I work in Manhattan. Crowds line up daily to cheer Trump as he heads to his trial from Trump Tower on 56th St and 5th Avenue each morning.
I don’t think NY can be won, but Trump will kill it in NYC relatively speaking which will make Biden’s ability to win NYS sub double digits.
I do think other states no one is talking about will be I play by late summer/fall.
But NYS? If Trump were to win NYS, then it’s going to be a bloodbath, politically, for the Dems.
I’d say Trump is on target to win the popular vote if general trending continues which means a lot of states no one is talking about are going to go for him this fall.
We will see how it all plays out, but unless something. Drastically changed Biden won’t win NY by 10+…. Will be lucky if he manages 7