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... The Great Depression was caused by misguided government policies adopted to avoid the "unsatisfactory conditions" signaled by the crash. The run-of-the-mill recession that ought to have followed the crash was magnified by the policies of the federal government during the administration of Herbert Hoover. In a paper for the National Bureau of Economic Research published last August, Lee E. Ohanian examines a continuing mistake during the Hoover administration that helped transform difficulty into calamity. An economics professor at UCLA, Ohanian has written numerous papers on the Depression. In one earlier paper, he pinned the persistence of high unemployment on...

This is not inside-baseball economics stuff -- don’t be afraid. Arthur B. Laffer at the Wall Street Journal has a good historical review of the Great Depression and what happened with tax rates during the period. Laffer defines the beginning of the problem, the Smoot-Hawley tariff implemented in 1930.

Explaining Two Trade Busts: Output VS. Trade Costs In The Great Depression And Today Douglas L. Campbell David Jacks Christopher M. Meissner Dennis Novy 19 September 2009 Trade has declined massively during the crisis. This column assesses the relative roles of falling demand and rising trade costs in explaining the collapse and compares it to the Great Depression. Surprising, the increase in trade costs today is as large as in 1929, despite the absence of any modern protectionism resembling Smoot-Hawley. It appears that reviving global demand alone will be insufficient to revive world trade. If the world economy is now...

Roy Langbord had guessed that someone in his family might have hidden away a great treasure decades before, but not until his mother had him check a long-neglected safe-deposit box did he realize just how great it was. Inside the box, opened in 2003, he found an incredibly rare coin, wrapped in a delicate paper sleeve. It was a gold $20 piece with Lady Liberty on one side, a bald eagle flying across the other and, at Liberty’s left, the four digits that made it so valuable: 1933. The famous “double eagles” from that year were never officially released by...

The economy's mild second quarter contraction has many proclaiming the recession over. Now is therefore a good time to survey the current recession so frequently compared to the Depression. It's natural to ask: how do these economic heavyweights measure up? When prizefighters step into the ring – a tale of the tape – a comparison of their primary physical attributes is revealing. A comparison of the economic and fiscal attributes is equally illustrative here.

One of the biggest myths about the great depression is that FDR's NEW Deal and the related government intervention and public works projects got us out of the Great Depression. The truth is that the New Deal did not work. Instead of creating growth in the private sector, it created government growth that squeezed out the private sector. Of course, the number one public golf course in the country Bethpage Black (where the US Open played this year) was a was a New Deal Federal works project, but that only cures MY depression, it did little for the country. As...

What caused the Great Depression? There are plenty of theories and arguments out there, and I don’t plan to review them. But a new one (at least new to me) is contained in a paper by Lee Ohanian, a U.C.L.A. economist, that was released today by the National Bureau of Economic Research. He blames Herbert Hoover. That is not exactly original; the Democrats ran against Hoover for a generation after he left office, much as some would now like to run against George W. Bush. But his criticism is that Hoover was too kind to workers, which is not exactly...

An economist is saying that President Hoover set the stage to worsen The Great Depression because of his pro-labor union stance. Pro-labor policies pushed by President Herbert Hoover after the stock market crash of 1929 accounted for close to two-thirds of the drop in the nation's gross domestic product over the two years that followed, causing what might otherwise have been a bad recession to slip into the Great Depression, a UCLA economist concludes in a new study. Lee E. Ohanian, a UCLA professor of economics, lays the worst of the Depression at the feet of Hoover who, in his...

While we aren't contrarian for the sake of being contrary, more often than not that is the position in which we find ourselves. Today, with the media falling all over itself to paint a rosy outlook for the economy while simultaneously voicing encouragement to the new administration in its remake of the nation in previously unimaginable ways, it's hard not to question our conviction that the worst is yet to come. Could the economy really recover this quickly from the traumatic trifecta of a record real estate bubble, leviathan levels of debt, and a global credit collapse? We don't see...

Federal Reserve Bank chairman Ben Bernanke, who was reappointed to a second four-year term Tuesday, is a renowned expert on the Great Depression, driven to avoid a repeat of such devastation. Bernanke has earned plaudits for helping steer the US economy through one of its most perilous periods and toward recovery, with President Barack Obama repeatedly thanking him for his contribution. He was aided in his bid for a second term at the helm of the Fed by the strong working relationship he has forged with Democrat Obama's economic team -- despite being a holdover from George W. Bush's Republican...

