Free Republic

ELECTION 2004 AOL poll: Bush wins in landslide Unscientific survey indicates president collecting 48 States Joe Kovacs President Bush In what some political observers might view as shocking news, a poll of America Online members is currently forecasting a landslide victory for President Bush, who collects 48 of the 50 states in this year's electoral race. The unscientific survey, whose results change in real time as more people vote, reveals with more than 34,000 participants, Bush takes a whopping 58 percent of the popular vote compared to 40 percent for Sen. John Kerry and 2 percent for Ralph Nader. According...

By and large the pollsters did an excellent job this year, especially when you consider the significant variables they were grappling with (massive registration increases, historic levels of intensity, cell phones, etc) and also that they were working under intense public scrutiny and scorching partisan attacks from both sides.At the national level the answer to the question is pretty straightforward. Ed Goeas's GW-Battleground Vote Projection and Pew Research got it exactly right. Goeas's final Battleground projection was Bush 51.2, Kerry 47.8, Nader 0.5 and Pew's final allocation was 51-48-1. CBS News/NY Times also nailed the final spread in the race...

September 03, 2004 09:30 PM US Eastern Timezone SurveyUSA: Momentum Shifts to Bush; Big GOP Bounce After RNC Convention VERONA, N.J.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 3, 2004--The number of Americans who think George W. Bush will be re-elected in November has suddenly jumped 10 to 20 points in dozens of cities around the country, according to SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted before, during and after the Democratic and Republican National Conventions. SurveyUSA has been asking respondents not who they will vote for, but rather: who they think will win the presidential election in November. This question is more sensitive to changes in sentiment, and is...

John Kerry and George W. Bush remain tied in the race for president both among Americans registered to vote and among likely voters according to a nationwide survey from the American Research Group, Inc. In the ballot preference between Kerry and Bush among registered voters, 48% say they would vote for Kerry and 46% say they would vote for Bush. When Ralph Nader is added to the ballot, 46% of registered voters say they would vote for Kerry, 45% say they would vote for Bush, and 3% say they would vote for Nader. Among registered voters considered likely to vote...

Plurality still satisfied with current spending levels by Jeffrey M. Jones GALLUP NEWS SERVICE PRINCETON, NJ -- As both houses of Congress take up the issue of the federal budget, they are looking to cut spending in order to reduce the projected budget deficit. Defense spending is one particular area in which Congress will likely approve less money than President George W. Bush requested. A recent Gallup Poll shows that Americans tend to think government spending on national defense is about right, but a growing percentage say the government is spending too much in this area. Nevertheless, most Americans...

Here’s a question: If you ask Americans which presidential candidate, George W. Bush or John F. Kerry, stands up to special interest groups, whom do they pick? Of course most people would choose Senator John “We’re coming, you’re going, and don’t let the door hit you on the way out” Kerry — right? Wrong. In a Gallup Poll taken in mid-February, 45 percent of those surveyed said the phrase “stands up to special-interest groups” applies to President Bush, while 44 percent said it applies to Sen. Kerry (D-Mass.). Of course, that’s a virtual tie, but one would think that after...

LAW OF THE LAND60% of polled Americans:No homosexual marriageLatest survey shows residents rejecting same-sex matrimony by 2-to-1 margin Posted: February 9, 20045:00 p.m. Eastern © 2004 WorldNetDaily.com A new poll shows a majority of Americans do not want state laws that would make same-sex marriage legal. The survey was taken after the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court said last Wednesday in an advisory opinion same-sex couples are entitled to marriage and not an alternative, such as Vermont-style civil unions. Only full and equal marriage rights will fulfill its November ruling, four of the seven judges said, paving the way for the nation's first...

One thing the Bush campaign should understand: John F. Kerry is not going to repeat the mistakes of the Mondales and Dukakis’sPolls are now showing that John Kerry, the likely Democratic nominee for President, can defeat President Bush. Some of those polls show that Kerry's lead is now into double digits. Bush-Cheney campaign operatives tell supporters not to worry. Kerry is the fourth Democrat to run for the Presidency from Massachusetts since 1980, the other three being Ted Kennedy (who was defeated by Jimmy Carter in the primaries), Paul Tsongas (who lost out to Bill Clinton, despite winning in New...