Replies

I think R+10 is too optimistic.

We will lose 3 seats in PA for sure due to redistricting, probably 1-2 in NJ. Comstock is underwater in VA. Trott and possibly one other are in trouble in MI. So far, McSally’s house seat here in AZ is a loss. Figure at least one loss in CA. That’s 10. Rod Blum was considered dead, but has made a comeback, still a little behind. Throw in FL27 OR 26, and you’re at 12, and just for margin, make it 15.

Now subtract two MN seats we’ll flip=13, and we probably will get AZ1 (-12).

So that’s where I am right now. Find me 12 other flips out there for us. I don’t see it.

So we should hold the house by 10-12 seats minimum, maybe if all the dominoes fall right, only 8.

37 posted on 10/17/2018 12:01:24 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))

To: LS; spacewarp

His R+10 was a Senate prediction, not House.

-PJ

40 posted on 10/17/2018 12:21:03 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

43 posted on 10/17/2018 6:02:45 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (and btw -- https://www.gofundme.com/for-rotator-cuff-repair-surgery)

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