Excerpt ... Assets for failures for [the current] crisis total $7.1 trillion to date. This is nearly eight times the assets compared with the inflation-adjusted total for the S&L crisis. The data for bank failures in the Great Depression is shown in the following table. The total deposits involved were about $7.6 billion over a span of 13 years. Adjusted for inflation, that is $100 billion in 2009 dollars. The size of the crisis today, adjusted for inflation, is more than 70 times larger than the entire Great Depression. It's unlikely that bank failures can peak until we are close...

“Those who do not remember the past are doomed to repeat it” It speaks for itself!Libertas

"This is the worst economy since the Great Depression." We always hear it. But is it true? What's different? What's the same? What can we learn about the Great Depression so that we can avoid another one? These are all questions that require serious study, and serious knowledge about economics. So, we caught up with Dr. Tom Rustici, Professor of Economics at George Mason University, and author of the book, "Lessons from the Great Depression." We asked him to answer 6 important questions.

A nephew of mine is doing some project/study work on the Great Depression. I have tons of history books, but very little on economical history and the Great Depression. I'd like him to avoid Roosevelt adulating propaganda. What do you consider the authorative and most relevant books on the Great Depression and the (etatist) measures certain States (particularily US and Europeans) have taken against it? Thanks for your help.

Paul Krugman says that the jobs report confirms that we're plunging right back toward another Great Depression. We've lost 6.5 million jobs since the peak. After adjusting for population growth, we're down 8.5 million. As Richard Bernstein noted yesterday, wages and the workweek are also declining. Obama's stimulus, meanwhile, promises to create 3.5 million jobs by the end of next year (if you believe the projections). So, by then, assuming no further loss in jobs (please), we'll be about 5 million below where we should be. And state and city budget pressures are wiping out many of the benefits of...

How about that for a headline? Christians warn bankers and world leaders that continue to violate God’s word. Are groceries going up in price or is the dollar losing more of its purchasing power? I believe the dollar is in serious trouble in River City. It looks like those pesky old bankers are going to allow the dollar to lose more and more of its value. I was reading Chuck Butler's email this morning. He works for www.everbank.com and says the International Monetary Fund (Global Bankers and Masters of the Matrix) Chief Economist, Olivier Blanchflower, speaking at a conference in...

Green shoots are bursting out. Or so we are told. But before concluding that the recession will soon be over, we must ask what history tells us. It is one of the guides we have to our present predicament. Fortunately, we do have the data. Unfortunately, the story they tell is an unhappy one. EDITOR’S CHOICE Tight rules helped mitigate crisis in Brazil - Jun-16 Economists’ forum - Oct-01 Opinion: The three steps to financial reform - Jun-16 In depth: Global financial crisis - Sep-04 Economics: How the world economy might recover its poise - Jun-15 Two economic historians, Barry...

“Whereas before there had been almost no framework to explain what Roosevelt was doing, now a respectable one was forming. Spending promoted growth, if government was big enough to spend enough.” ~ Amity Shlaes, The Forgotten Man ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Perhaps as a result of all the commentary suggesting that we’re in the midst of the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, there’s lots of talk about what led us out of same. It’s conventional wisdom that the government spending wrought by World War II ultimately sparked our emergence from the 1930s downturn, but the evidence suggests otherwise. World War II...

New Deal Nostalgia Deconstructed by: Alana Goodman, June 09, 2009 With the U.S. unemployment rate hitting a 25-year record high of 9.4 percent in May, economists have expressed pessimism about the future of the economy, but were quick to draw distinctions between the current recession and the Great Depression. Speaking at the Cato Institute’s “Lessons from the New Deal and Great Depression” seminar, Economics Professor Harold Cole of the University of Pennsylvania told the audience, “You want to be careful about comparing the current [recession] with the Great Depression…The Great Depression was much worse.” Cole explained that during the Great...

Still not convinced? Green shoots are sprouting into a jungle around the world. Consider a few of the economic indicators published in the past two weeks: British house prices have risen in two of the past three months. Japan has experienced its biggest monthly increase in industrial production since the Fifties. Consumer and business sentiment are rising strongly in the United States and Britain and are even showing some signs of life in Europe. In America, where all the trouble started, unemployment claims have fallen, durable goods orders and property sales have bounced back and house prices have stabilised, although...