don’t disagree, but he has no leverage with Trump. Trump has mentioned more than once, that he thinks Cruz is a good guy, and envisions them being friends.

I surely don’t think Trump will make any deals with the guy.


78 posted on 05/02/2016 10:03:03 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: xzins

Cruz in the last week: ...Cruz pick’s Carly, wife says he’s an immigrant, and Cruz says Trump will bring riots.

Red meat for the main stream media, right?

And, all in the hope the media will buoy his numbers.

Hint: The main stream media HATES YOUR GUTS TED!!! It isn’t working.


79 posted on 05/02/2016 10:07:51 AM PDT by Fitzy_888 ("ownership society")
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To: al_c

Sounded less like an endorsement and more like an announcement of the candidate for which Pence would cast his vote.


80 posted on 05/02/2016 10:22:06 AM PDT by bigredkitty1 (March 5,2010. Rest in peace, sweet boy. I will miss you, Big Red.)
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