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Population implosion: Many nations aborting future generations, creating underpopulation crisis
WORLD ^ | 2/15/02 | Gene Edward Veith

Posted on 02/07/2003 1:37:10 PM PST by Caleb1411

The president of Estonia goes on national TV to urge his countrymen to have more children. Russian President Vladimir Putin warns his parliament about "a serious crisis threatening Russia's survival": the nation's low birth rate. The government of Singapore is trying to reverse that country's birth dearth by sponsoring a massive taxpayer-funded matchmaking service.

In 1968, Paul Ehrlich published The Population Bomb, panicking the world with dire predictions of a population explosion. By the year 2000, he predicted, the world would be so crowded that hundreds of millions would die of starvation. Although Mr. Ehrlich's prophecies have turned out to be almost comically wrong, PBS has produced a documentary taking him seriously, and philanthropists like Ted Turner still donate millions to combat population growth.

But the problem today is not overpopulation; it's underpopulation. For a population to reproduce itself, the fertility rate must average 2.1 children per woman. (The .1 allows for child mortality.) The fertility rate today among major developed nations is only 1.6.

The United States is rare among its peers in keeping its fertility rate at around the replacement level of 2.1, according to the Population Reference Bureau, which provided the fertility data cited here. Europe, though, is shrinking. Germany's rate is 1.3. Despite the stereotype of large Catholic families, France has a fertility rate of 1.9 and Italy has one of the lowest in Europe, 1.3. At this rate, there will be only about half as many Italians in the next generation. There will also be fewer Russians, whose fertility rate is 1.3.

Even nations that were once notorious for booming populations have drastically slowed down in reproducing themselves. In the last 20 years, India's fertility rate has gone from over four children per woman to about three. Mexico has gone from over four to just under three. China has a fertility rate of 1.8.

African nations continue to have very high fertility rates, up to five or six children per woman, but those lands are ravaged by AIDS, which is decimating their population. Muslim nations, on the other hand, tend to have booming population growth—Yemen's fertility rate is 7.2 children per woman.

Demographers predict that the world's population will level off at 9 billion, reports The Wall Street Journal. Then it will start dropping. There may well be nearly 500 million fewer people by 2075.

Isn't this a good thing? Why are so many governments panicking at the drop in their populations?

Although radical environmentalists like Mr. Ehrlich see human beings only as "consumers of the earth's resources," human beings are in fact the most valuable resource of all. Citizens are not just consumers but producers. Having fewer people can wreak havoc on an economy, creating both a labor shortage and a shortage of buyers. A government with a shrinking population faces a smaller military and fewer taxpayers. Dwindling populations have always signaled cultural decline, with less creativity, energy, and vitality on every level of society.

Already Japan— fertility rate 1.3—is facing the problem of having fewer taxpaying young people to support the burgeoning number of retirees, something that will hit the generous welfare states of Europe especially hard.

Already Europe has had to import large numbers of immigrants to bolster the labor force, most of them from the Middle East. Fewer and fewer native Europeans—along with the dwindling influence of Christianity—and more and more Muslims raise the prospect of the Islamification of Western Europe. One reason "old Europe" is not supporting the United States in a war with Iraq is that politicians in France and Germany fear the reaction among their Muslim voters.

Why the population decline? The worldwide collapse of what are, literally, family values. Thanks to contraceptive technology, sex has become separated from childbearing. With women pursuing careers of their own and men getting sex without the responsibilities of marriage, why bother with children? For many women and men, pregnancy has become an unpleasant side effect, something to prevent with contraceptives or easily treat with a trip to the abortion clinic.

The dirty little secret of the population implosion, one seldom mentioned by demographers, is that the world is aborting its future generations. China has shrunk its fertility rate by its cruel policy of forced abortion. (The website of the International Planned Parenthood Federation has only good things to say about China and does not even mention how the government coerces women to have abortions. So much for "choice.")

