Posted on 09/02/2016 1:11:15 PM PDT by TheRef
The conventional wisdom is that Pennsylvania is Trump's surest way to 270. Trump is trailing in the Pennsylvania RCP average by 7.3 points, so quite a few pundits are confidently writing Trump off as a sure loser. The problem with this confidence, however, is that Pennsylvania is not Trump's surest bet. In fact, the Midwest plus Florida and possibly New Hampshire, provides a clearer and currently quite realistic path to 269, the actual number that he needs.
Trump is only trailing by an average of 2.5 points in these states, with the largest lead being four points, but the rest are three points or less. So we're not talking unrealistic scenarios. Here it is . . .
(Excerpt) Read more at politicalref.com ...
This could be rephrased as “Hillary is further behind than you think.”
You’re writing off VA?
Two polls shows they are TIED there!
Closer??!!!! Shoot ..I want him leading like in blowing the lying pickle *itch away!!!!!
If he wins NH, (OH, FL) then it’s a TIE, 269-269.
What happens then?
The MSM can be trusted in nothing. They’re collectively like Tokyo Rose. Lie about everything, including polls.
House of Representatives.
He’s ahead in Iowa.
Watch what happens if Swiss or Singaporean banking authorities start asking questions about money deposits and transfers at Clinton Foundation accounts located in Switzerland and Singapore. Suddenly, the polls suddenly start getting realistic, the MSM starts to bail on her and even President Obama may throw the Clintons “under the bus.” They’re going to cut their losses before we have a international mess that makes the 1Malaysia Development Berhad embezzlement scandal look like minor event in comparison.
Its not close by any stretch of the imagination. Trump is winning and winning comfortably.
The biased media polls (which currently show a tie or narrow Trump lead) underestimate his lead by at least 8-9% due to the huge growth in Republican’s since Trump entered the primaries and the huge amount of both independents and previous non-voters backing him.
I suspect that the reason the Mexican’s have begun negotiations with Trump is that they have concrete intelligence beyond the reaches of the corrupt Lamestream media which indicates that Trump is a shoe in.
I think he’s actually ahead everywhere. We’re just not hearing about it.
I heard lately that a more accurate tool is the attendance at rallies and such. Trump is packing them in, while Clinton has to pay people to sit in the audience.
I think he’s way ahead.
Which house? The current one whose members were elected in 2014 or the one whose members will be elected in 2016? It's probably a moot question because in all likelihood, both will have Republican majorities.
The earlier one.
This may sound odd but ... here goes...
i think Mr Trump needs to attack harder! yes, even harder than he’s doing (which has got so many of us elated here on FR, ha!)
Do you remember how the D’s defeated Senator Goldwater? Especially with their graphic atomic bomb blast advert?
I think Mr. Trump should start visually showing some of the graphic results of Mrs. Clinton’s governmental “service”...
such as the bodies littering the streets of the bombed-out cities in Syria, Libya, etc. Yes, including the little children (just like the D’s did in their anti-Goldwater atomic bomb commercial)
And, I think D’s ads could graphically show the amounts of money Hilliary’s bilked (SHOW the big piles of $$)...and explain where they came from (who she is SOLD OUT TO)...including especially our enemies in Arab dictatorships, etc. And show pictures of her 24/7 female assistant with the Moslem Brotherhood terrorist murder gang family ... too....
here most vulnerable shortcomings (war-mongering/tens of thousands murdered in illegal wars and hostilities, and her corruption/sold-out status to enemy interests) these two things obviously also inter-connect, go together, but they can be made visual...and a picture is worth a thousand words!
go visual, Mr Trump!
Who knew that Marxist/Muslim /white/Jewish/America hating usurper would win the White House not once but twice?!
This is Hillary's last chance to win the presidency which she feels is her right. She and the 'rats will use every dirty trick in the book- including massive voter fraud to put her in the White House to continue Obama's destruction of America!
We must fight her until the very end with everything we've got to keep her out!
This is the most important election of our lifetime!!
(read tag line) .
Yes, I see that. Definitely changes the analysis. He could lose WI, NH, and IA/NV and still win if he takes VA. Will update ASAP
He’s ahead today. I wrote it last night. Will update ASAP.
House of Representatives chooses the president in a tie.
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