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Trump within 3 in PA Poll
Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/26/16 | Remington Research Group

Posted on 10/26/2016 8:53:12 AM PDT by grayhog

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To: scooby321

AFC?


61 posted on 10/26/2016 11:14:41 AM PDT by sargon (The Revolution is ON! Vote Trump!)
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To: HamiltonJay
Just a few more weeks to go.

Less than 2, by my count.

I'm starting to pick up on a vibe that makes me think that Trump is in the process of squashing Hillary like an insect.

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!

62 posted on 10/26/2016 11:20:02 AM PDT by sargon (The Revolution is ON! Vote Trump!)
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To: PapaBear3625
It’s all about turnout. Whoever motivates a bigger percentage of supporters to actually show up and vote will win.

If that's true, you'd think that Hillary doesn't have a chance.

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!

63 posted on 10/26/2016 11:24:38 AM PDT by sargon (The Revolution is ON! Vote Trump!)
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To: grayhog

If you drill down into the demographic details, Trump has 29% of the black vote (Obama had 93% in PA 2012), and 30% of Hispanic (Obama had 80%).

These are **WTF** type numbers. If sampling was distributed by population OR if these black/Hispanic ratios are in the ballpark of the actual results, Trump wins PA. Combine both of these together, you have a polling error of 10% (like in the Primary PA vote where Trump overperformed polling by 10%).


64 posted on 10/26/2016 2:32:05 PM PDT by tommymindtrick
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