Posted on 09/29/2016 4:26:17 AM PDT by usafa92
No,article, just link
(Excerpt) Read more at mobile.twitter.com ...
Here the problem for polls. They have to guess the weight sample. Traditional firms use the turn out model from the last election. So I am guessing PPP, which is a Left of center group, is polling assuming Dems will turn out for Hillary in the same numbers they did in 2012.
I think that is a flawed model.
A lot fewer undecideds and third party.
Florida - D+8
NC - D+9
PA - D+8
VA - D+5
Colorado is kind of weird, they claim to have an R+1 sample. The rest of the states are clearly junk, oversampling Dems by substantial amounts.
Because he needs to take the high road. However, I wish people outside his inner circle would be more vocal about her dirt.
Cool, that poll scared the shit outta me!
Colorado is strange. They claim it is +1 R but the people that voted for Obama(over Romney) was +9
I don't think so. The D/R/I spread in all the states looks quite reasonable to me. It is more or less the same as in 2012. So if the electorate looks like 2012, this poll is correct..
LOL
The Electorate is NOT going to be like 2012 when they had Obama!!!
They ask whom the respondents voted for in 2012.
Here’s the ‘overage’ of the poll above the actual vote for Obama:
Virginia +3%
Penn +4.5%
Colo +1%
Florida +4%
NC +4%
Three of of those are outside the professed MOE of the poll.
Never mind whether it’s even reasonable to assume Hillary/Trump gets the same sort of turnout as Obama/Romney.
Does Trumps grandchildren attend any of these events? What about his youngest child Baron? He needs the family out front from here on in...They are a great asset and need towels with the visual....Not to mention Ivanka can give him signs to cut it short when he gets off message! Listen to good advice Donald’s!
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