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New paper suggests sun may be headed for a Maunder minimum (Global Cooling )
watts up with that? ^ | December 2, 2011 | Anthony Watts

Posted on 12/02/2011 11:03:11 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach

Just published in GRL, a new paper by Lockwood et al that suggests the sun may be headed for a Maunder type minimum.:

The persistence of solar activity indicators and the descent of the Sun into Maunder Minimum conditions

Key Points

Abstract:

The recent low and prolonged minimum of the solar cycle, along with the slow growth in activity of the new cycle, has led to suggestions that the Sun is entering a Grand Solar Minimum (GSMi), potentially as deep as the Maunder Minimum (MM). This raises questions about the persistence and predictability of solar activity. We study the autocorrelation functions and predictability R2L(t) of solar indices, particularly group sunspot number RG and heliospheric modulation potential Φ for which we have data during the descent into the MM. For RG and Φ, R2L(t) > 0.5 for times into the future of t 4 and 3 solar cycles, respectively: sufficient to allow prediction of a GSMi onset. The lower predictability of sunspot number RZ is discussed. The current declines in peak and mean RG are the largest since the onset of the MM and exceed those around 1800 which failed to initiate a GSMi.


(Excerpt) Read more at wattsupwiththat.com ...


TOPICS: Science; Weather
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; climatechange; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax
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1 posted on 12/02/2011 11:03:18 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Bush’s fault?


2 posted on 12/02/2011 11:05:25 AM PST by WayneS (Comments now include 25 percent more sarcasm for no additional charge...)
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To: Interesting Times; zot

Maunder Minimum Ping!


3 posted on 12/02/2011 11:07:49 AM PST by The Shrew (www.wintersoldier.com; www.tstrs.com; The Truth Shall Set You Free!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster; landsbaum; Signalman; NormsRevenge; steelyourfaith; Lancey Howard; ...

fyi


4 posted on 12/02/2011 11:09:13 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
The "Maundar Minimum"??!!!" That sounds serious!


5 posted on 12/02/2011 11:10:42 AM PST by PGR88
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To: WayneS

Palin had a picture of the sun with a target on her web site.


6 posted on 12/02/2011 11:11:32 AM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: All
From the comments:

***************************EXCERPT*******************************************

kbray in california says:

December 2, 2011 at 6:34 am

Santa Anna says it’s cooling too…

Since reports in 2008/9 indicated AG-warming would reduce Santa Anna winds….

here…

http://www.achangeinthewind.com/2008/10/good-news-friday-global-warming-lessening-santa-ana-wind-conditions.html

and here too….

http://www.energy.ca.gov/2009publications/…/CEC-500-2009-015-D.PDF

Therefore the current powerful Santa Anna winds must be a confirmation of Global Cooling !!

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-12-02/southern-california-cleanup-slowed-as-winds-howl-a-second-night.html

That’s cool.

7 posted on 12/02/2011 11:11:51 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Well there goes my Martian vacation this year. Rats.


8 posted on 12/02/2011 11:15:24 AM PST by SkyDancer ("If You Want To Learn To Love Better, You Should Start With A Friend Who You Hate")
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Darnit, I've only got 2 or 3 more maximums in my lifetime, and what do I get this maximum? Nada, nothing. 6 meters is dee ee dee, dead.

Last solar max I was working California from Texas on 6 meters with 4 watts. I WANT MY SUNSPOTS!

/johnny

9 posted on 12/02/2011 11:15:36 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (gone Galt)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Ping. Thanx!


10 posted on 12/02/2011 11:15:46 AM PST by Tucker39
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To: All
From the comments:

*****************************************EXCERPT**************************************

Link to the paper:

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2011GL049811.shtml

11 posted on 12/02/2011 11:19:30 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; SolitaryMan; golux; SteamShovel; Bockscar; Thunder90; rdl6989; marvlus; ...
Thanx for the ping Ernest_at_the_Beach !

 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

12 posted on 12/02/2011 11:22:53 AM PST by steelyourfaith (If it's "green" ... it's crap !!!)
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Guess that is an abstract ....have to have proper clearance to see the paper.
13 posted on 12/02/2011 11:23:15 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Thankfully, we’re prepared because of all of that CO2 we’ve been spewing. Industrial age win!


14 posted on 12/02/2011 11:23:18 AM PST by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: All
See #13....

From the comments:

************************************EXCERPT******************************************

crosspatch says:

December 2, 2011 at 7:52 am

There is a discussion of the solar UV paper here: http://theresilientearth.com/?q=content/winter-sun

15 posted on 12/02/2011 11:31:29 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Whew!! Maybe the polar bears can be saved after all!

/s


16 posted on 12/02/2011 11:45:03 AM PST by CedarDave
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
If true, Obama, the democrats and leftists worldwide, have done everything they could to maximize harm to everyone else on our planet.

I just hope we get a new republican president and republican congress that will undue the green agenda that is paralyzing our energy industry.

17 posted on 12/02/2011 11:45:03 AM PST by Daaave ("The ship will self-destruct in t-minus, ten minutes.")
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To: CedarDave
The Coca cola company is helping fund their salvation....things work fast these days I guess.

LOL!

18 posted on 12/02/2011 11:48:11 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Global cooling is because of global warming. Everyone knows that.....geeze!


19 posted on 12/02/2011 11:49:03 AM PST by lormand (A Government who robs Peter to pay Paul, will always have the support of Paul)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The galactic Sunspot Nazi....”NO sunspots for you”


20 posted on 12/02/2011 12:33:56 PM PST by spokeshave (Cain....100% American, 100% Black and 100% for the Constitution...999 an added benefit.)
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