Keyword: sabato

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  • Actor Antonio Sabato Jr. to run for Congress against Rep. Julia Brownley

    05/08/2017 6:18:41 PM PDT · by boycott · 16 replies ^ | May 8, 2017
    Actor Antonio Sabato Jr. is running for Congress, challenging Rep. Julia Brownley (D-Westlake Village), who represents the southern central coast and most of Ventura County, according to documents filed with the Federal Election Commission on Monday. Attempts to reach the Republican candidate were unsuccessful Monday, but GOP strategist Charles Moran, who will serve as Sabato’s fundraiser, confirmed the run. Strategist Jeff Corless will serve as a top adviser. Sabato is a longtime actor best known for roles in “General Hospital” and “Melrose Place” and as a model for Calvin Klein underwear. In recent years he has appeared in several reality...
  • Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190

    08/18/2016 3:03:57 PM PDT · by C19fan · 102 replies
    Sabato's Crystal Ball ^ | August 18, 2016 | Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley
    New Hampshire may just have four electoral votes, but it’s important. If you doubt it, just ask any Granite State citizens, and they’ll tell you about their first-in-the-nation primary. Even that quartet of electoral votes can matter; in 2000, if Al Gore had just won them (and without Ralph Nader on the ballot, he probably would have), Gore would have been president even without Florida. He didn’t and he wasn’t. Since 2000, we’ve watched New Hampshire become more reliable for the Democrats in presidential years. Neighbor John Kerry of Massachusetts won 50.2% in 2004, and Barack Obama easily carried the...
  • ELECTORAL MAP: Hillary Clinton is on track for a blowout win in November

    08/06/2016 10:02:53 AM PDT · by tcrlaf · 223 replies
    Yahoo Finance ^ | 8-4-2016 | Business Insider
    An electoral college map released Thursday from the University of Virginia Center for Politics projected Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton winning the November election by a landslide. UVA altered its map to reflect recent changes in the likely political leanings of certain states, but Clinton still easily came out on top. Larry Sabato, director of the UVA Center for Politics, explained what made the map different from most polls that reflect the more fickle tendencies of the electorate. The UVA electoral map focused on "the electoral fundamentals and fixed elements of politics that predetermine most votes, especially partisanship, demographics, and...
  • How would a brokered GOP convention work? - Larry Sabato explains the process on 'Fox & Friends'

    03/05/2016 8:39:46 PM PST · by sheikdetailfeather · 58 replies
    Fox News ^ | March 5, 2016 | Fox & Friends
    How would a brokered GOP convention work? Mar. 05, 2016 - 4:15 - Larry Sabato explains the process on 'Fox & Friends'
  • Larry Sabato on Cruz and Trump: "Trump Almost Unelectable" (Fox Video)

    12/10/2015 4:14:55 PM PST · by conservativejoy · 38 replies
    Politibrew ^ | 12/10/2015 | Brew
    12-10-15 1:32 PM EST: This was a very interesting exchange between Larry Sabato and Jon Scott of Fox News, and I think you all know who Larry Sabato is. Sabato is impressd by much of what Trump has been to pull off politically, but seems to be placing his bets on Ted Cruz. What do you think of what Sabato says here? Note: The polls listed within this are at least a couple of days old and then some. It remains to be seen what the media coverage of Trump's latest "ban Muslims for a while" thingamasay does to him....
  • Sabato’s Final Predictions: Republicans Pick Up 8 Seats In The Senate

    11/03/2014 11:59:16 PM PST · by Bettyprob · 44 replies
    The Daily Caller ^ | 11/03/2014 | Derek Hunter
    Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and one of the most widely respected political analysts in the country, has come out with his final predictions for the 2014 midterms, and he predicts a good night for Republicans. In his “Crystal Ball” picks, Sabato see an 8-seat pick-up for Republicans in the Senate, which would give them a 2-seat majority.
  • Surf's Up - Will there be a GOP wave in the Senate—or a wipeout?

