Posted on 10/16/2019 5:23:07 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
FRANKFORT, Ky. (WKYT) - A new poll shows Gov. Matt Bevin and Attorney General Andy Beshear are in a dead heat just weeks ahead of November's gubernatorial election.
A Mason-Dixon Kentucky Poll shows both Bevin and Beshear have 46 percent of the vote. Libertarian John Hicks has one percent while seven percent of voters remain undecided. There is a margin of error of no more than four percentage points.
The polling lines up with a Politico report which said Bevin is gaining ground in the governor's race. He was down eight percent against Beshear in Mason-Dixon's December 2018 poll.
The poll shows Bevin is drawing more Republican support, as he has increased 10 percent in GOP support. He also has a stronger crossover vote with Democrats than Beshear has with Republicans. Bevin's job approval rating remains at 45 percent, while 48 percent disapprove of his job performance.
(Excerpt) Read more at wkyt.com ...
Wow! that is an interesting piece of history I did not know. Thanks!
Sounds like someone needs to get an early start, and I've said too much. Thanks fieldmarshaldj.
Pence to campaign in KY on Fri Nov 1. Trump will have KY rally on Mon Nov 4, day before election.
I recently saw a documentary on that election of 1899. Actually that Board of Elections verified the Republican winners despite the fact it was designed to be able to put Dems in office regardless of the election results - the problem is that apparently they made the mistake of appointing honest people to the Board...then the Dem controlled legislature stepped in and overturned the elections results - tossing out not only the Republican Governor but also other Republican elected officials who had won their races. The Courts backed the Democrats overwhelmingly declaring what they did to be legal. The US Supreme Court refused to take the case absent federal questions.
Are you kidding? They've probably won about 20 of the last 25. I'm 69 now, but for most of my life there was almost no such thing as an elected Republican. You could be liberal, you could be conservative, but you had to call yourself a Democrat to have any real change of being elected.
But times are changing. At this point 4 years ago Bevin's opponent had a 5 point lead in the polls, but Bevin won by 9 (I think). And President Trump won Kentucky by about 60-40.
Bevin's re-election problem is that he actually tried to fix Kentucky's bankrupt pension system.
I stand corrected
I’m going with 53% - 46% for Bevin. The President’s rally should bump the GOP turnout. In the SOS race I’m afraid that Heather French Henry will prevail simply because of her celebrity status not remembering things like her taxpayer funded wedding. Otherwise Michael Adams would if up against someone non-celebrity that is a household name like Henry - the only way is if the GOP turnout simply swamps the turnout of the Democrats she gets pulled down stream and loses in a narrow upset - this I believe will be the Democrats’ only victory on the ballot. Daniel Cameron I believe wins 55% - 45% over Stumbo in the AG race. Allison Ball I believe will be re-elected as Treasurer 60% - 40%. Mike Harmon I believe wins re-election as auditor 55%-45%. Ryan Quarles (who at one time was the youngest elected statewide official at the country at 31 - he is now 35 going for his second term) throughout his entire 4 years as Agriculture Commissioner has done amazingly well with PR to make this relatively obscure office very well known...would not be surprised if he were to get 70% of the vote though I will predict 65% - 35% - if he were to get any less than 60% it would be a shock. I believe Quarles will probably be looking at the governor’s mansion after Bevin’s second term - but he’s probably not the only one, I’m sure. One problem with this bench of very young and successful candidates is that eventually they will be running against each other most likely.
Age of candidates:
Matt Bevin - 52
Ralph Alvarado - 49
Michael Adams - 43
Daniel Cameron - 33
Mike Harmon - 52
Allison Ball - 38
Ryan Quarles - 35
Given the Libertarian in the race, it’s unlikely it will be 53-46%, especially if he gets at or above 5%. But let’s hope he gets that 53% and Baby Beshear gets the leftovers.
A mess to be sure.
I was giving the Libertarian 1%.
It just seems Beshear is trending down more than Bevin is trending up as more ads run pointing out how far to the left Beshear is - more people are deciding they aren’t going to vote for Beshear but haven’t yet decided they are voting for Bevin. 46% may be Beshear’s peak. If they further exploit Beshear’s NARAL endorsement especially in the rural areas he may be further damaged.
