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Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) holds “no” hope that he will be elected Speaker of the House, the congressman admitted on Tuesday evening after Republicans failed to unite behind Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA). When asked if there was any chance that he would be Speaker of the House, Jordan flatly dismissed the prospect. “No,” he said, explaining that he simply desires to chair the Judiciary Committee.

South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem (R) said former President Trump, who just announced his 2024 reelection bid, doesn’t offer “the best chance” for the GOP in the next presidential election cycle. “If we narrow our focus there, then we’re not talking to every single American. Our job is not just to talk to people who love Trump or hate Trump. Our job is to talk to every single American,” Noem, who herself has gotten nods as a potential GOP candidate for 2024, told The New York Times.

Sunday on MSNBC’s “The Mehdi Hasan Show,” Rep. Mondaire Jones (D-NY) addressed the Democrats’ chances in the upcoming midterm elections. Jones said the Democrats still had a chance of “keeping the majority in the House” but acknowledged his party had to “course correct.” “I think that we’ve still got a good chance of keeping the majority in the House, but we’ve got to course correct,” Jones emphasized. “We’ve got to make sure that we are having up or down votes on any number of broadly popular pieces of legislation, and that starts with the legislation passed out of the House...

< snip >In "The Black Swan"--a kind of cri de coeur--Mr. Taleb struggles to free us from our misguided allegiance to the bell-curve mindset and awaken us to the dominance of the power law. The attractiveness of the bell curve resides in its democratic distribution and its mathematical accessibility. Collect enough data and the pattern reveals itself, allowing both robust predictions of future data points (such as the height of the next five people to enter the room) and accurate estimations of the size and frequency of extreme values (anticipating the occasional giant or dwarf. The power-law distribution, by contrast,...

VIDEOOn September 5, 2021 a black swan appeared in Beijing's Tiananmen Square and attracted a lot of attention as you can see. Does this very rare appearance of a black swan in the very center of China portend a Black Swan event? By strange coincidence, on the very same day the black swan appeared in Tiananmen Square, a fascinating documentary about Black Swan Events, "The Worst Kind of Surprise: Black Swan Theory," was uploaded to YouTube. You can see a few excerpts of it in this video but I highly recommend you watch the entire documentary in the link below.The...

Around one hundred people, many of them teenagers, were hospitalized for drinking too much during a concert headlined by Chance the Rapper in Connecticut Friday night. Police said that there was "a great deal of tailgating, partying and heavy drinking" at Hot 93.7's Hot Jam Summer concert, where most of those in attendance were in their early 20s or younger, according to the Hartford Courant. The cops issued 50 underage drinking referrals, and had to call in for additional ambulances to take patients to nearby hospitals. "Drug use [was] a concern, but not as prevalent," Deputy Police Chief Brian Foley...

Basketball superstar Shaquille O’Neal says Donald Trump won the election “fair and square,” and rather than call for recounts, voters should give the president-elect a chance. “We have a process that’s been going on forever,” the NBA Hall of Famer told ITK on Wednesday. “And whoever wins, you just hope he does what he says he’s going to do. You know, candidate Trump promised a lot of people a lot of things. “Now that he’s president-elect, you just hope that he can make the world a better place. He won fair and square. We have to give him a chance,”...

Thursday on Fox News Channel's "Hannity," Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said he had a shot at winning New York State, to which he said would clinch the presidency for him over Hillary Clinton. Trump said, "Well, I think I'm not only more electable, I think I'll win the election. You saw the fox poll last week saying I beat Hillary Clinton and I think I will beat any one of them. I think she's probably more difficult than wacky Bernie and I think I will beat them. I will just beat them. As an example, I think I'll win...

To add to Stanley’s sage observations (both today and earlier this week), I argue in this weekend’s column that elections are not democracy and, in fact, that popular elections in a sharia culture that inevitably empower Islamic supremacists are innately anti-democratic – which is why our commentariat ought to stop referring to Mohamed Morsi as Egypt’s “democratically elected” president. He is (or was) the popularly-elected in an anti-democratic society.