In the United States, abortion ends between one-third and one-fifth of all pregnancies, and the U.S. abortion rate is relatively low. In Russia, the average woman may have as many as four abortions in her lifetime. There are two abortions for every live birth. That is to say, Russians kill two-thirds of their children before they are born. That, Mr. Putin, is the "serious crisis threatening Russia's survival."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: abortion; abortionlist; fashionukraine; nhs; populationcontrol; prolife; un; unitednations
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1 posted on 02/07/2003 1:37:10 PM PST by Caleb1411
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To: BibChr; logos; MHGinTN; *Abortion_list; *Pro_Life; frogsong; tatterdemalion; The Big Econ
BUMP
2 posted on 02/07/2003 1:51:52 PM PST by Caleb1411
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To: Caleb1411
I'm just waiting for the idiot who will say, "Yeah, hyuck, hyuck, but think of how many more jobs will be available without all those people!" much like those who think that the economy would be better if all non-English speaking, non-white, immigrants were to be suddenly removed from the U.S.. "Yep," they blithely say. "If all them people was gone jess think how much more money and jobs and stuff they'd be to go aroun to real 'Mericans!"
3 posted on 02/07/2003 1:56:30 PM PST by aruanan
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To: Caleb1411
Another good argument against abortion (as if another one were needed).
4 posted on 02/07/2003 2:07:24 PM PST by expatpat
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To: Caleb1411
Russian Depopulation Is a Lesson for the West, by Herbert I. London of the Hudson Institute, January 28, 2003.
5 posted on 02/07/2003 2:10:53 PM PST by toenail
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To: Caleb1411
Sorry, the world IS overpopulated.
6 posted on 02/07/2003 2:24:16 PM PST by Age of Reason
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To: Caleb1411
We are not underpopulation in any real or meaningful sense unless by underpopulated you mean- not enough people to prop up the welfare pyramid state. With unemployment at 11% in Germany and a social policy which delays the entry of students into the workforce until their 30's, there is no sense that Germany is in need of guest workers. The same goes for any western country. The only kind of population increase Europe 'needs' is a large population spike to keep the welfare system going one more turn, at which point Europe will have been overwhelmed by immigrants from hostile countries.
7 posted on 02/07/2003 2:30:13 PM PST by Dialup Llama
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To: Caleb1411
>There are two abortions for every live birth. That is to say, Russians kill two-thirds of their children before they are born. That, Mr. Putin, is the "serious crisis threatening Russia's survival."

The message to Putin and leaders of all western democratic-welfare states.... stop placing burdens on your citizens and making their lives difficult and they will start having the 'proper' number of babies.

8 posted on 02/07/2003 2:32:50 PM PST by Dialup Llama
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To: Caleb1411
One reason "old Europe" is not supporting the United States in a war with Iraq is that politicians in France and Germany fear the reaction among their Muslim voters.

The scalpel of the abortionist is the sword of Islam.

9 posted on 02/07/2003 3:05:28 PM PST by Loyalist
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To: Dialup Llama
I agree. Basically, we have a "crisis" that was created by overtaxation, and, like Atlas, we are shrugging, and saying "We refuse to commit our children to be slaves to your welfare state." Slaves often thwart their masters by failing to reproduce, I've heard. Let people keep more of their money, and maybe then Mom can stay home and take care of the kids. Stop stealing the bread from our mouths, and maybe we'll breed.

For the foreseeable future, though, I have no plans to reproduce. I work really, really hard to make a good living, and I need my leisure time. I probably wouldn't have to work as hard if my tax burden were reduced, but I won't hold my breath on it being reduced, so Granny and Gramps will just have to get by on fewer little drones to pay for the welfare benefits that they desire.

Thanks for letting me rant.
10 posted on 02/07/2003 3:07:10 PM PST by Henrietta
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To: Age of Reason
Overpopulated by the wrong people. Poor, stupid, totalitarians with evil on their minds.

Underpopulated by others.