By the way I saw this ad running: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2-if5kwPCU
RAGA is the group behind that...apparently they are spending millions on the race. Last time around they abandoned the race in the last 2 weeks of the campaign thinking it was a lost cause. When Beshear won by a fraction of a percent it was clear that was a mistake. Grimes also barely won and her opponent got no help whatsoever - if he had that result probably would have been different as well.
Libertarians are notorious for taking the percentage needed for the Republican to win. I was surprised to see Hicks is the first known Libertarian to be on the Guv ballot as one (not counting the eccentric Gatewood Galbraith, who got as high as 15% in that pathetically absurd 1999 Guv race as a member of Perot’s “Reform” Party). But it’s not out there to think Hicks could get 5%.
As the election is weeks away, people start to focus more on the race. Beshear “barely” won the AG race in ‘15 (some say he didn’t), and I just don’t see him exciting the voters.
LOL Those republicans are stopping the Libertarians from getting elected.
Good ad. Stumpy doesn’t even know what it’s like not be on the gubmint dole. They didn’t have time to mention that his local voters were so fed up with him, they tossed him out of his historically Dem House seat as a sitting Speaker (that’s usually pretty bad for that to happen). It’s a pathological need to be in power.
Allowing both Beshear and Grimes (a year after her having been obliterated by McConnell) to win in ‘15 was appalling. That the Dems have gone 72 years with uninterrupted control of Attorney General takes the cake. The corruption that has gone by unchecked is unimaginable. Cameron is going to have an epic amount of criminality to tackle when he wins (and he needs to completely clean house and get rid of every patronage Demonrat lawyer infesting that department of “Justice”).
Of course, down here in TN, where we have a byzantine method for electing AG (the State Supreme Court elects them to an 8-year term, and the people have no say in electing the Supreme Court members, in violation of the State Constitution, btw), we went almost 150 years from an 1865 election until 2014 when the present AG was selected without a Republican in that office. A cornucopia of Demonrat hacks and party puppets for a good chunk of that time.
Dem gets 48%, Republican gets 47%, Libertarian gets 5%, who’s being stopped ? How is it benefitting the Libertarian electing a Democrat by a plurality, when a majority of the voters want a smaller-government agenda ?
The Dems know which party is taking votes from the GOP. If the Libertarians took votes from them, they’d be working overtime to sabotage them and get them thrown off the ballot from coast to coast.
I was trying to be humorous. Most elections the Libertarians get less than 1 % But they owe the republicans nothing.
If it’s the difference between the Dem and the Republican winning, it’s a big f’ing deal. Helping elect a radical leftist party with a minority of the vote is inflicting enormous damage.
Take a look at the Governorships alone that the Libertarians handed to the Democrats:
Alaska: 1982 & 2014 (inc. Gov. Sean Parnell lost)
Arizona: 2002 (elected Janet Napolitano)
Illinois: 2010 (Quinn over Bill Brady)
Montana: 2012 (elected Steve Bullock)
North Carolina: 2016 (cost Gov. Pat McCrory’s reelection)
Oregon: 2002 (Ted Kulongoski over Kevin Mannix)
Texas: 1990 (”Ma” Richards over Clayton Williams)
Vermont: 2014 (inc. Dem. Gov. Peter Shumlin over Scott Milne)
Virginia: 2013 (Terry McAwful over Ken Cuccinelli)
Washington: 2004 (Christine Gregoire over Dino Rossi)
Wisconsin: 2002 (Jim Doyle over inc. Gov. Scott McCallum)
Wyoming: 2002 (Dave Freudenthal over Eli Bebout)
I haven’t even gotten to the Congressional, statewide and legislative races. The above was bad enough.
one more time, it is not the responsibility of another party to help the republicans get elected. Tough feces.
Baloney.
The Libertarian candidates, by their very presence in these races, willfully elected the above Democrats I cited (those just in the Governors races alone), hence they deprived the preference of a majority of voters to have a NON-Democrat elected to that office.
Where is their taking personal responsibility for electing these Democrats and to stop doing so ? They claim to be for small government and yet they divide a key vote and explicitly cause the election of the biggest government of all candidates with a NON-MAJORITY of the vote !
Democrats are always happy to have them run in closely contested elections. Who is helping whom here ? It’s a nice big F you to the responsible citizens of these states.
well that’s certainly your opinion
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