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Another pollster says Senate race still too close to call
The Daily Advertiser ^ | 11/28 | John Hill

Posted on 11/28/2002 11:11:39 AM PST by Jack Bauer

BATON ROUGE -- The boisterous U.S. Senate campaigns fall quiet today while the nation pauses for Thanksgiving, but it won't be completely without an event.

U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu was scheduled to serve for a photo op during Orleans Sheriff Charles Foti's Thanksgiving dinner but planned to remain with family in New Orleans. Blocks away in the Uptown section of New Orleans, Republican Suzanne Haik Terrell planned to cook for Thanksgiving with her family.

In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student, and will not come to New Orleans for Saturday's Bayou Classic football game, said U.S. Sen. John Breaux.

In another development, a third pollster said Louisiana's U.S. Senate race remains a showdown, too close to call.

New Orleans pollster Ed Renwick, who questioned

600 voters Nov. 20-23 of this past week for WWL-TV in New Orleans, called it "a very tight race."

When factored to reflect racial demographics of registered voters, Renwick found

45 percent favoring Landrieu, 31 percent for Terrell, 3 percent for neither, 14 percent saying they don't know and 8 percent refusing to say, even though they had a choice.

But when Renwick adjusted it to show blacks as 25 percent of those who actually vote -- a historically reliable percentage -- his poll showed Terrell ahead at 51 percent.

That reflects similar findings released Tuesday by Verne Kennedy of Marketing Research Institute in Pensacola, Fla., who put it at 46 percent for Terrell and 42 percent for Landrieu on the assumption that black voters would comprise 23 percent of those who vote Dec. 7.

"It is kind of the worst-case scenario for Landrieu," Renwick said. "We have an extremely close election. The turnout differential of only a few points of either race could change the outcome."

"All kinds of things could happen," Renwick said. "We don't have the president in there. I think that will give Suzie a little bump. I don't know whether it will last through the election."

Renwick did detect higher interest in the runoff than in the primary election among those polled. "I wouldn't be surprised if you didn't see 60 percent of the voters turnout," he said.

Breaux, one of those voters interested in Landrieu's re-election, also said his sense of the race is that it is very close. He conceded that black turnout is the major factor in the election's outcome.

"It is a Saturday election," he said. "That is better for our side."


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Louisiana
KEYWORDS: brownroots; louisiana; polls; terrell
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To: winner3000
I hadn't thought of that, but you're probably right. That kind of stuff works too. The Japanese Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi died in office a few years ago and when they had the replacement election, they scheduled it on the anniversary of his birthday. It worked, not only did his party gain seats (they had been steadily losing seats in recent previous elections) but his daughter won a seat as well.
21 posted on 11/28/2002 11:55:37 PM PST by altair
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To: FL_engineer
Boy, Illinois sure looks suspicious in your West Nile cases map.
22 posted on 11/29/2002 12:00:48 AM PST by patriciaruth
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To: governsleastgovernsbest
C. After arriving in London, allegedly to visit Chelsea, X42 travelled to France after hearing the news that they've developed a Super-Viagra that lasts all weekend. He went to order a year's supply, explaining it was for the Secret Service. While in Paris, he also shared intelligence briefings with members of Al Qaeda and the Iraqi government because he knows how important they are to getting his wife elected in 2004.
23 posted on 11/29/2002 12:06:19 AM PST by Tall_Texan
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To: altair
Are you suggesting that there my be voter fraud in La.? That is very hard to believe. I mean, how could you tell?
24 posted on 11/29/2002 2:02:26 AM PST by bybybill
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To: ABG(anybody but Gore)
So Bubba is going to England and staying away from New Orleans. I`d pay a nickel, no, make that a buck, to have heard the conversation where Bubba was told to stay away. Wonder who told him?
25 posted on 11/29/2002 2:06:05 AM PST by bybybill
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To: FL_engineer
Impressive, sobering and enlightening set of charts on the spread of WNV...

Go Terrell!

26 posted on 11/29/2002 3:30:42 AM PST by chilepepper
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To: ABG(anybody but Gore)
In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student,

Whose airplane is he doing all this flying in? Are the taxpayers still paying for that bastard to fly all around? I have a hard time picturing him and all his SS agents going through airport security,or even associating with the common "tourist class".

27 posted on 11/29/2002 3:34:55 AM PST by sneakypete
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To: governsleastgovernsbest
While both your answers are right,the most correct answer is "To avoid having to spend any time with Bubbette!". Notice how he's traveling alone?
28 posted on 11/29/2002 3:37:50 AM PST by sneakypete
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To: SuziQ
I don't think I've EVER read that #97 has gone to see her. What's up with that?

97 ain't the one sleeping with her.

29 posted on 11/29/2002 3:41:29 AM PST by sneakypete
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To: Jack Bauer; I_Love_My_Husband; ABG(anybody but Gore); PAR35; governsleastgovernsbest; RJayneJ; ...
In the meantime, former President Bill Clinton flew to London to spend time with his daughter Chelsea, an Oxford student, and will not come to New Orleans for Saturday's Bayou Classic football game, said U.S. Sen. John Breaux.

Yet more proof Juan Williams is an idiot. I just heard him subbing on the Beltway Boys saying that Clintoon would be at today's game, which Southern won 48-24.

30 posted on 11/30/2002 3:22:59 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: FL_engineer
Louisiana was home to the West Nile Virus attack on HUMANS in early April, four months before the rest of the country!

By August 8th, the human outbreaks were STILL limited to the Louisiana area and neighboring states. Then it mushroomed due to migratory birds that had spread it in the spring from Louisiana, along the Mississippi and Ohio river migration paths throughout the midwest...     [CDC numbers]

Louisianans become convinced this could only have been a deliberate terrorist attack.


31 posted on 11/30/2002 3:52:38 PM PST by Future Useless Eater
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