Good for Bay!
Methos8, how are updates to your spreadsheet looking today for DEMs with souls-to-polls?
Their “big” jump will occur next Sunday, Nov 4. Are they getting a bump today?
Sean Trende (RCP)
“It seems to me that early voting [this year] is more consistent with what we saw in 2016 or 2014.” [Good GOP years]
“Especially when compared with the results we saw in some of the specials. You probably would expect D turnout to be through the roof, and it isn’t really what we see.”
I’m gonna update it tonight. I think staring at screens all day is giving me migraines!
It was a modest bump as expected. Democrats will almost surely take the in-person EV lead when the numbers come out tomorrow morning, and probably lead by about 5k. Depends on the turnout in Miami-Dade and Palm Beach (already checked Broward).
Nothing major on the VBM front. We continue to do well but it will be hard to add to the lead when the remaining votes out there are 611k Rep and 729k Dem.