    08/26/2014 5:49:29 AM PDT · by paul544 · 83 replies
    Politico ^ | 8/25/2014 | Larry Sabato
    So where’s the wave? This is President Obama’s sixth-year-itch election. The map of states with contested Senate seats could hardly be better from the Republicans’ vantage point. And the breaks this year—strong candidates, avoidance of damaging gaffes, issues such as Obamacare and immigration that stir the party base—have mainly gone the GOP’s way, very unlike 2012
  • Larry Sabato: Despite Mississippi loss, Tea Party 'is alive and well'

    06/27/2014 9:58:01 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 11 replies
    The Tea Party's failure to knock off long-time Mississippi GOP Sen. Thad Cochran has depressed supporters, but the tight race not only showed that the movement is alive, but also that it is here to stay, according to the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. In a new analysis of the race between Cochran and state Sen. Chris McDaniel, the U.Va. political team, headed by Larry Sabato, found that competing ably with the establishment is a strong indicator that the Tea Party itself is become more established and a force that GOP leaders are going to have to deal with....
  • 2016 Republican Presidential Update: A New, Familiar Name at the Top: Jeb Bush Leads the Pack.

    03/20/2014 7:22:44 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 64 replies
    Sabato's Crystal Ball: U.Va. Center for Politics ^ | 03/20/2013 | Larry Sabato and Kyle Kondik,
    In our first ranking of the very large and very unsettled 2016 Republican presidential field back in April of last year, we decided to not even include the name of one of the brightest stars in the GOP universe: Jeb Bush. We just didnÂ’t think, at the time, that the former Florida governor and brother and son of presidents was all that interested in running.But during 2013 and into this new year, weÂ’ve gotten the sense, like many others, that things might be changing. So much so that we now consider Bush the leader of the field if he decides...
  • Republicans Need a Champion in 2016 (Guess which two he suggests?)

    03/04/2014 7:40:03 PM PST · by 2ndDivisionVet · 43 replies
    Politico Magazine ^ | March 3, 2014 | Professor Larry J. Sabato
    e are already at the point in this prematurely unfolding 2016 presidential campaign when a glance down the list of prospective candidates can cause most observers to wince. As that seductive and sultry crooner Peggy Lee once sang, “Is that all there is?” At the U.Va. Crystal Ball, we currently have 11 Republicans and nine Democrats as probable or possible presidential contenders. The Democrats have fewer and more tentative contenders because of the paralyzing gravitational pull of “Planet Hillary,” as the New York Times Magazine described the Clinton operation. The former secretary of state is a kind of massive Jupiter...
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball (Larry Predicts a 2nd Term for Obama)

    11/05/2012 8:01:38 AM PST · by Livin_large · 40 replies
    Center for Politics ^ | November 5, 2012 | Larry Sabato
    With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature’s October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow. Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin and topping Mitt Romney, with 290 electoral votes. This has been a roller-coaster campaign, though very tight ever since Romney dramatically outshone Obama in the first debate in Denver on Oct. 3. Yet for a challenger to defeat an incumbent, the fates must be with the challenger again and again. Who could have imagined...
  • Sabato: Obama's Convention Bounce Will Not Last

    09/10/2012 8:05:39 PM PDT · by NKP_Vet · 14 replies
    http;// ^ | September 10, 2012 | Jim Meyers and John Bachman
    The boost for President Obama in polls following the Democratic National Convention is a “classic polling bounce” which will fade in a few weeks, University of Virginia political analyst Larry Sabato tells Newsmax. Sabato also says this year is the “last gasp” of four-day national conventions due to viewer disinterest. And he predicts that with few voters remaining undecided, the key to the November election will not be which side attracts swing voters but who energizes the base and gets out the vote.
  • Did You See Larry Sabato's Face?

    08/07/2012 5:18:18 PM PDT · by yetidog · 15 replies
    August 7, 2012 | Vanity
    Sabaoto - Mr. Balanced - just got it handed to him by O"Reilly.
  • Larry Sabato advises Romney to pick a "vanilla" RINO as VP.

