Free Republic

RCP Avg. Generic Congressional Vote: Republicans +9.4% (Prior record was +8.7% on Nov 1.)

Generic Congressional Ballot, RCP Averages: Repubicans: 49.1, Democrats: 41.0, Spread: Republicans +8.1

RCP Presidential Approval Average: Approve: 44.6%, Disapprove: 50.3%, Spread: -5.7%

RCP Average of Presidential Job Approval: -5.3%

RCP Poll Average Obama Approve: 45.8, Disapprove: 49.3, Spread: -3.5%

I just heard on CNBC Matthew Simmons, some expert, say the only way to stop the oil gusher quickly is a small tactical nuclear weapon to implode the well. He said the Soviets had similar blow outs in the past and have done this "I think three times..." He further said it was relatively safe since the explosion would occur 20,000 feet from the surface, far deeper than our nuke tests in the 50's and 60's.

Approve: 47.2 Disapprove: 47.8

Was watching morning call and the ceo of an auto company said that the credit scores of the average person taking advantage of "cash for clunkers" was over 700, far higher than the average car buyer walking in off the street in normal times. This likely indicates that upper income individuals are mainly getting the $1 billion handout from the government. Another great example of "unintended consequences". Low income and out of work individuals won't qualify for financing, but wealthier individuals will, or will have cash available, to take quick advantage of the program.

Rules prevent direct linking, so follow these instructions. 1. go to: http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/presidential-approval-tracker.htm 2. Click on the "COMPARISON" tab. 3. Click on Obama and Carter selections on the left side of the screen.

This idea that we'll all just grin and bear it has to be proven dead wrong, this year. But what can we do? With only 2% of the population, we can hardly hold big rallies. Even if we did, a march involving $250k+ earners protesting high taxes would only feed into their "greedy bastards who don't want to pay their fair share" rhetoric. So what can we do? Stop paying taxes over $250,000 income. WAIT, I AM NOT A NUT! No, no, stick with me on this. I'm not one of those loony people who argue income taxes are unconstitutional....

Click to watch: Senator Government

Ok, I hate vanities as much as the next fellow. But I need negative pictures of obama at least 640x480 resolution for a video titled "Senator Government". Please post your favorite pictures of Obama here if you have them. Preferably with no captions or edits. I need the picture where he is smoking, the picture where his nose is up in the air, the picture that makes his ears look goofy, a high rez picture of him with Joe the plumber, and anything else that makes him look goofy, angry, or otherwise undesirable. I have spent hours looking through past...

Run the McCain contract ADVANCED GRAPH with chart type Candlestick which shows high-low-close information, on time period "Last Month" so you can see the fine recent detail. Sorry but the link won't choose those options for you, run the link first then make those selections and run it again: http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?contractId=376101&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com

August 1, 2008 electoral-vote.com map: August 1, 2008 EVs based on polling dataAugust 21, 2008 electoral-vote.com map: August 21, 2008 EVs based on polling data

SENATE Projected Republican seats: 50.9, Democrats have a 16.0% chance to take control. HOUSE Projected Republican seats: 217.4, Democrats have a 51.7% chance to take control. Foley Scandal Events: Hastert has a 52.2% chance of resigning his speakership before election day. The Foley seat, FL-16, has a 25.1% chance of being retained by the GOP.

Senate Summary: The GOP will lose 3.6 seats, leaving them with an expected value of 51.4 seats. (51 seats are required for majority, with VP breaking ties.) The Democrats have a 13.3% chance to take control. House Summary: The GOP will lose 12.4 seats, leaving them with an expected value of 218.6 seats. (218 are required for majority.) The Democrats have a 38.9% chance to take control. PRIOR WEEK: Senate Summary: The GOP will lose 3.9 seats, leaving them with an expected value of 51.1 seats. (51 seats are required for majority, with VP breaking ties.) The Democrats have a...

Senate Summary: The GOP will lose 3.9 seats, leaving them with an expected value of 51.1 seats. (51 seats are required for majority, with VP breaking ties.) The Democrats have a 13.1% chance to take control. House Summary: The GOP will lose 11.8 seats, leaving them with an expected value of 219.2 seats. (218 are required for majority.) The Democrats have a 32.0% chance to take control.

Senate Summary: The GOP will lose 3.7 seats, leaving them with an expected value of 51.3 seats. (51 seats are required for control.) The Democrats have an 8.6% chance to take control. ... House Summary: The GOP will lose 12.2 seats, leaving them with an expected value of 218.8 seats. (218 are required for control.) The Democrats have a 36.4% chance to take control.

Who were the big winners this week? The entire Republican party, for sure, from the President and right down the line to the Senate, House, and even Governorships. But there's another big winner this time around, one that seems counter-intuitive: Michael Moore. Track with me on this. Moore's bogus film about Bush grossed well over $100 million. He has tapped an apparently unfilled need amoung a niche market of left-wing extremists. Those people are hurting now, and there are tens of millions of them. Who can best line his own pockets by filling that ocean of sorrow? The answer is...

There has been much discussion in certain threads lately about the obvious cyclic patterns one sees in the Rasmussen tracking poll data. Some have argued that this cycle is a 7 day cycle and has to do with days of the week. For example, theorizing that Sundays are better for Kerry because church-going conservatives are not home to answer the telephone poll. Recently a theory has floated that the cycle is actually 6 days and not 7. I have performed some rudimentary statistical analysis using data from late August to present (provided by Rokke, thanks!) that indicates that there is...