Posted on 02/07/2024 6:29:55 AM PST by Phoenix8
The "Keys to the White House" are being handed out, predicting President Biden currently holds a slight lead in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against former President Donald Trump.
Allan Lichtman, an election prognosticator who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about an upcoming presidential election - and in many cases, it proves to be accurate.
Lichtman's "Keys to the White House" consists of 13 true or false questions that he believes establish a strong indication of who will be named the victor on the fall ballot. Each question is asked about the two dueling nominees; if "true" they are given a "key," and if "false," their competitor receives the point.
Thus far, Biden holds five of the "keys," while Trump was able to capture about three, Lichtman revealed to MarketWatch. That leaves five keys still up for grabs, and enough room for the former president to secure a lead before November.
Trump Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump is the current frontrunner of the Republican presidential primary race. (Chip Somodevilla) According to American University, where Lichtman teaches, the "keys" are as follows: party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short term economy, long term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military success, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Another shock to me is Biden got the key for policy change. What? Like open borders?
The key that DJT cannot capture is the key to the ballot counting machines, which is firmly in Biden’s grasp.
So who is he predicting will win?
Most of these elections were pretty obvious who was going to win even I wasn’t happy about it. Plus with so many “talking heads” making predictions statistically speaking you’d have a bunch of people getting all of them right just by luck.
You can put only so much lipstick on a pig, even if you think you have it all covered up. Unfortunately, this deception will tank the economy sooner than the “Firm” thinks.
Sleepy Joe
He will make the call on Nov.6th.
It's not the ballot counting machines. Dominion machines didn't change any votes. That is easily caught with a hand recount of the ballots.
It's control of the Clerks who supervise the elections, set the standards (or lack thereof) for signature verification of absentee ballots, and failure to purge voter rolls of ineligible, moved, or deceased voters which allows for thousands of 'harvested' ballots to be cast unapposed.
I would add, how many election prognosticators are there - 1000's, I presume. How many presidential elections have bhere been since 1984 - ten? Of those how many were easy well the incumbant will be re-elected, starting with the 1984 election of Regan, and the 1989 reagan third term GWHB, who subsequently got dumped because he went globalist and broke the no new taxes pledge [needed to to pay for globalism].
So out 1000 trials of 10 throws of the dice [where there are only two numbers that can come up1, or 2], there is a high probability that a large number of trials will "predict: all of the elections - that's just statistics. Then with a litle bit of thinking about it you can increase the odds of a correct prediction significantly. And if you have loaded dice like 2020, you can do even better.
And this Allan Lichtman only claims to have predicted nearly all of the elections. Not all.
From 1984 on, only 2000 and 2016 were tossups (perhaps 2004 and 1992, and ‘92 wasn’t as much of a “tossup” as some people may want to believe), so how hard was it to make those “bold” predictions, really? And even get them right! For the tossups, just flip a coin and you’ve got a 50% chance of being right there too.
There was never any substantial doubt about most of the outcomes aside from ‘00 and ‘16, wishful thinking (such as 2012 and 2020) aside. 2024 goes in the tossup category, for now anyway, and we’ll see how the so-called experts fare — will Trump be allowed to run? Then will he be allowed to win?
Did he predict the left woukd,cheat obiden into office last election?
Exactly.
Also the Demonicrats control the election returns, and Demonicrat judges and DAs will lock out any attempts at election result challenges. These traitors have control of the election results; the Demonicrats don't even have to vote for their candidates to win.
*Almost* every ... Faux News.
Pfft.
Ability to cheat: bidet
Press in collusion: bidet
Paying illegal invasion: bidet
Looks like toilet joe has a threefer!
You neglected the mass-printed fraudulent ballots (more ballots than voters) and violation of voter/ballot thresholds.
Well, considering they control the vote fraud, yeah, that is the expected outcome.
What’s more likely is that we dont have an election.
Lichtman has been doing his version of “seven Our Fathers and seven Hail Marys” since he correctly predicted Trump’s 2016 victory. He’ll ultimately pick Biden or whatever replacement they put in.
People who depend of the gubment for their survival will vote Democrat. That’s exactly why they continue to create and grow a permanent underclass.
Open borders are by design.
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