    05/24/2012 11:48:15 AM PDT · by publius321 · 47 replies
    On the May 23, 2012 addition of Fox & Friends, Larry Sabato advises Mitt Romney NOT to select a conservative running mate because "Obama has already united the base". This is the kind of disrespect the conservative majority receives from these leftist hi-jackers. It is getting worse, not better. So the choice this Fall is between worshipping The Beast or The Anti-Christ. Some choice... (my video comment)
  • Larry Sabato: Obama 'Unloading' on Romney Early to Thwart Campaign

    11/29/2011 8:18:39 AM PST · by Saundra Duffy · 30 replies ^ | November 23, 2011 | David A. Patten
    University of Virginia political guru Dr. Larry J. Sabato tells Newsmax that President Barack Obama’s re-election machine has launched an anti-Mitt Romney campaign that won’t stop attacking the former Massachusetts governor until Election Day 2012. “They are unloading on him early, and will never stop until Election Day,” Sabato tells Newsmax. “Now, if they can damage Romney early and get a weaker general election opponent like [former House Speaker] Newt Gingrich, they'll be delighted.” His remarks came as the Romney campaign fired back Wednesday at allegations they had distorted Obama’s words for a campaign ad running in New Hampshire. Romney's...
  • 2012 electoral map — as it stands

    04/21/2011 12:48:04 PM PDT · by library user · 61 replies
    Reuters ^ | April 21, 2011 | by James Pethokoukis
    ~ EXCERPT ~ This is how 2012 looks right now to elections guru Larry Sabato:Here is how the math works: Include the “Leans” states with the “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows: 247 Democratic EVs,  180 Republican EVs, 111 Undecided. Just counting “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows: 196 Democratic EVs, 170 Republican EVs, 172 Undecided.Of the tossup states, I would give the Rs IN (11), FL (29) and certainly at least one of VA, NC or OH. Some Leans D in the Upper Midwest are vulnerable, too.
  • Presidential Possibilities (Larry Sabato rates the GOP Presidential field - all 19 candidates)

    01/20/2011 12:02:28 PM PST · by Jack Black · 50 replies
    Precisely two years from today, America will be inaugurating a president. But much sooner, the full-blown contest for the White House will begin. Just a year from now, we’ll all be watching presidential candidates slog through the snows of Iowa and New Hampshire (with sunny side trips to Nevada and South Carolina). There is only one guarantee: It will be a year full of tumult and unexpected developments. Presidential general elections are often far more predictable than the nominating contests. Why? The general elections are shaped by fundamental factors (shape of the economy, war and peace, scandal, presence of an...
  • Larry Sabato Says Unpredictable “Coattail Effect” Could Put GOP over the Top in U.S. Senate – Video

    10/29/2010 3:10:20 PM PDT · by Federalist Patriot · 20 replies
    Freedom's Lighthouse ^ | October 29, 2010 | Brian
    Here is video of a great interview with University of Virginia Professor Larry Sabato on Fox Business Network, where he discussed the upcoming Midterm Elections. Sabato shared his final “Crystal Ball” predictions that the GOP will retake control of the House with a 55-seat net gain, and will gain 8-seats in the Senate – two short of what is needed for control there. But Sabato also said he believes the final margin in the House will likely be larger than the 55-seats he has predicted, and holds open the possibility the Republicans could take control of the U.S. Senate as...
  • The Crystal Ball’s Final Calls (GOP Gains: +55 for House, +8 for Senate +8-9 Governors)

    10/28/2010 5:49:03 AM PDT · by randita · 86 replies · 1+ views
    Center for Politics ^ | 10/28/10 | Larry J. Sabato
    The Crystal Ball’s Final Calls Larry J. Sabato, Director, U.Va. Center for Politics October 28th, 2010 The time has finally come in this two-year election cycle to make the final calls. Thanks to everyone who has helped us by providing background info, tips, private polls, observations, and constructive criticism. We operate on the proverbial shoestring and we’re outside the Beltway (a plus and a minus), so we can always use the assistance. Our tradition is that we make a prediction in every contest. We’ve been studying these states, districts, and candidates for many years, and we feel entitled! We’re proud...
  • House Race Changes (Sabato)

    10/14/2010 5:39:21 AM PDT · by randita · 12 replies
    Center for Politics ^ | 10/14/10 | Isaac Wood
    House Race Changes Isaac Wood, House Race Editor October 14th, 2010 Polling, independent expenditures, and the general intensification of campaigns across the country provide us with new clues about the November outcome that is in store. Our overall view of the Republican wave remains the same, at a GOP net pick-up of 47 seats, but we now know more about which seats are truly endangered and where each side was just tilting at windmills. This week, we make 26 changes to our House ratings. Among our changes this week, there is a lone bright spot for Democrats. In OH-13, incumbent...