DAYUM...the Dems are probably ignoring this for the polls but this looks REALLY bad. You can’t make up this kind of margin in PA and AZ no matter how hard you try, so the Dems might give up completely.
other areas look ‘better” for Dems but there as got to be something going on more than just Desantis
Florida’s Voice
@FLVoiceNews
TODAY: REPs end off Nov. 2 with a 217,835 lead over DEMs (net +40,417 today), and remain ahead in Miami-Dade County by 1,146
STATEWIDE:
🔴 1,555,567 Republicans (+6.09%)
🔵 1,337,732 Democrats
MIAMI-DADE:
🔴 128,306 Republicans (+0.35%)
🔵 127,160 Democrats
2020 COMPARISON:
🔵 Election Day, 2020 - D+115,416
🔴 5 days to Election Day, 2022 - R+217,835
Yeah I can’t really speak to other states, not that familiar with the trends.
My rough guess: 30k on Thursday and Friday, 20k on a slower Saturday and let’s call Sunday a push. Sunday EV is limited to major metro areas (plus a few red counties impacted by Ian), so while EV has not been kind to the Dems anywhere but Broward, it won’t help us much either at that point.
Would be pushing 300k (8%-ish?) advantage by Election Day? I can’t imagine the Democrats are expecting some massive turnout on ED given the EV trends.