Posted on 05/19/2020 3:45:11 PM PDT by CheshireTheCat
...In recent years, Italy has been registering peaks in death rates, particularly among the elderly during the winter season. A mortality rate of 10.7 per 1,000 inhabitants was observed in the winter season 2014/2015 (more than 375,000 deaths in absolute terms), corresponding to an estimated 54,000 excess deaths (+9.1%) as compared to 2014 (Signorelli and Odone, 2016), representing the highest reported mortality rate since the Second World War in Italy (UN, 2019). Although the above-described excess mortality created concern among researchers, health authorities and public health experts, it has been challenging to identify its determinants (Signorelli and Odone, 2016)...
(Excerpt) Read more at sciencedirect.com ...
But was what was observed in Italy that unusual for them?
Sorry, meant “flatten the curve.”
I am confusing what we were supposed to be doing with regard to the virus with the inverted bending of the economic curve that illustrates the destruction of the economy.
Interesting article. Thanks for sharing.
what were Italy’s real figures?
23 Mar: UK Telegraph: Why have so many coronavirus patients died in Italy?
The country’s high death toll is due to an ageing population, overstretched health system and the way fatalities are reported
By Sarah Newey
But (Prof Walter Ricciardi, scientific adviser to Italy’s minister of health) added that Italy’s death rate may also appear high because of how doctors record fatalities...
“On re-evaluation by the National Institute of Health, only 12 per cent of death certificates have shown a direct causality from coronavirus, while 88 per cent of patients who have died have at least one pre-morbidity - many had two or three,” he says...
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/have-many-coronavirus-patients-died-italy/
this bombshell from Ricciardi was ignored by the rest of the FakeNewsMSM worldwide:
WHO Europe: Professor Walter Ricciardi (Italy)
Professor Walter Ricciardi graduated with a degree in medicine in 1986 and a doctorate in public health medicine in 1990from the University of Naples. He currently holds the title of Professor of Hygiene and Public Health at the Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore in Rome where he is also Director of the Department of Public Health and Deputy Head of the Faculty of Medicine. In addition to contributing to over 300 academic papers, primarily in the fields of Epidemiology, Health Services Research and Public Health Genomics, he is also Editor of the European Journal of Public Health, of the Oxford Handbook of Public Health Practice and Founding Editor of the Italian Journal of Public Health.
Professor Ricciardi is also active in national health policy and is Chair of the Public Health Section of the Higher Health Council. In 2011 the Minister of Health of Italy appointed him as his representative in the State-Region Committee for the evaluation of the Italian National Health Service. Internationally he is a member of the European Commission expert panel on “Investing in Health” (EXPH), a member of the National Board of Medical Examiners of the United States of America, and has was elected President of the European Public Health Association (EUPHA) from 2010–2014.
Professor Ricciardi joined the EACHR in 2012.
http://www.euro.who.int/en/data-and-evidence/evidence-informed-policy-making/european-advisory-committee-on-health-research-eachr/committee-members/professor-walter-ricciardi-italy
what were Italy’s real figures?
4 May: RAIR Foundation USA: Italian Leader Slams ‘False Coronavirus Numbers: 25,000 Did Not Die, it’s a way to Impose a Dictatorship’ (Watch)
On Friday, April 24, 2020, Vittorio Sgarbi, a member of the Italian Chamber of Deputies, denounced what he claims are false coronavirus death statistics. Sgarbi feels that fake statistics are being propagated by the government and the media to terrorize the citizens of Italy and establish a dictatorship.
The member of the Forza Italia party slammed the closure of 60% of Italian businesses for 25,000 Chinese-Coronavirus deaths from the floor of the legislature. “It’s not true,” he said. “Don’t use the deaths for rhetoric and terrorism.” According to the National Institute of Health, 96.3% did not die of coronavirus, but of other pathologies stated Sgarbi – which means that only 925 have died from the virus and 24,075 have died of other things claimed Sgarbi, “….the virus was little more than an influenza. Don’t lie! Tell the truth!”...
Watch the exclusively translated RAIR Foundation USA video of Vittorio Sgarbi’s speech...
Sgarbi has been a member of the Italian Parliament several times and also served also in Milan’s municipal government. Sgarbi is also a famous art critic, historian, cultural commentator and television personality.
TRANSCRIPT
https://rairfoundation.com/italian-leader-slams-false-coronavirus-numbers-25000-did-not-die-its-a-way-to-impose-a-dictatorship-watch/
19 May: Minnesota deaths: 722:
10 Apr: Uni of Minnesota College of Science & Engineering (CSE): Modeling COVID-19 for Minnesota
One projection showed that cases would peak around April 26 in the state if there were no mitigating steps to slow the virus. The death toll in this scenario could reach 74,000...
Governor Walz relied heavily on these projections when he made his decision to issue a stay-at-home order on March 27...
The team uses estimates from China and Europe to craft some parameters for the Minnesota model because U.S. data is still limited...
https://cse.umn.edu/college/feature-stories/modeling-covid-19-minnesota
10 Apr: MinnPost: Here’s what we know about Minnesota’s model for predicting the toll of COVID-19
By Greta Kaul
Here are some of the assumptions about COVID-19 the Minnesota model makes:
R0 : Pronounced “R naught,” this number refers to how many others the average person with COVID-19 infects. The Minnesota model predicts an R0 of about 3.87 (That’s an estimate; researchers acknowledge that the real value could likely be from 2.5 to 4.7). That means the average person with COVID-19 infects approximately 3.9 other people...
https://www.minnpost.com/health/2020/04/heres-what-we-know-about-minnesotas-model-for-predicting-the-toll-of-covid-19/
who has/is benefitting most from the destruction of Western economies due to lockdown/shutdowns?
China.
Around August or September there should be some pretty detailed stats floating around from various countries.Of course the world should reject outright anything from the Butchers of Beijing but stats from Taiwan,Japan,South Korea,Europe and the US will be worth crunching.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.