What stopped you from posting the whole thing?
HERE ARE YOUR PREDICTIONS, WE SHALL SEE TOMORROW:
Senate - Republicans Pick up 5 Seats (R 56 - D 44)
House - Republicans Maintain Control (R 220 - D 215)
FINAL Prediction:
Senate - Republicans Pick up 5 Seats (R 56 - D 44)
House - Republicans Maintain Control (R 220 - D 215)
FINAL Prediction:
Senate - Republicans Pick up 5 Seats (R 56 - D 44)
House - Republicans Maintain Control (R 220 - D 215)
I've been thinking its going to be a squeaker with Manchin winning. The rain may remove that edge.
Forget Congress. State legislatures are where the real action happens. Roads. Schools. Sewers. And, of course, legislative district boundaries. I would add:(As in the 2020 redistricting of the House in DC. which will effect the US for a decade 2020-2030.)
An example of why the state level elections will have more long term consequences.
The state legislators elected in 2018 will have a say in the 2020 redistricting. The 2020 redistricting will be the road map for the House in DC for the next decade 2020-2030.
An example of the long term ramifications, and importance of the state level 2018 mid-term elections.
One reason Florida must elect DeSantis over the communist Gillum:
The governor’s race could have more long term effects than the senate race. The elected governor will be in charge of 2020 redistricting.
Florida needs to get out and vote to defeat the communist Gillum.
Because if Gillum is elected the potential for a decade of blue Florida is in the cards given that:
The Florida Supreme Court recently ruled that the next governor of Florida will have the opportunity to appoint three new justices to the Florida Supreme Court. Republican Party of Florida chairman Blaise Ingoglia stated: “Andrew Gillum would appoint radical, activist justices who would legislate from the bench and work to eliminate school choice, erode pro-life principles and impose big-government ideology on our state.” A far-left court could also impact Florida’s district maps.
For example, if Democrats are unhappy with how the legislature draws the lines, they will likely contest the proposed drawings and file a lawsuit. Assuming that this happens, the case could end up in the Supreme Court, at which time the Democrats will submit their proposed districts to the far left-leaning court. These districts will likely favor a shift in the balance of power to the Democrats.
If Andrew Gillum is elected governor of Florida, he will appoint far left-leaning justices who will be more inclined to favor the Democratic proposed state district maps. Gillum, a Democrat, will also have the power to veto the proposed congressional district lines. If this happens, and district lines are drawn in a manner that favors Democrats, many more Democrats will be elected in subsequent elections, and the Florida congressional delegation could turn Democrat. This sentiment is shared by some Democrats not only in Florida, but around the country.
Link: https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/10/how_andrew_gillum_could_turn_florida_deep_blue.html
My Prediction:
Senate: Republicans 56 Democrats 44 (R +5)
House: Republicans 226 Democrats 209 (R -20)
As anybody who knows me can attest, my predictions are universally accurate and well tested. You can take them to the bank*
Predictions, predictions..JUST GOTV!!! In fake-BETO’s hometown they just reported an incredible RECORD breaking NUMBER of total of AV & EV! Our radio station says never seen before in any past elections..EVER even when a candidate was a favorable candidate!! So go out and GOTV..C’MON TEXAS HAUL IT!!!!!!
House stays GOP 224 - 211
I read an interesting analysis that the midterm losses are mostly give-backs of seats that were won by the party that won the Presidency in the previous election.
GWB won big in 2004, and Republicans gained 3 in the House after winning 8 in 2002 (which was an anomoly), and the Republicans lost 31 in 2006
Obama won in 2008, and the Democrats gained 21 in the House, but in 2010, the Democrats lost 63, erasing their gains of the previous two cycles
Obama won again in 2012, and the Democrats picked up 8,
and they gave back 13 in 2014.
However, while Trump won in 2016, the Republicans lost 6 seats in the House. So in 2018, there are no recent pick-ups to give back.
They might lose a few of those picked up in 2014, but that will not be enough to flip the House. In order to flip the House, the Democrats would have to win a lot of seats won by the Republicans back in 2010 and beyond.