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Articles Posted by TheLineMustBeDrawnHere

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  • America's Amazing Long Boom Turns 25

    11/02/2007 3:17:20 PM PDT · by TheLineMustBeDrawnHere · 26 replies · 77+ views
    US News & World Report -- Capital Commerce Blog ^ | 11-02-2007 | James Pethokoukis
    As this week's economic events show—the second straight quarter of nearly 4 percent growth in gross domestic product and job growth twice what Wall Street expected—betting against the American economy is one of the all-time losing wagers. Mortgage mess, credit crisis, high oil prices—whatever. The boom keeps booming. Over the past 25 years, the United States has enjoyed a marvelous stretch of almost uninterrupted economic growth. In fact, November marks a wonderful double anniversary. The current six-year economic expansion dates from November of 2001, while the long economic boom dates from November 1982. Consider this: Since 1982, according to the...
  • 6 Reasons We Won't Get a Recession

    09/28/2007 3:45:12 PM PDT · by TheLineMustBeDrawnHere · 40 replies · 66+ views
    USNews & World Report/CapitalCommerce blog ^ | Sept. 28, 2007 | James Pethokoukis
    After perusing the blizzard of U.S. economic data that we've gotten this week, you could easily—and quite plausibly—draw this megaconclusion: The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again, inflation is under control, and while the economy is weakening, it won't slip into recession. Here is the evidence: 1) Yes, the housing market is still dreadful. New-home sales in August hit their lowest point in seven years and are down 21 percent from a year ago. But don't forget that housing is less than 5 percent of the total economy. It's not the whole ballgame. 2) Employment remains amazingly resilient. Initial...