I’m sure you’ll understand: I have a little internet (ahem) “housekeeping” I must attend to today. So while I’m busy scrubbing, wiping and cleaning up my inner-tubes, I have a reading assignment for you - Victor Davis Hanson’s latest dissertation: Obama Being Obama. It’s sort of like Being Biden; only funnier. Professor Hanson makes the case that we shouldn’t be upset over the recent Scandalanche® surrounding his presidency, as it was we, not he, who changed the rules. Once Barack Obama was elected to the Illinois legislature, his career as a statesman was mostly an afterthought — either voting “present”...

ON Friday night, the nation’s capital was under a tornado watch. And that was the best thing that happened to the White House all week. As the president was being slapped by Mitt Romney for being too weak on national security, he was being rapped by a Times editorial for being too aggressive on national security. A Times article by Jo Becker and Scott Shane revealed that the liberal law professor who campaigned against torture and the Iraq war now personally makes the final decisions on the “kill list,” targets for drone strikes. “A unilateral campaign of death is untenable,”...

March 13, 2012 Southern states Gingrich's last chance? 2012 candidate weighs in on primaries

The European debt crisis is raising the odds of a U.S. recession, with economic contraction more likely than not by early 2012, according to research from the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank. While it is difficult to gauge the odds precisely, an analysis of leading U.S. economic indicators suggests a rising chance of a recession through the end of the year and into early next year, researchers at the regional Fed bank wrote on Monday. The risk of recession recedes after the second half of 2012, they found. New governments in Greece and Italy, with fresh promises to tackle fiscal...

Here is the film "Being there" for any one who hasn't seen it.It is haunting,with the ahole we have in office now.Here is Part 1.Follow the links for the entire film

For all Zero Hedge readers who have long waited for their chance to ask Mr. Scott Alvarez of "Have The Federal Reserve Or Prime Brokers Ever Tried To Manipulate The Stock Market?" fame a question about life, the universe or why the CME decides to hike ES margins in an environment of rising realized vol, here it is. Tomorrow, at 2PM, Ron Paul will lead a hearing by the Financial Services Committee, which will luckily be carried by C-SPAN meaning one will be actually able to hear the dialog (alas, the House continues to believe that investing in microphones for...

A press release by the National Resources Defense Council indicates that President Obama’s motorcade tonight will be carbon neutral. At first glance one might be impressed that the President is putting his money where his mouth is by driving a more environmentally friendly vehicle or some other personal action that could have a green effect. Alas, this is not the case. The claims on the ride being carbon comes from the purchase of energy carbon offsets through the Bonneville Environmental Foundation. These offsets can come in a variety of flavors, such as investment in wind farms.

A senior diplomatic source in Jerusalem said Thursday that there is “no chance” that US President Barack Obama would consent to renewed settlement construction in two months' time, even if Israel consents to extending the building freeze in Judea and Samaria. The source told Arutz Sheva's Ben Shaul that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has been unable to get Obama to promise that if an agreement on borders between Israel and a future PA state is not reached within 60 days, Obama would not request another extension of the anti-Jewish construction moratorium. “There is no chance of getting Obama's agreement for...

A New York Times political race profile gave Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Tim Walz a 96 percent chance of regaining his seat in Minnesota’s First Congressional District. The profile breaks down the district and the second-term congressman’s voting record, and shows the area leaning Democratic. This comes shortly after Walz’s Republican opponent, state Rep. Randy Demmer of Hayfield, was elevated to Young Gun status by the National Republican Congressional Committee.

CHICAGO (Reuters) – There is a "significant" chance the U.S. economy will slip back into recession in the next two years although a reversal is unlikely in the next few months, researchers at the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank said on Monday. The probability of another recession over the next 18 to 24 months is higher than that of expansion, researchers said in the latest issue of the regional Fed bank's Economic Letter. Concern has risen in recent months that the United States might be headed for a 'double-dip' recession as measures of consumer spending and confidence have dropped and...

I have heard liberals whine several times about "give Obama a chance". Every time they say it, I feel like slapping them silly (Of course, slapping liberals silly doesn't usually accomplish much). But my response is always, "we've already given him many chances and he's blown every single one." Cap and Trade. Universal Health Care. Weak foreign policy. Lies about just about everything under the sun. His policies are ruining the country and we're supposed to give him a chance when liberals wouldn't give Bush a chance. No. He's already squandered all of his chances. Give him any more and...