11 posted on 02/07/2003 4:55:11 PM PST by ScholarWarrior
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To: Caleb1411
Earth's population is well over 6 billion and rising fast. What's this underpopulation crisis?
12 posted on 02/07/2003 4:56:43 PM PST by RightWhale
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To: Age of Reason
WRONG!

With only present day agricultural technology, the world could support more than 70 billion people.

And the world's entire present population could live in the state of Texas, and it would be about as crouded as the city of San Fransisco with parks and high rise apartments. It would take only ten fully cultivated american states to feed that population.

Human beings live on less than 1% of the earth's surface.

So, upon what criteria do you base your assertion that the earth is overpopulated? Just that it seems like there are too many people in your opinion? Good. Then do us all a favor...
13 posted on 02/07/2003 5:19:36 PM PST by Thorondir
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To: Thorondir
With only present day agricultural technology, the world could support more than 70 billion people.

If you have to resort to agriculture to feed people, than the world is overpopulated.

And the world's entire present population could live in the state of Texas.

They could take up even less room if we pack them like they did at Alcatraz--funny how we equate crowding with a loss of freedom and punishment.

Human beings live on less than 1% of the earth's surface.

Then why do we have to pay for real estate if there is so much of it?

So, upon what criteria do you base your assertion that the earth is overpopulated?

Upon freedom.

Just that it seems like there are too many people in your opinion? Good. Then do us all a favor...

There, there, there . . . in a crowded world, you must learn to be tolerant of people having a ideas different from yours.

14 posted on 02/07/2003 6:37:17 PM PST by Age of Reason
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To: ScholarWarrior
Overpopulated by the wrong people. Poor, stupid, totalitarians with evil on their minds.

Totalitarianism thrives in crowded conditions--just look at how cities are governed.

More crowding, more laws.

15 posted on 02/07/2003 6:41:42 PM PST by Age of Reason
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To: Caleb1411
Why are we so willing to kill others and our future??
16 posted on 02/07/2003 8:26:23 PM PST by victim soul
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To: *Population Control
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/involved?group=285
17 posted on 02/07/2003 9:15:34 PM PST by Coleus (RU 486 Kills Babies)
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To: Caleb1411
Already Europe has had to import large numbers of immigrants to bolster the labor force, most of them from the Middle East.

How many of those immigrants are living on welfare and aren't working at all? Probably quite a few are coming for the good life but not to work. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait actually have to import workers even from the US and especially the Phillipines so this argument doesn't make that much sense. It's the prosperity and often the dole that draw immigrants, not lack of population.

18 posted on 02/07/2003 9:25:12 PM PST by FITZ
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To: Caleb1411
Culture of Death bump! Economic prosperity is impossible in a nation with a declining birthrate.

"If you do not believe in your own stock enough to see the stock kept up, then you are not good Americans, you are not patriots, and ... I for one shall not mourn your extinction; and in such event I shall welcome the advent of a new race that will take your place, because you will have shown that you are not fit to cumber the ground." --Teddy Roosevelt, speaking to a group of liberal pastors.
19 posted on 02/07/2003 9:42:10 PM PST by Antoninus (In hoc signo, vinces )
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To: Age of Reason
If you have to resort to agriculture to feed people, than the world is overpopulated.

What? Are you joking? Agriculture is how we are fed. What are you, a hunter-gatherer? What are you trying to say?

They could take up even less room if we pack them like they did at Alcatraz--funny how we equate crowding with a loss of freedom and punishment.

Who equates crowding with a loss of freedom and punishment? People increasingly group into cities. They do it because they like it and it is both beneficial and efficient. Besides, many people think San Fransisco is a beautiful place to live. Too bad the commielibs have made it a haven for filthy bums.

But, hey! I heard you cannot get lost in San Fransisco--they have aides on every corner. Nyuk, nyuk!
20 posted on 02/07/2003 10:15:38 PM PST by Thorondir
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