Hurricane Dorian Live Thread

NHC/NOAA ^ | 28 August 2019 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Dorian battered St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands, and brushing Puerto Rico. Taking aim at the Florida Atlantic Coastline, Hurricane Dorian is projected to be a major hurricane (Category 3) at landfall.

Satellite Imagery Dorian

NHC Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

Florida Radar Loop (with storm track overlay)

Buoy Data with Storm Track overlay

[eastforker]

Trouble with this storm is that it is so powerful it will bring down some brick and mortar buildings if it makes landfall. And a storm of this magnitude sometimes takes on a life of it’s own and defies all expected forecasting.

[mewzilla]

Coverage from a Nassau newspaper....

Dorian intensifies, strongest hurricane ever to hit northern Bahamas

[NautiNurse]

And a storm of this magnitude sometimes takes on a life of it’s own and defies all expected forecasting.

Very true.

[NautiNurse]

Indian River County FL: Mandatory evacuations ordered Monday morning for Indian River County Residents east of U.S. Highway 1

[Mom MD]

thanks

[CodeToad]

Hope Town is about 20 feet off the water at most. That lighthouse is pretty rickety too, so it may not withstand 180mph winds. The island is also fairly small, but it is surrounded by waters that are just 8 feet deep on average. At low tide the waters can be just 4-6 feet deep for miles out.

[NautiNurse]

Martin County and Palm Beach Co. FL: Mandatory evacuation ordered for Zones A and B in Palm Beach, Martin counties; includes Mar-a-Lago Beginning 1PM Sunday.

[fatima]

LIVE Hurricane Dorian Coverage
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZSl9alYvG-o

[amorphous]

...and defies all expected forecasting.

Exactly. Once it reaches a certain size, it makes other weather systems somewhat irrelevant.

[justa-hairyape]

Oh definitely. The root of the problem is lack of significant data. Bastardi gets close by taking the historical record and using it as a template. But even knowing everything going on within Dorian would take about a million Dorothy 1’s. Movie reference.

[NautiNurse]

He definitely gets across how dire the situation is for the Bahamas today.

[fatima]

:( Very sad.Twitter More Ridiculous. Just an FYI, the "early turn" models had this headed for the north eastern bend in Abaco, not plowing west across it with a slight latitude loss upon approach (which could be via interactive disruption).

Ridiculous.
Just an FYI, the "early turn" models had this headed for the north eastern bend in Abaco, not plowing west across it with a slight latitude loss upon approach (which could be via interactive disruption). pic.twitter.com/Ubkf7d8nQo— crankyweatherguy (@crankywxguy) September 1, 2019

[NautiNurse]

For anyone wondering, slight latitude loss (drift South) may be bad news looking ahead to FL and US interests.

[fatima]

Jim Cantore ✔ @JimCantore We now have hurricane and storm surge watches up for the Treasure and Space coast. With such an slow and incredible turn forecast over the next 48 hours & with TS winds out 140 miles from the center and hurricane winds out 45 miles from center Florida must prepare for the worst.

[advertising guy]

I flicked thru all channels and no one in the Bahamas
From the alphabet news standing outside looking like laundry on a clothes line

And if one was, they would have to be there a week

[dirtboy]

Echoes of Haiyan:

[dfwgator]

Marsh Harbour is toast if it doesn’t stay to the south.

[novemberslady]

President at FEMA in DC for briefing...

[dfwgator]

Maybe it makes more sense to buy the Bahamas than Greenland.

[madison10]

Why? Every eight years or do it gets wrecked by a huuricane.