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Do we have to prepare ourselves for a new crisis?
1 posted on 05/15/2019 7:45:27 AM PDT by Carolyn_Denton2355
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355
There is one tool nobody is talking about: income tax reform that encourages savings and investment in the USA.

American individuals and companies have multiple trillions of dollars sitting in non-US financial institutions for tax-avoidance reasons; we need to encourage the bringing back of that money to jump-start the economy.

2 posted on 05/15/2019 7:51:50 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355

These guys always lie to you. My guess is he’s had a few cocktails himself.


3 posted on 05/15/2019 7:52:10 AM PDT by Fido969 (In!)
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355

:: Even with record low unemployment, “it seems like the economy [economy] can’t handle a 2.5% Fed funds rate,” he said. ::

Based on what objective evidence?

:: Even with record low unemployment, “it seems like the economy [economy] can’t handle a 2.5% Fed funds rate,” he said. ::

Oh! it SEEMS like...

:: Even with record low unemployment, “it seems like the economy [economy] can’t handle a 2.5% Fed funds rate,” he said. ::

What Gundlach didn’t say:
Because it maintains my bonds at a steady RoR that is detrimental to my need to manipulate them in times of volatility to make MOAR money for ME.


4 posted on 05/15/2019 7:52:40 AM PDT by Cletus.D.Yokel (Catastrophic, Anthropogenic Climate Alterations: The acronym explains the science.)
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355

There is one guarantee with markets.... they rise and they fall. Sometimes in spectacular fashion.

However, “conventional wisdom” in our public discourse on a whole host of topics in the past few decades has been horribly wrong.

Foreign policy group think - wrong

Economic prognostication - wrong

Global warming - wrong

Housing market stability - wrong

The list is quite long where those who should know - didn’t know. The real irony is the same people who were wrong then are still the ones prognosticating today.

We are experiencing an expansion that is far beyond anything we expected to see again after the Obama years. A period of correction (recession) is inevitable - it is only a matter of when. The DNC, MSM (really part of the DNC), and big investment banks will try to sell us a recession if it hurts the President. You can count on it. The Fed will also do the same things as they are controlled by conventional wisdom (again, its often wrong) and the establishment who still hates Trump.

If Trump can delay the inevitable (and healthy) contraction and correction until after the election it will be an amazing feat. He has some very smart people on his economic team who buck conventional wisdom so he might do it. Our media and politicians treat a recession like the black plague, but never forget that it is necessary for the long-term health of the economy (not the 4 year election cycle).

The next recession may not be nearly as bad minus the typical bloodbath on Wall Street and MSM hysteria because Trump has improved the fundamentals of our economy.

There are going to be massive forces that push for it in the next 18 months.


6 posted on 05/15/2019 8:07:18 AM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355
Many years ago, I was on Wall St. I was in the bond business (as in I financed projects with private and/or public debt).

Whenever we heard the term "bond king," we laughed out loud.

This is a sell-side guy who watches interest rates to see how they are moving.

Think about that a minute.

That's like watching paint dry or grass grow.

The funeral home business is dynamic by comparison.

7 posted on 05/15/2019 8:08:46 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355

Yeah. It’s called the 2020 election. It’s the end of the world as we know it if Trump wins (or so the hysterical Democratic Socialists would have you believe).


8 posted on 05/15/2019 8:12:08 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355

They never said this when bammy racked up the debt.


9 posted on 05/15/2019 8:16:45 AM PDT by I want the USA back (Islam, not a religion, a totalitarian political ideology aiming for world domination. -Wilders)
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355

Bond holders and that industry are notoriously pessimistic.
He has a point, though, in that we have no cushion at present to lower interest rates to stave off the next recession.


10 posted on 05/15/2019 8:20:26 AM PDT by sparklite2 (Don't mind me. I'm just a contrarian.)
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To: Carolyn_Denton2355

Bond guys have been very pessimistic lately. Not a big surprise when bonds have so little return.


11 posted on 05/15/2019 8:24:25 AM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance.)
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