Posted on 01/24/2024 4:58:03 AM PST by MtnClimber
It’s pretty clear that both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are running neck and neck in their race for the presidency. But when it comes to asking voters about who would do a better job in the White House fixing their major concerns, Trump has a commanding lead, the latest I&I/TIPP Poll shows. Biden is in trouble.
For January’s online national I&I/TIPP Poll, taken Jan. 3-5 from among 1,401 adults, registered voters were asked “who would you say has better policies” for each of seven key issues: “reducing taxes,” “effectively handling the immigration and border security situation,” “growing the economy,” “addressing climate change,” “reducing violence and crime in the country,” “controlling government spending,” and “reducing homelessness.”
The score: Trump wins in five categories, to Biden’s two. But, as always, party affiliation matters a lot. The poll has a +/-2.6 percentage-point margin of error.
On reducing taxes, 45% said Trump would do a better job vs. 34% saying Biden would. Another 21% were “not sure.” For Democrats, the results were 69% Biden, 13% Trump; for Republicans, 82% Trump, 7% Biden; for independents, 43% Trump to 24% Biden.
That partisan pattern (Trump winning overall support, with Democrats leaning for Biden, Republicans strong for Trump, and independents showing milder but persistent support for Trump’s policies) mostly held for all seven issues.
But there were two big exceptions: climate change and homelessness, both of which were Biden strengths with voters.
On climate, Biden ruled the issue with 48% to Trump’s 28% support. Some 25% were “not sure.” But party differences were still stark: Democrats gave Biden 80% support, just 7% to Trump; Republicans, 56% Trump and 17% Biden, with 28% “not sure.” Independents gave 44% support to Biden, just 22% to Trump on the climate issue.
On homelessness, Biden edged out Trump by 37% to 33%, with a hefty 30% describing themselves as not sure. However, Dems were 72% Biden, 10% Trump, while Republicans gave Trump 65% to Biden’s 8%. Among independents, Biden and Trump were essentially tied: 27% of independents favored Biden, while 26% favored Trump. But a sizable 45% were “not sure.”
On all four of the remaining issues, overall Trump held solid or slim leads over Biden — immigration and border (Trump 49%, Biden 35%), economic growth (Trump 47%, Biden 37%), reducing violence and crime (Trump 39%, Biden 38%), and controlling government spending (Trump 43%, Biden 36%).
The data show red flags of caution for both candidates. The large “not sure” responses on all seven issues means many voters are undecided. Indeed, across all the questions, an average of 22% answered “not sure,” rather than choose either of the candidates. That’s a potentially large bloc of undecideds when it comes to key issues.
But, if anything, the data overall should be alarming to Biden’s camp. As we noted, his support on key issues generally is much weaker than Trump’s on all but two of the seven issues.
That lack of appeal on individual issues is met by an even greater concern for Biden supporters: his weakness with independents, a key swing group in the upcoming election.
It is safe to say that two things will be decisive in the next election: Party turnout, and how independents react to the major candidates. They now form a large, and increasingly influential, bloc of voters. Candidates that ignore their views put themselves in immense electoral peril.
A recent Gallup Poll shows why. It found an equal share of voters, 27%, called themselves Democrats and Republicans. But 41% described themselves as “independent,” tied for the highest share ever. So, this year, based solely on voters’ self-identification, roughly four of every 10 votes cast will be by independents.
“The increase in the percentage of independents has come more at the expense of Democrats than Republicans, which might be expected since Democrats were previously the largest political group,” according to Gallup.
Among independents, Trump leads Biden on tax cuts (43% to 24%), immigration (48% to 24%), growing the economy (45% to 27%), reducing crime and violence (35% to 28%), controlling government spending (40% to 25%).
On homelessness, Biden edges out Trump among independents, but barely, 28% to 27%. With a 2.6 percentage point margin of error, that’s a statistically insignificant difference. Only on one issue — climate change — does Biden have a significant lead among independents. It’s 44% Biden, 22% Trump.
Both major primary challengers to Trump — Florida Gov. DeSantis and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley — had hoped to use independent support as a springboard to block the former president’s electoral path.
But on Sunday, reading pollsters’ grim prognostications for his expected performance against Trump in Tuesday’s New Hampshire GOP primary vote, DeSantis announced he was ending his campaign and would now throw his support behind Trump.
That leaves only Haley standing, after finishing a disappointing third behind Trump and DeSantis in the recent Iowa Caucus. She is counting on independents to make a strong showing, if not to win, in New Hampshire against the politically potent Trump MAGA juggernaut.
But that’s a tall order. Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, estimates Haley would need somewhere around 70% to 75% of the independent vote to upset Trump.
“That’s never happened before,” Smith told Reuters. “That’s a really tall order.”
In head-to-head competition, Trump has a small lead over Biden, as our I&I/TIPP Poll shows. But when it comes to the issues that most Americans care about, and potential support from independents on those key issues, he likely will be hard though not impossible to beat both in the primaries and in the general election.
