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USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/27 -- Trump - .1 , Clinton + .3
USC/LA Times ^ | October 27, 2016 | USC/LA Times

Posted on 10/27/2016 12:10:30 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod

10/27

10/26

Change

Trump

45.2

45.3

- . 1

Clinton

44.5

44.2

+ . 3


(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls
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1 posted on 10/27/2016 12:10:30 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod
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To: BlessedBeGod

Trump still ahead.

Still D+7 sample size, apparently.

Could be up to 3 points behind and still good news.

Looking good.


2 posted on 10/27/2016 12:12:09 AM PDT by Luircin (Stomp Hillary, build wall, stop Islam. Any of the above are good reasons to vote. Trump 2016)
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To: Luircin

D +7 is way too high.

It should be more like D +2.

This is ridiculous - Hillary gains points on a D surge no one has seen in early voting.


3 posted on 10/27/2016 12:17:54 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Luircin

Oh well. I guess it’s asking for the impossible to have one national poll showing Trump with a solid lead that isn’t lost in mere days.


4 posted on 10/27/2016 12:18:45 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Luircin

The 30th will be the next big day to look for. That’s when Hillary’s great day and Trump’s terrible day fall off. Until then, that day will be dragging on Trump and lifting on Hillary.


5 posted on 10/27/2016 12:18:50 AM PDT by Rokke
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To: CatOwner

Trump has a solid lead.

Problem is why Dornsife uses D +7?

If Ds are turning out in those numbers, Hillary should be well ahead.

But as we saw yesterday, she’s incapable of keeping a lead.

Even in the face of favorable turnout numbers that don’t seem to be reflected in actual voting.


6 posted on 10/27/2016 12:23:01 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Luircin

what does the D+# mean?

They dont adjust for it? Just if they get a higher percentage of dems than there really are in the US, they use it?


7 posted on 10/27/2016 12:25:08 AM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: dp0622

2012 turnout was D +6.

Hillary isn’t getting anywhere near it in early voting.

You would think pollsters would update their turnout model to better reflect realty.

Nah.


8 posted on 10/27/2016 12:27:45 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: dp0622

They think that 7% more Dems will vote... or are just propagandists. And so they sample 7% more Dems.


9 posted on 10/27/2016 12:30:23 AM PDT by Luircin (Stomp Hillary, build wall, stop Islam. Any of the above are good reasons to vote. Trump 2016)
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To: goldstategop

with romney? and obummer?

That was a totally different planet. Hell, solar system.


10 posted on 10/27/2016 12:30:29 AM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: goldstategop
I worry that the pollster frauds are just going along with the fixed election, to make the witch's selection legit...

she will never be my president....never...

11 posted on 10/27/2016 12:30:43 AM PDT by cherry
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To: Luircin

If Hillary is getting a bigger turnout than Obama, that is news.


12 posted on 10/27/2016 12:31:46 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

D+7 is based on a fractured GOP and Democrat/media voter suppression.

Trump has said he does not need Republican unity to win. We will find out soon.


13 posted on 10/27/2016 12:34:49 AM PDT by nbenyo
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To: dp0622

Ds were enthusiastic about Obama.

You don’t see it for Hillary.

Unless there’s a hidden Hillary vote no one is seeing.


14 posted on 10/27/2016 12:34:57 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

i read here today that some state was down 10 percent in early dem voting.

forget about it. Trump’s in good shape


15 posted on 10/27/2016 12:36:56 AM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: nbenyo

Trump is getting 85 to 90% of Republicans.

Hillary is getting fewer Democrats.

If its D +2, Trump should be ahead by 4 to 5 points.

We’ll find out on November 8 which scenario is closer to reality.


16 posted on 10/27/2016 12:37:51 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: BlessedBeGod
Trump has been doing a good job laying the foundation for his election surge. I expect he will instinctively start that happening on Tuesday. Monday is Halloween and Tuesday is November with a week to go till election day - Trump will ride that buzz to electoral victory and FReepers will be ecstatically happy.
17 posted on 10/27/2016 12:40:02 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: dp0622

If D voting is off 10 percent from 2012, doesn’t it mean turnout isn’t the same?

Of course it is evident! To every one but the pollsters.


18 posted on 10/27/2016 12:40:23 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

Oh there’s a hidden vote for sure.

DEAD PEOPLE


19 posted on 10/27/2016 12:40:41 AM PDT by weston (SO HERE'S THE STORY: As far as I'm concerned, it's Christ or nothing!)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

If you were conducting the polling, it would look far better.

Why are some people fixated on 2012?


20 posted on 10/27/2016 12:41:49 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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