This is interesting. Its just the first day of in-person EV in Florida but I don’t remember seeing anything this drastic.
2020 - 45R / 32D / 23I (R advantage net 558k votes)
2018 - 39R / 42D / 19I (D advantage net 86k votes)
It’s hard to make any real comparisons though. 2020 was obviously a presidential year. Historically, Republicans did well with vote-by-mail and Democrats usually won the in-person EV. Those trends completely turned on their head in 2020 as Dems were scared to leave their house during covid.
Plus .. hard to see either major race as competitive. You got a freaking former Republican in Crist as their gov candidate, and it feels like the only real enthusiasm on their side is “anyone but DeSantis” which is only going to go so far.
FLORIDA 7PM EARLY VOTE IN PERSON UPDATE
56,035 GOP
34,462 DEM
15,818 NPA
1,398 Other
+21,573 52% R 32% D
Strong Red Sumter County (the villages) starts EV tomorrow
Strong Reds Martin, St Johns, Nassau, Martin start Weds
Big reds Marion and Collier start Thurs
Strong reds Clay and Citrus start Friday
and two bigger strong Red Panhandles counties start Saturday (Walton and Okalossa ) Don;t start util saturday
With about a dozen more small but Red counties starting Weds-Sat
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
NEW EVING COUNTIES IN FL
I was told about 6 counties in FL starting their EVing today (before today, only 38/67 counties were early voting). Those numbers are:
21558 EVs, 63-21% R/D (these counties supported Trump 60-38%)
The IP data for the other 38 counties before this AM was 52-32% R/D, or 223K in person early votes, for proper context.
Daniel Gruhn
@dg_sailingfan
ยท
42m
Replying to
@WinWithJMC
https://tqv.vrswebapps.com/?state=FL&county=DAD
D’s only lead 74,353 to R’s 65,677 in the combined VBM/IP Vote in Miami-Dade. TRULY MIND-BOGGLING John! I’ve never seen anything like that.