Free Republic

President Donald Trump has a 91 per cent chance of winning the November 2020 election, according to a political science professor who has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996. “The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite on Tuesday. Mr Norpoth told the outlet that his model, which he curated in 1996, would have correctly predicted the outcome for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced. The model calculates the winning candidate based on early presidential nominating contests and placing an...

A federal jury ruled in favor of the Boston College alumnus who had sued the University for improper interference in violation of fair process in his 2012 disciplinary hearing on Monday. The jury awarded the alumnus—referred to by the pseudonym “John Doe”—$102,426.50 in damages: $24,819.50 for tuition and fees for the semester he was suspended and $77,607 for one year of lost income as a result of his delayed graduation from BC. Doe brought the lawsuit after an Administrative Hearing Board found him responsible for sexually assaulting a fellow student on the annual AHANA Leadership Council Boat Cruise. Throughout the...

Stony Brook University Professor of Political Science Helmut Norpoth returned to Breitbart News Daily on Friday morning, two weeks after standing by his prediction that most polls were wrong and Donald Trump was highly likely to win the presidential race. Professor Norpoth was feeling rather good about that prediction on Friday. Norpoth also confirmed, in response to SiriusXM host Alex Marlow’s first question, that it is indeed awesome to have a name like “Helmut Norpoth” and to hear it repeated with such gratitude and appreciation... “I think the polls just totally misjudged the potential and the kind of support that...

Once-obscure political science professor Helmut Norpoth is now basking in the sweet glow of success — and newfound fame — after confidently predicting way back in February that Donald Trump was virtually guaranteed to win the 2016 presidential election. Norpoth, a faculty member at Stony Brook University, announced his prognostication that Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton some 262 days ago. He asserted a confidence level of 97 percent in what he calls the Primary Model, he said. On Tuesday, the professor’s prophecy was proven right. Voter intent doesn’t matter, he said. Instead, the things that really matter are excitement among...

Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy said he was taught by communists when he attended Stony Brook University. But, unlike the late Sen. Joseph McCarthy, Levy said he is not about to name names. Levy, a Democrat, made the statement before state Conservatives in Albany last week. He said he's "very proud" of his Stony Brook experience and that the school has changed a lot since he attended 30 years ago. Then, Levy said, "A number of professors railed against America on a consistent basis." He said one wore a red hat and fatigues, and another spoke of how Cuba had...

Armed burglars robbed four students at their door room in Stony Brook University Monday night, police officials said. The robbery happened at 8:30 p.m. on the second floor of an undisclosed building in the Kelly Quad at the university, Suffolk and Stony Brook University police said. Two to three masked men -- covering their faces with bandanas -- stormed the room and announced a robbery, they said.