Posted on 08/23/2011 11:34:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Interestingly, 2021 would coincide nicely with Strauss-Howe generational theory. According to their theory, we have another 10 years or so to go in this crisis phase.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss-Howe_generational_theory
We’ll be lucky if we ONLY have 15 years of a crappy economy. I really think it will be closer to 50 years.
My goodness, if this isn’t a buy signal, I don’t know what is.
Hah! The Fed. The Fed couldn’t hit the ground with a hat.
Any mention of earnings in the price/earnings ratio? I think the economy is better measured by earnings not stock prices.
Not that Fed Economists have a track record of predicting anything, I wonder what they see for the future of Freddie MAC and Fannie Mae? Oh I know, they need more money to keep going.
Serious reverse Shoe Shine Boy buy signal.
The world should get richer in 20 years and that capital will be somewhere and it will flow to its best returns. Studying the investor is silly IMO. If gov’ts destroy private enterprise stocks will be worthless. If private enterprise is strong money will find it.
Nothing like a BS prediction from the Fed the send Wall St. on a buying spree!
I don’t have time to find the numbers, but my recollection is that at last check, “people”, ie individual “Retail” investors make up less than 15% of the amount of money invested in the stock exchanges. The balance, 85% is foriegn companies, institutions, pension plans, etc. Thus............this whole line of logic is flawed and unworthy of further consideration.
I’ve been building up some decent positions in good dividend payers since 08. A little oil stock, a little consumer brands, a little agri-biz, a little nat. gas. Too chicken to buy banks!
I don’t know that I agree with their 15 year prediction, but I could see a secular bear of 6 to 8 years, easy.
People need to realize that debt deflations are different than “normal” recessions. Debt deflations take a long time to work out, and longer if the government keeps messing with them. Some bond holders in banks need to admit that they’re going to take a loss, and the government needs to quit propping up banks run by idiots.
DMLP, HGT, ERF.....pretty good income
Sounds like good sectors. Any transports with that?
Is that like shipping companies? Not at the moment. Not a bad thought. Right now I’ve got JNJ, KFT (semi-dogs, but good dividend payers and decently diversified companies), MOO (agri etf), TCLP (love this one), PAYX, and my wife just had to have Tata motors. I had FCX but sold way too early. Live and learn.
Forgot to mention COP. Bought that one cheap. Another decent stock. Would like to buy another oil stock at some point, just to spread the risk around.
Thanks. Those are good looking dividend payers. My wife and I only buy good dividend paying stocks.
All affordably priced too. Nice tips. Thanks.
MO
was wondering what you think of rails and Fedex/UPS.
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