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Lamb vs. Saccone Special Election PA18
NY Times ^ | March 13, 2018

Posted on 03/13/2018 5:16:01 PM PDT by Pinkbell

A thread to discuss the results.

I feel like Lamb has a lot of momentum, has run as a moderate, and has run a better campaign. I'll predict he'll win tonight (although I'd like to see Saccone win).

NYT does a good job with election results.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 18thdistrict; conorlamb; lamb; pa2018; paspecialelection; pennsylvania; ricksaccone; saccone; trump
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To: JPJones

Nate Cohn now saying that Westmoreland is not going to report by precinct. As a result NYT may turn off if needles as it will be impossible to model results if they do not report by precinct.


201 posted on 03/13/2018 6:27:16 PM PDT by georgiarat (The most expensive thing in the world is a cheap Army and Navy. - Carl Vinson)
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To: FreeReign

Read they are not reporting tonight. IDK. Rural, “dark Ages”


202 posted on 03/13/2018 6:27:31 PM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is on twitter @SarahMGellar)
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To: FreeReign
What’s up with Westmoreland County. Why are no precincts reporting?

Looks like the map doesn't work for Westmoreland, but the precincts are still reporting and being counted.

203 posted on 03/13/2018 6:27:34 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: boycott

“Going to be close. From the NYT under “Estimated Votes Remaining”

“We think about 147,000 votes remain to be counted. We think Mr. Saccone leads in that vote by about 6 points.””

If my math is correct that would mean Saccone would gain around 8,820 votes if true.


204 posted on 03/13/2018 6:27:41 PM PDT by ScottfromNJ
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To: Trump.Deplorable
Big RAT area is at 77% reported

So you know this Cong district PA 18.

205 posted on 03/13/2018 6:27:42 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: tatown

“Exactly right. Like Alabama, this should have been a formality.”

You can make any election close if you burn a ton of cash and run candidates that are not representatives of the current state of their party :-).

I’m starting to worry now. I went from optimistic to “concerned” ... ugh.


206 posted on 03/13/2018 6:28:30 PM PDT by edh
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To: Theodore R.

Losing now by 7,650, with 366 precincts


207 posted on 03/13/2018 6:28:39 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: 11th_VA

Better to have Trump in WH than Hillary.


208 posted on 03/13/2018 6:28:42 PM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5W)
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To: tatown

Why do people say formality? The party in presidential power usually takes a beating in mid terms. Obama was generally personally popular but Dems lost the House and Senate on his watch.

Trump is generally personally unpopular but his results are good. Regardless I’m not surprised Dems will gain in House and Senate it’s normal politics.


209 posted on 03/13/2018 6:29:07 PM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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WTF is Saccone winning? NYTimes meter is very accurate!

They saved my ass from having a heart attack on Election 2016!!




210 posted on 03/13/2018 6:29:28 PM PDT by KavMan
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To: boycott

Could be worse. You might like him worse, in which it will be perfectly clear whom we are talking about.


211 posted on 03/13/2018 6:29:49 PM PDT by Klemper (And then... and ONLY then... do they get their only chance to come back into America the legal way.)
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To: romanesq

55% Lamb now.

I feel Lamb wins by a small margin.


212 posted on 03/13/2018 6:30:14 PM PDT by Pinkbell
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To: edh

> Elizabeth Forward, Jefferson Hills, Pleasant Hills <

Those aren’t old mill towns. I’d be interested in how places like Monessen voted.


213 posted on 03/13/2018 6:30:39 PM PDT by Leaning Right (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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To: edh

That formula certainly hasn’t worked in TX.


214 posted on 03/13/2018 6:32:09 PM PDT by tatown
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To: Pinkbell
I feel Lamb wins by a small margin.

Yeah, at some point votes have to be made up, so Saccone isn't looking real good right now if there isn't some kind of slow reporting going on.

215 posted on 03/13/2018 6:32:20 PM PDT by Religion and Politics (It is time for more than one denomination of "Political Correctness".)
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To: ScottfromNJ

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

It’s midway down on the right side under “Estimated Votes Remaining.” Now down to 131,000 votes. The think Saccone gets 8% of that. I am not so confident of that.


216 posted on 03/13/2018 6:32:23 PM PDT by boycott
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To: FreeReign

NYT graph not showing Westmoreland County.

But it is shown here:

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor


217 posted on 03/13/2018 6:33:21 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: over3Owithabrain

With a statewide vote in freaking AL it should have been a formality. Same goes for a district that Trump carried by +20 points.


218 posted on 03/13/2018 6:33:50 PM PDT by tatown
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To: Klemper

I don’t know what you mean but that.


219 posted on 03/13/2018 6:33:55 PM PDT by boycott
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To: Leaning Right

Saccone trails by 5,188 with 421 precincts


220 posted on 03/13/2018 6:34:40 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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