Posted on 08/10/2016 9:14:32 AM PDT by usafa92
WASHINGTON, Aug. 10 (UPI) -- Donald Trump stabilized his polling numbers for a second day, gaining ground while Hillary Clinton slipped slightly in the UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll released Wednesday.
As of data collected since Monday, Clinton leads the race by 3.5 percentage points, 48.5 percent to Trump's 45 percent. Trump's modest climb back came after a 10-day decline, where he went from leading the race on the eve of the Democratic National Convention to trailing by nearly 7 points the week following it.
Trump also spent most of the past few days on-message, speaking from prepared remarks while delivering a speech on the economy and making amends with fellow Republicans by endorsing House Speaker Paul Ryan and other senators who he snubbed a week earlier.
On Tuesday night at a rally in North Carolina, though, he made a remark some regarded as encouraging Second Amendment supporters to shoot Hillary Clinton, drawing a round of condemnation from elected officials and critical media headlines.
If Trump's brief climb is stunted -- and especially if he gives back the ground he's made up in the national horserace -- it could signify that a small but potentially crucial portion of the population is being influenced by the daily news cycle.
If the candidates' numbers stabilize over the coming days, it could call into question whether voters have hardened their opinions of the candidates since the conventions and are unwilling to change their minds regardless of what happens. It could also suggest they are becoming more immune to the daily controversies that have defined news coverage of the campaign thus far.
The UPI/CVoter online daily presidential tracking poll surveys about 200 people per day, leading to a rolling sample size of roughly 1,400 people in any seven-day span. Because individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The survey's credibility interval is 3 percentage points. This data reflect sampling from Aug. 2 through Monday. The poll includes 1,471 registered voters and 993 self-described likely voters.
Has longroom.com updated their real stats yet?
Not yet. Still showing 8/6 as the latest update. Several polls are starting to confirm the re-tightening of the race (if it was ever really elastic). CVoter, USC and now Bloomberg all have the race within 4 with the last two showing her at 44.
He’s not down double digits in PA... I know that the poll came out claiming that, and it wasn’t a quack pollster, but Hillary doesn’t remotely have the support in the Philly region that she needs to carry the state... let alone be 10 points up.
Obama didn’t get 52% of the PA Vote in 2012... its laughable on its face that Hillary is at 50% support here today. I know what the polls claimed, but trust me, Hillary is not up 10 in PA.
There are some anti Hillary ads here in Jersey. NRA also has some playing, but he hasn’t kicked in with any of his own yet.
I am in Georgia, far away, but I heard that for some odd reason Trump might have a chance in Oregon. Do you sense that at all?
No. I used to live in Oregon, in a part that will vote Trump. But Oregon is primarily driven by Portland, an extremely left-wing town. Oregon will go Hillary.
Rather than a crude answer, let's say where the sun don't shine.
Polls are a fiction series that the media runs at election time. Haven't you seen their disclaimer?
"Any numbers on this poll are completely fictional and any resemblance to reality is totally unintended.
.
>> “1. The debates will change the polls” <<
By now you must understand that there will be no debates with Hillary.
She is not physically able to do it, nor is she intellectually able to do it, unless it is 100% scripted.
Could it be going after Khan really was a mistake?
IIRC , Romney won the independent vote , but 4 million conservatives stayed home .
Things said in humor or in sarcasm are twisted to make it sound like he said them seriously.
That is the essence of controlling speech, which you seemed to have fallen for and are giving credence to the attacks by the MSM.
The CBS/NYT/MSM lunch room?
I completely agree with you about Sean, Lou, and Judge J. Fox is basically unwatchable other than for those three. I have a few family members who, like me, are no longer watching any “news,” Faux or otherwise.
Then you have condemned Trump to silence.
For if Trump says ONLY ONE WORD....
"The....."
Then the Ministry of Propaganda will point out that T.H.E. is an acronym for Trump Hates Everyone.
Exactamundo!!
There’s no stabilization. Trump is, and has always been, way the hell ahead.
Exactly.
Too Byzantine.
To what you say case in point. Thia guy says he is an experienced pollster so he did an independent poll. Well suffice to say Hillary is getting badly smoked. a 9 min. Video as he goes over the his polling data. It’s another great data point for Trump outside the usual mass media polling.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uUh8ad67RBU&feature=youtu.be
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