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Cuba's Last Gamble? - Debt defaults
Miami Herald ^ | April 8, 2002 | By JUAN O. TAMAYO jtamayo@herald.com

Posted on 04/08/2002 8:26:45 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

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Ex-president of Venezuelan state oil company accuses government of eroding morale- ***Other bones of contention were the central government's demand that the company hand over $4.4 billion in dividends last year, forcing PDVSA to borrow $500 million to pay the bill; and the oil sales to Cuba, whose leader, Fidel Castro, is Chavez's longtime mentor. · Chavez has insisted that oil sales continue to Cuba, despite an unpaid $97 million bill for past sales. ***

Miami Herald (April 8, 2002) Debt defaults hurt Cuba's credit rating

[Full Text] Cuba's credit history is not one to envy.

In 1986, Cuba suspended payment of its debt with the Club of Paris. In 2000, it could not pay $175 million owed to the French COFACE. In September, it defaulted on debt to Spain, South Africa and Chile.

Yet a growing number of U.S. companies are establishing trade ties with the country, and others are pushing Congress and the Bush administration to allow U.S. companies to extend credit to Cuba.

But just how creditworthy is Cuba?

The issue, says Bob Cummings, isn't whether Cuba is creditworthy, but whether U.S. companies should have the right to make that determination.

''Let's have the exporters make that decision,'' says Cummings, who is vice president of international policy for the USA Rice Federation, a trade group in Washington, D.C. ``If they look at the numbers, they can decide if the risk is worth taking.''

Indeed, U.S. businesses trade with plenty of countries that are financially troubled. And, increasingly, Cuba is no exception.

A growing number of U.S. food companies have begun selling supplies to Cuba. Sales of U.S. goods have reached $73 million by some estimates. That's more than twice the amount Cuba originally said it would purchase from the United States after Hurricane Michelle destroyed crops across the island in November.

The Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act of 2000 allows the export of food and agricultural products to Cuba. But it doesn't allow the extension of credit; Cuba must pay for the purchases in cash.

Allowing trade finance would greatly boost the island's purchase of U.S. agricultural products, some U.S. businesses believe.

But could Cuba make good on those loans even if they were allowed?

John Kavulich, president of the U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic Council in New York, said his organization recently compiled a series of reports based on how international credit reporting agencies evaluate Cuba.

The results weren't promising. Moody's Investors Service, for example, gives Cuba a Caa rating. Issuers rated Caa are considered ''very poor financial security.'' The results of the Dun & Bradstreet International Risk & Payment Review weren't much better. That report noted that exporters shipping to the Republic of Cuba should prepare for payment delays of 210 to 300 days.

No rating, however, is available from Standard & Poors, according to the U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic Council. Standard & Poors, the council reported, wrote to the Central Bank of the Republic of Cuba more than a year ago offering to undertake a credit rating analysis of the country. The rating agency has yet to receive a response. [End] -- Staff Report

1 posted on 04/08/2002 8:26:45 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Luis Gonzalez; Victoria DelSoul; Dqban22; Prodigal Daughter; f.christian

2 posted on 04/08/2002 8:37:25 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
The appeal of Communism is a mystery to me. I understand power seekers and the lies they use to gain power but....what is the honor of being captain of the Titanic? All Communists societies eventually sink because of their conflict with basic human nature. I guess any old scam will do for some.
3 posted on 04/08/2002 9:01:04 AM PDT by Mind-numbed Robot
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

4 posted on 04/08/2002 9:06:09 AM PDT by RippleFire
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To: RippleFire
Time for a tidal wave of freedom to wash him into the sea.
5 posted on 04/08/2002 9:17:30 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Mind-numbed Robot
All Communists societies eventually sink because of their conflict with basic human nature.

But communists continue to strive to make human nature fit into their communist mold.

6 posted on 04/08/2002 9:18:55 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Another irony of life, perhaps part of the Grand Design, is that the only thing that would inspire people to follow the Communist Manifesto is religion based on a Supreme Being, not the state, and Communists ban religion as a threat to their power. Other despots, the militant Islamics specifically, distort and misuse religion for their purposes. That doesn't work for long either. Sooner or later someone starts thinking.
7 posted on 04/08/2002 10:03:02 AM PDT by Mind-numbed Robot
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To: Mind-numbed Robot
Sooner or later someone starts thinking.

It's the "later" that keeps getting us into so much trouble =^(

8 posted on 04/08/2002 10:08:03 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
But experts said that a long-term recovery is unlikely unless Cuba changes its cumbersome communist economy. ''Centrally planned systems are extraordinarily rigid, not only extraordinarily inefficient, and cannot react in time to outside changes,'' said Jorge. But Castro so far has shown no signs of favoring new reforms, especially at a time when the Bush administration has announced a thorough review of U.S. policies on Cuba with a view to tightening them.

Thanks CW. Good information.

9 posted on 04/08/2002 10:26:45 AM PDT by Victoria Delsoul
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To: Victoria Delsoul
Bump!
10 posted on 04/08/2002 10:36:07 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
The natives are restless...good!
11 posted on 04/08/2002 10:59:36 AM PDT by f.Christian
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To: f.Christian
Bump!
12 posted on 04/08/2002 11:17:25 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
"It's a Hail Mary pass, bottom of the ninth, the end of the fourth quarter."

A "pass" at the "bottom of the ninth?" The man is obviously not a sports fan.

13 posted on 04/08/2002 11:20:27 AM PDT by Bonaparte
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
The embargo means no credit for goods. Cash and carry only.
Anybody advocating credits should put up their own assets for collateral first.
14 posted on 04/08/2002 11:21:32 AM PDT by Semper Paratus
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To: f.Christian
Damn shame about those bank loans from France, Canada, etc. Maybe someone will wise up.
15 posted on 04/08/2002 11:22:16 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: Bonaparte
bottom of the ninth,

LOL - I missed that. Talk about mixing metaphors.

16 posted on 04/08/2002 11:24:06 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Eric in the Ozarks
I'd sure like to know how much Castro took France for.
17 posted on 04/08/2002 11:25:01 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Semper Paratus
Anybody advocating credits should put up their own assets for collateral first.

And not stick the consumer with higher costs to make up their losses.

18 posted on 04/08/2002 11:25:58 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

To: abwehr
No wonder all the liberal hype to end the embargo...their cuban enron paper--iou's are worthless!

Castro is western union---pony express...sos.

The Californian watched the titanic sink...they turned off the radio and thought the "fireworks" was celebration!

Oh well!

20 posted on 04/08/2002 11:47:35 AM PDT by f.Christian
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