Republicans: Trump/Biden 86% / 7%
democRATS: Trump/Biden 14% / 70%
“immigration and border (Trump 49%, Biden 35%)”
Wow. This not being Trump 100%, Biden 0% (or something close to that) might be a sign of our doom.
The polls I found interesting were for Biden. He had very high approval numbers.
With that kind of approval, he will be hard to dump. That’s good for Trump.
dnyuz.com
1/23/24
A Top Biden Aide Is Taking the Reins of His Re-election Campaign
President Biden has approved a shake-up of the leadership of his campaign, and will dispatch a top White House aide to take over functional control of his re-election effort just as former President Donald J. Trump appears to be seizing control of the Republican primary contest to oppose him.
The aide, Jennifer O’Malley Dillon, who was the campaign manager for Mr. Biden’s 2020 campaign and has served as a deputy chief of staff in the White House since he became president, will move to the Biden 2024 headquarters in Wilmington, Del., and direct the campaign’s efforts, according to five people familiar with the discussions.
It is unclear precisely what title Ms. O’Malley Dillon will take at the campaign or when the announcement will be made, though it could come later this week. Julie Chávez Rodríguez, the campaign’s manager since shortly after it began in April, is expected to remain on the campaign’s staff in a senior role.
The Biden campaign did not provide a comment on the record.
The move formalizes a setup in which Ms. O’Malley Dillon has for months overseen the campaign’s direction from Washington.
When the Biden campaign held a December retreat for staff members at its headquarters, it was Ms. O’Malley Dillon who led the proceedings — not Ms. Chávez Rodríguez, according to two people who attended the session but were not authorized to speak publicly about it.
Donors, operatives, elected officials and other Democrats supportive of Mr. Biden have been increasingly worried about a campaign structure that had major and even minor decisions being made by White House aides and carried out by campaign personnel in Delaware.
In recent months, former President Barack Obama met with Mr. Biden at the White House and raised concerns about the bifurcated arrangement, according to an account of their discussion reported by The Washington Post.
The expected leadership change comes as the campaign is set to shift into a general-election posture and a more aggressive effort to contrast Mr. Biden with Mr. Trump, who won Iowa’s caucuses last week and held a significant polling advantage heading into the New Hampshire primary election on Tuesday against Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who is his last major Republican rival.
p
Love it!
Not tired of WINNING :)
As we head toward November, Trump is in a good position. The Dims don’t have Covid, they don’t have X/Twitter, but they are stuck with Bidenomics (including all the chaos at the southern border). If Trump stays on message, i.e. pounding Bidenomics and its failure, he has great odds to win.
With that said, let’s not forget who we’re dealing with here. The Dims have fully embraced evil, and as such they’ll do ANYTHING to win. Expect cheating, more lawsuits, lies, violence, etc. Godless people have no moral compass, so anything goes. Stand strong.
The more we create social media junkies and drug addled zombies with the massive push of CBD the more we create people who cannot understand realty and prefer to live in their own false narrative, those are democrat’s.
Brought to you by the government fueled Indoctrination centers (previous known as colleges) who train students to unquestionably accept globalist / government experts’ opinions over their own experiences.
How can abortion NOT be a top issue? For many Democrats, the sacrament of killing babies is not only their #1 priority, it is their ONLY priority. Nothing else matters.
Trump has now surpassed his own record for the most
votes received in the New Hampshire Republican Primary.
<><><><>In 2020 he won 120,734 votes.......Tuesday he won 130,741 votes.<><><><>
Trump’s votes multiplied even as a determined Biden viciously tried to sideline Trump
<><>w/ multiple specious indictments,
<><>weaponizing federal agencies,
<><>maliciously going after innocent J6 Trump supporters
<><>shielding his whoring cokehead son from US laws.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jen_O‘Malley_Dillon
But, they control the City States that control the states and they are dangerous.
So long as they persist, the progressives are a threat to America, to liberty, to freedom.
And......... probably most importantly, Biden is going to be a war time President.
This ought to put a big smile on Morning Joe at MSNBC, and JOY REID, is tickled pink. This is going to be a good news day for the legacy folk. They brought it all upon themselves when the NEVER reported the Hunter Laptop..and repeated the Adam Schiff lies of the Russia Hoax. Everyone needs to take a page out of this lesson. You can’t keep lying to people and pulling wool over their eyes, someday they will wake up and realize they have been played. Can’t wait to see Morning Joes laughter... or crying tears... which will it be.
“Shake up”? What about a “wake up”? They’re running a modified basement strategy because Biden can’t handle a campaign schedule. I’m just hoping he succeeds in not getting replaced as the nominee, and we’ll be fine
I was looking forward to Biden mumbling and stumbling
on the campaign trail............if he can find it.
Thanks for the ping
Biden never talks about getting tough on crime because it what the party’s base are made of look who their president is.
Joe and son Hunter still walking around free as a bird while evidence locked up in some agency’s back room.
Dems are going to run on Unfettered Abortion, Climate Change Fear-porn & Orange Man Bad. Maybe a dash of pro-LGBTQN?A-XYZ....
They will have the Barbie-head, white-guilt, suburban-Karen vote locked up tight.
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